The forecast from New York on Sunday calls for clear skies and temperatures in the mid-60s. The Reds and Mets will face off at 1:40 PM ET from Citi Field. Luis Severino will start for the Mets, and the Reds are starting Julian Aguiar. Cincinnati is 4th in the NL Central, and they are 68-75, while the Mets are 78-64 overall.
New York is currently on a nine-game winning streak and is heavily favored on the money line today at -202. The Reds are +169, and the over/under line is at 8 runs. BSOH will be televising this NL matchup.
Cincinnati vs. New York Matchup At A Glance
- Teams: Reds at Mets
- Where: Citi Field New York
- Date: Sunday, September 8th
- Betting Odds NYM -202 | CIN +169 O/U 8
Reds vs Mets Last Game Recap
Thanks to a four-run 6th inning for the Mets' offense, they cruised to a 4-0 win over the Reds in the most recent game of this series. Heading into the game, the Mets were favored at -154 on the money line.
The starting pitching matchup for this game featured Jose Quintana for the Mets, and he went 6 2/3 innings while giving up no runs and picked up a win. Jakob Junis only went five innings for the Reds and gave up no earned runs.
New York's offense was led by Harrison Bader, Jose Iglesias, and J.D. Martinez, as they were the only three Mets hitters to have more than one hit. Bader also hit the game's only home run.
Reds Preview
Cincinnati is 14.5 games behind the Brewers in the NL Central with a 68-75 record. They have lost two in a row and are 4.5 games behind the Cubs for the final Wild Card spot. The Reds are 20-23 against NL Central teams this season.
On the run line, the Reds are 76-67 overall and 41-27 on the road. They have only covered the run line in two of their last five games as the favorite and have failed to cover in their last three road games. This season, 70.6% of their games have had over/under lines higher than today's total of 8 runs.
Julian Aguiar will be making his 5th start of the season for the Reds, and he will be on the road to take on the Mets. Aguiar has not been able to pick up a win in his last two starts, but he is coming off a win in his first start of the season. In his last outing, he went 2 2/3 innings and gave up 2 earned runs on 2 hits.
Elly De La Cruz comes into today's game as the Reds' top home run hitter, but he has struggled a bit of late, batting just .211 over his last five games. However, he did go deep in this stretch and has 65 RBIs for the season, which is the 2nd best mark on the team. Spencer Steer is also near the top of the Reds' home run leaderboard, with 19 homers, but is batting just .233 for the season.
As a team, the Reds are averaging 4.5 runs per game and are 12th in the league in home runs. Their team batting average of .233 is 19th in the league, and they are also below average in terms of on-base percentage, slugging, and OPS. The Reds do have a few hitters who have been swinging the bat well of late, as Ty France has gone 10/19 in his last five games, and TJ Friedl has gone 5/18 in this stretch.
Mets Preview
New York has been on a roll lately, winning nine straight games and going 9-1 in their last ten. They are seven games behind the Phillies in the NL East with a 78-64 record. The Mets are 33-22 at home when favored and have an overall series record of 24-16-8.
For the season, the Mets are 72-70 against the run line, including a 39-30 record on the road. They have covered the run line in five straight home games and are 8-2 in their last ten as the favorite. The over/under line for today's game is set at 8 runs, close to their season average of 9.2 runs per game.
New York is sending Luis Severino to the mound today vs. the Reds, and he comes into the game with a record of 10-6 and an ERA of 3.84. So far this year, he has made 27 starts, and opponents are batting .234 off the right-hander. Severino has turned in 11 quality starts, one shutout, and one complete game this year. In his last outing, he went seven innings, giving up just one earned run and picking up the win. Before that, he had given up at least one earned run in four straight starts. Severino has won each of his last three outings.
Coming into today's game, the Mets are 4.8 runs per game, which is 7th in the league. They have been even better on the road, averaging 4.9 runs per game. As a team, they are 4th in the league in home runs and have the 8th best team batting average in the MLB. New York's offense is also near the top of the league in isolated power and on-base percentage.
Francisco Lindor and Pete Alonso have been the Mets' top power threats this season, with Alonso leading the team with 31 homers and Lindor right behind him at 30. Lindor also leads the team with 84 RBIs and is batting .272. Over his last five games, Mark Vientos has three homers and is hitting .400. Brandon Nimmo comes into the game on a three-game hitting streak.
Reds vs. Mets Prediction: Reds ML +169
Our prediction for this Reds vs. Mets matchup is to take the Reds on the money line, with the payout sitting at +169. We have the Reds winning this one by a score of 6-5, giving us a good amount of value with the Reds on the money line.
Looking at some of the starting pitcher projections, Julian Aguiar is projected to finish with seven strikeouts, which is the seventh-best among today's starters. As for Luis Severino, he is projected to finish with six strikeouts, which has him towards the middle of the pack.
