Wednesday's matchup between the Mariners and Red Sox is set for 4:10 PM ET from Fenway Park in Boston, MA. The Mariners are currently 1st in the AL West with a record of 57-52, while the Red Sox are 3rd in the AL East at 56-50.
George Kirby will start for the Mariners, while the Red Sox are sending Brayan Bello to the mound. Seattle is favored on the money line, with the odds sitting at -120 compared to the Red Sox at +102. The over/under line is currently 9.5 runs, and RSNW will be televising this game.
Seattle vs. Boston Matchup At A Glance
- Teams: Mariners at Red Sox
- Where: Fenway Park Boston
- Date: Wednesday, July 31st
- Betting Odds SEA -120 | BOS +102 O/U 9.5
Mariners vs Red Sox Last Game Recap
Seattle cruised to a 10-6 win over the Red Sox in the most recent game of this series. The Mariners had a huge 5th inning, scoring five of their ten runs. As for the Red Sox, they scored three of their six runs in the 7th. Heading into the game, the Mariners were favored at -116.
Luis Castillo got the win for the Mariners, going six innings and giving up three earned runs. He finished the game with just four strikeouts and allowed one home run. On the other side, James Paxton only went 4 1/3 innings for the Red Sox, giving up three earned runs on six hits.
Jorge Polanco and Dylan Moore each had two hits and three RBIs for the Mariners' offense. Victor Robles also had a two-hit game and scored three times. As for the Red Sox, Rafael Devers went 3/5 with a home run and four RBIs.
Mariners Preview
Seattle is 38-32 when favored this season, and they are currently favored on the road vs. the Red Sox. Their games have averaged 7.7 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 47-57. The Mariners have been on a five-game over streak heading into today's game.
Overall, the Mariners are 49-60 against the run line, and as the road favorite, they are 14-14. Seattle's series record this season is 15-17-2, and they have a 57-52 overall record, leading the AL West by one game over the Astros.
Seattle is sending right-hander George Kirby to the mound today vs. the Red Sox. He has made 22 starts this year and has a record of 8-7 with a 3.03 ERA. Kirby's WHIP for the season is currently .98. In his 22 appearances, he has turned in 15 quality starts. Looking back at his most recent outing, Kirby didn't allow a run vs. the White Sox, going seven innings and picking up the win. Before that, he had given up at least one homer in three straight starts. Kirby's ERA at home is 3.3, compared to 3.78 on the road.
Julio Rodriguez has been a bright spot for the Mariners this season, batting .263 with 11 homers and 37 RBIs. Randy Arozarena has been a big power threat for Seattle, but he is hitting just .219 this season. However, he does have 16 homers, which is 2nd on the team and 15th in the league. Catcher Cal Raleigh leads the team with 67 RBIs and has gone deep 23 times this season.
Seattle's offense has been one of the worst in the league this season, averaging just 3.9 runs per game, which is 28th in the league. They are also the worst team in the league in terms of strikeouts. However, they do walk a lot and are 10th in the league in home runs.
Red Sox Preview
Currently, Boston is in 3rd place in the AL East, trailing the Orioles by seven games. The Red Sox have a 56-50 overall record, but they have lost seven of their last ten games and three straight series. Their games have averaged 9.6 runs this season, and their over/under record is 53-47.
On the run line, Boston is 20-34 at home and 29-23 on the road, with an overall record of 49-57. As the underdog, they are 29-23 vs. the run line. Heading into today's game, their games have gone over the total in six straight, and 76.4% of their games have had lower lines than today's 9.5-run total.
Brayan Bello gets the start for the Red Sox today as he faces off against the Mariners. He has made 19 starts this year and has a record of 10-5 with an ERA of 5.28. Bello's WHIP for the season is 1.44, and opponents are batting .268 off the right-hander this year. In his 19 starts, Bello has turned in six quality starts and is averaging 8.58 strikeouts per nine innings. The last time he pitched, Bello finished with a no-decision, giving up three earned runs in five innings of work. He has not taken a loss since June 29th.
Heading into today's game, the Red Sox offense is 5th in the league in scoring at 4.9 runs per game. They have been even better on the road this season, averaging 5.1 runs per contest. Overall, they are 7th in home runs and have the league's top team batting average at .260. Boston also does a good job of putting the ball in play, as their 9 strikeouts per game is 27th in the league.
Rafael Devers has been one of the league's top power hitters this season, as his 24 homers are 7th in the league and tops on the Red Sox. He is also hitting .301 for the season and went 12/23 in his last six games. Devers is currently on a seven-game hitting streak. Tyler O'Neill has also been swinging a hot bat of late, going deep twice in his last five games while hitting .286.
Mariners vs. Red Sox Prediction: Red Sox ML +102
With the Red Sox at +102 to win this game straight up, that is the bet we recommend getting down on. If you're looking for a prediction on the score, we see this one finishing at 5-4 in favor of the Red Sox.
Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Brayan Bello finishing with seven strikeouts compared to George Kirby with six. However, Kirby is projected to finish with a better strikeout total than Kirby.
Offensively, the Mariners are projected to finish with just eight hits compared to the Red Sox, who we have finishing with nine. The Mariners are also projected to finish with the sixth-most strikeouts on the day.
