Carlos Rodon and the Yankees are the heavy favorites heading into Sunday's matchup vs. the Red Sox, as their money line odds are sitting at -176. As for the Red Sox, they are +147 on the money line, and they are 3rd in the AL East with a record of 75-74.
Today's forecast in New York calls for temperatures in the mid to upper 70s with a few clouds. First pitch from Yankee Stadium is set for 1:35 PM ET. YES will be televising this one, and the over/under line is at 8.5 runs.
Boston vs. New York Matchup At A Glance
- Teams: Red Sox at Yankees
- Where: Yankee Stadium New York
- Date: Sunday, September 15th
- Betting Odds NYY -176 | BOS +147 O/U 8.5
Red Sox vs Yankees Last Game Recap
Thanks to a seven-run 5th inning for the Red Sox' offense, they cruised to a 7-1 win over the Yankees in the most recent game of this series. Heading into the game, the Red Sox were at +164 on the money line.
The starting pitching matchup for this game featured Brayan Bello for the Red Sox, and he went just 5 1/3 innings while giving up one run and striking out two. Bello did not factor into the decision, as the Red Sox bullpen closed things out. Gerrit Cole got the start for the Yankees, going just 4 1/3 innings while giving up seven runs and took the loss.
Boston's offense was led by Trevor Story and Masataka Yoshida, as they were the only two Red Sox hitters to have more than one hit. Story. The Red Sox' 3-4-5 hitters - Rafael Devers, Wilyer Abreu, and Hunter Renfroe - combined for just one hit but drove in five runs.
Red Sox Preview
On the road, the Red Sox have a 43-31 run line record and have covered the run line in three straight games as underdogs. Boston's games with an over/under line of 8.5 runs have gone over 25 times and under 16 times, with an average of 9.5 runs per game.
Overall, the Red Sox are 75-74 this season and have won two straight series. They are 3rd in the AL East, 11 games behind the Yankees, and have a 22-18-6 series record. Boston's straight-up record as underdogs on the road is 25-29, and they are 41-33 as favorites.
Kutter Crawford is looking to bounce back from a rough outing vs. the Yankees today. In his most recent start, he gave up three earned runs in 6 1/3 innings of work vs. the Orioles. Crawford ended up taking the loss in the game. Looking back over his last four outings, he has given up two earned runs in each of them. Crawford has a record of 8-14 this season and an ERA of 4.09. Opponents are batting .214 off the right-hander this season. Out of his 30 starts, Crawford has 14 quality starts and is averaging 8.34 strikeouts per nine innings.
As a team, the Red Sox are averaging 4.8 runs per game this season, which is 9th in the league. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5 runs per game. Boston's offense is one of the best in the league in terms of batting average, as they are hitting .255 as a team, and they have the league's best BABIP at .32. The Red Sox are also near the top of the league in home runs, and they are the 4th best slugging team in the league.
Rafael Devers and Tyler O'Neill have been the team's top power threats this season, with Devers leading the team with 83 RBIs and O'Neill's 30 homers pacing the Red Sox lineup. O'Neill has also gone deep five times in his last 10 games, and is hitting .250 over that stretch. Jarren Duran is batting .288 for the season and is 2nd on the team with 72 RBIs.
Yankees Preview
Currently, the Yankees are 86-63 and hold a two-game lead in the AL East over the Orioles. They have won two straight series and are 6-4 in their last 10 games, including taking two of three games in this series vs. the Red Sox.
This season, the Yankees have an over/under record of 79-65, and their games have averaged 9.2 runs. The O/U line for today's game is set at 8.5 runs, and in games with that line, they have gone over 32 times out of 53. Straight up, the Yankees are 68-56 as favorites and 18-7 as underdogs.
Carlos Rodón gets the start for the Yankees today and will be looking to build off his last outing, where he finished with a no-decision. Against the Royals, he went six innings, giving up four hits, two earned runs, and one homer. Looking back over his last three outings, Rodón has finished with a no-decision in each one. He has made 29 starts this year and has a record of 14-9 with a 4.15 ERA. Opposing batters are hitting .226 off the left-hander this season. Rodón has turned in 15 quality starts and is averaging 10.29 strikeouts per nine innings.
As a team, the Yankees are the league's top home run-hitting team and are averaging 5 runs per game, which is the 2nd best mark in the league. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5.2 runs per contest. New York's offense is also one of the best in the league in terms of on-base percentage, and they have the best team walk rate in the league. Collectively, the team is batting .249, which is 8th best in the league.
Aaron Judge and Juan Soto have been the team's top two hitters this season, with Judge leading the league in RBIs (130) and home runs (52). Judge has also been hot of late, going 7/22 in his last six games. Gleyber Torres is also swinging a hot bat, going 8/26 in his last six games.
Red Sox vs. Yankees Prediction: Over 8.5 Runs -112
Our prediction for this Red Sox and Yankees matchup is to take the over, with the line sitting at 8.5 runs. We actually have the Yankees winning this game 6-5, but with a payout of -176 on the money line, we are going to stick with the over.
Looking at the starting pitchers, our projections have Kutter Crawford finishing with five strikeouts compared to Carlos Rodón with six. If you're looking for a starting pitcher to pick up the win, Rodón is the better option, but we have him finishing with a league-average six strikeouts.
