Brandon Williamson will start for the Reds on Sunday, as they are looking to end a three-game losing streak vs. the Brewers. However, Cincinnati is the +111 underdog on the money line, with the Brewers being favored at -130. The over/under line is currently 9.5 runs, and the game is being televised by BSOH.
First pitch from Great American Ball Park is set for 12:10 PM ET, and the forecast for Sunday's matchup calls for broken clouds and temperatures in the low 70s. Milwaukee is currently on a five-game winning streak, and they are 80-56 this season, putting them 1st in the NL Central. The Reds are 5th in the division with a record of 64-73.
Milwaukee vs. Cincinnati Matchup At A Glance
- Teams: Brewers at Reds
- Where: Great American Ball Park Cincinnati
- Date: Sunday, September 1st
- Betting Odds MIL -130 | CIN +111 O/U 9.5
Brewers vs Reds Last Game Recap
It was a low-scoring game in the most recent game of this Brewers vs Reds series. Milwaukee went into the matchup as the slight favorites at -130 and squeaked out a 5-4 win. The Brewers had a three-run 3rd inning but didn't score another run until putting up the game's go-ahead run in the top of the 9th.
Cincinnati had a chance to win the game in the bottom of the 9th, but Devin Williams closed things out for the Brewers. Justin Wilson took the loss for the Reds out of the bullpen.
Franke Montas didn't go deep into the game for the Brewers but gave up just four hits and four earned runs across six innings. He finished with just three strikeouts and allowed one home run. Fernando Cruz only went two innings for the Reds but didn't give up a run.
Brewers Preview
Milwaukee has been a strong favorite this season with a 46-31 record and they are currently on a five-game winning streak. They lead the NL Central with an 80-56 record, which is 10 games ahead of the Cubs. The Brewers have taken the first three games of this series vs. the Reds.
On the run line, the Brewers have a 71-65 record overall and they are 39-32 on the road. The over has hit in 5 of 8 games when the total line has been set at 9.5 runs. This season, their games have averaged 8.8 runs, and their over/under record is 72-55.
Milwaukee is sending right-hander Tobias Myers to the mound today vs. the Reds. He has made 20 starts this year and has a record of 6-5 with an ERA of 2.99. Myers has turned in six quality starts this year and is coming off an outing in which he gave up three earned runs in five innings of work. In that start vs. the Giants, he gave up one homer. Myers has not taken a loss since July 28th. He has finished with a no-decision in each of his last three outings. Opponents are batting .225 vs. Myers this year.
Heading into today's game, Willy Adames is on a nine-game hitting streak for the Brewers and has been red hot of late, going 7/21 (.333) with three homers over his last five games. Adames has been one of the league's top power hitters this season, as his 27 homers are the best mark on the team and 9th best in the MLB. Rhys Hoskins also has good power numbers, with 22 homers, but is batting just .213 for the season.
As a team, the Brewers are 5th in the league in scoring at 4.9 runs per game. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5.1 runs per contest. Overall, they are batting .254 (5th) and have the league's 2nd best on-base percentage. Milwaukee also has the 2nd fewest strikeouts in the league.
Reds Preview
As the underdog, the Reds have struggled this season, posting a 31-40 record. Their overall series record is 16-23-3, and they have dropped two straight series. Cincinnati is currently in 5th place in the NL Central, 4.5 games behind the Cardinals for the final Wild Card spot.
On the run line, the Reds have been more successful on the road with a 41-25 record, but as the underdog, they are 45-26. Their games have averaged 8.9 runs per game this season, resulting in a 65-65 over/under record. The over has hit in 21 of their 8 games with a total of 9.5 runs, and today's O/U line is set at 9.5 runs, higher than their average line of 9 runs per game.
Coming off a season in which he made 23 starts, Brandon Williamson will be looking to improve on his 5-5 record and 4.46 ERA. Last season, Williamson allowed 18 home runs and averaged 1.7 walks per game. His WHIP for the season was 1.28, and he finished with seven quality starts. On the year, Williamson averaged 7.54 strikeouts per nine innings, and his strikeout-to-walk ratio was 2.5. For the season, opponents hit .243 off Williamson, and his FIP was 4.63.
Elly De La Cruz has been a bright spot for the Reds this season, as he is batting .263 and has gone deep 22 times, which is 14th in the MLB. His 61 RBIs are also the 2nd most on the team. Spencer Steer and Jeimer Candelario are also among the team leaders in home runs, but both have struggled with their batting averages this season.
As a team, the Reds are averaging 4.5 runs per game, which is 15th in the league. They have been a bit better on the road, averaging 4.6 runs per game. Cincinnati comes into the game with a team batting average of .232, which is 18th in the league.
Brewers vs. Reds Prediction: Reds ML +111
Our pick for today's Brewers vs. Reds matchup is to take the Reds on the money line at +111. With the payout, we see this as a great value pick, especially since we have the Reds winning this one by a score of 6-5.
Looking at some potential props, you could also look to some of the Reds' player props, as they are projected to have a big day at the plate. If you're looking at Tobias Myers, we have him finishing with just five strikeouts, which would have him finishing outside of the top 15 in terms of starters.
