The forecast for Thursday's Reds vs. Yankees interleague matchup calls for broken clouds and temperatures in the mid-70s. First pitch from Yankee Stadium is set for 1:05 PM ET. BSOH is carrying this game on TV.
The Yankees are heavy favorites on the money line, with their odds sitting at -179 compared to the Reds at +151. New York comes in with a record of 54-34, while the Reds are 41-45 overall. Marcus Stroman is starting for the Yankees, and the Reds are starting Frankie Montas. Cincinnati has won two straight, and they are 4th in the NL Central, while the Yankees are 2nd in the AL East.
Cincinnati vs. New York Matchup At A Glance
- Teams: Reds at Yankees
- Where: Yankee Stadium New York
- Date: Thursday, July 4th
- Betting Odds NYY -179 | CIN +151 O/U 9
Reds vs Yankees Last Game Recap
Cincinnati picked up a 3-2 road win over the Yankees in the most recent game of this series. The Reds had a two-run 2nd inning and added the game's final run in the 5th. As for the Yankees, they scored their only two runs in the 7th. Heading into the game, the Reds were at +158 on the money line.
Andrew Abbott started for the Reds and picked up the win, going 6 1/3 innings and giving up just one run. He finished the game with only two strikeouts and allowed four walks. Carlos Rodon got the start for the Yankees, going 5 1/3 innings and giving up three earned runs.
Noelvi Marte and Stuart Fairchild each homered for the Reds, while Anthony Volpe went deep for the Yankees. Marte, Fairchild, and Jonathan India each scored two runs for Cincinnati's offense.
Reds Preview
On the run line, the Reds are 29-14 on the road and 31-19 as underdogs. Their overall run line record is 47-39, and they have covered the run line in their last two road games. Cincinnati's average run differential on the road is +0.7 runs per game.
Cincinnati's over/under record for the season is 37-46, and the average total runs in their games is 8.3. When the over/under line is set at 9 runs, their O/U record is 1-13-2. The Reds are currently 4th in the NL Central with a 41-45 record, and they have won two straight games.
Right-hander Frankie Montas gets the start for the Reds today as he faces the Yankees on the road. He has made 15 starts this season and has a record of 3-6 with an ERA of 4.23. Montas' WHIP for the season is currently 1.31. In his last outing, Montas took the loss, going six innings and giving up one earned run on five hits. Before that, he had put together three straight outings with a no-decision. Montas has made six quality starts this season and is averaging 7.22 strikeouts per nine innings.
Elly De La Cruz and Jonathan India have been two of the Reds' top hitters of late, with De La Cruz batting .308 with two homers over his last nine games, and India hitting .438 in this stretch. For the season, De La Cruz is batting .251 with a team-high 15 homers, and India is batting .240.
Overall, the Reds are averaging 4.3 runs per game and are 17th in the league in scoring. As a team, they are batting just .227, which is 19th in the league. So far, they have been a below-average home run hitting team and are also near the bottom of the league in on-base percentage and OPS.
Yankees Preview
Overall, the Yankees have a 54-34 record this season, and they are two games behind the Orioles in the AL East. They have lost the first two games of their series against the Reds and have an overall losing streak of two games. In the AL East, they lead the Red Sox by 6.5 games.
On the run line, the Yankees have a 48-40 record, and their over/under record is 46-40. The average total runs in their games is 8.9, and their over/under record for games with a total of 9 runs is 2-7-2. This season, 78.4% of their games have had lower over/under lines than today's total of 9 runs.
New York is sending Marcus Stroman to the mound today vs. the Reds, and he will be looking to build off his last outing, where he gave up just three earned runs in 4 1/3 innings of work. In that outing vs. the Blue Jays, he didn't factor into the decision. Looking back at his last three outings, Stroman has finished with a no-decision, win, and loss. Stroman's ERA for the season is 3.29, along with a record of 7-3. Out of his 17 starts, he has seven quality starts and is averaging 6.59 strikeouts per nine innings.
So far this season, the Yankees have been one of the league's best offenses, averaging 5 runs per game (3rd). They have been even better on the road, averaging 5.4 runs per contest. As a team, they are 2nd in home runs and are also the league's top home run-hitting lineup. The Yankees are also the league's top walk-drawing team and have the league's 2nd best OPS.
Aaron Judge has been on a tear of late, going 12/25 in his last seven games with three homers and eight RBIs. For the season, he is batting .318 with 32 homers and 83 RBIs. This is good enough for the league lead in both categories. Juan Soto is also among the league's top power hitters, with 20 homers this season.
Reds vs. Yankees Prediction: Over 9 Runs -104
Our prediction for this Yankees vs. Reds matchup is to take the over, with the line sitting at 9 runs. We actually have the Yankees winning this game 6-4, but with the payout on a Yankees win at -179, we think there is more value in taking the over.
Looking at the starting pitchers, we actually have Marcus Stroman finishing with fewer strikeouts than Frankie Montas, but we have Stroman finishing with a higher strikeout total. If you're looking for a player prop bet, you could look to Stroman's strikeout line and take the over if it's around 4-5.
