The Orioles and Mariners face off in an AL matchup at 4:10 PM ET on Thursday. This one is being played at T-Mobile Park in Seattle, and the Orioles are 55-31 this season, while the Mariners are 47-41. Baltimore is currently on a two-game winning streak.
Corbin Burnes will start for the Orioles, while the Mariners are sending Bryce Miller to the mound. Baltimore is the favorite on the money line, and the over/under line is at 7 runs. MASN will be televising Thursday's game.
Baltimore vs. Seattle Matchup At A Glance
- Teams: Orioles at Mariners
- Where: T-Mobile Park Seattle
- Date: Thursday, July 4th
- Betting Odds BAL -148 | SEA +126 O/U 7
Orioles vs Mariners Last Game Recap
Baltimore cruised to a 4-1 win over the Mariners in the most recent game of this series. The Orioles had a huge 3rd inning, scoring all three of their runs. As for the Mariners, they scored their only run in the 5th. Heading into the game, the Orioles were at +124 on the money line.
Dean Kremer started for the Orioles and picked up the win, going five innings and not giving up a run. He finished the game with eight strikeouts but issued two walks. Logan Gilbert got the start for the Mariners and took the loss, giving up four earned runs in 5 1/3 innings of work.
Ryan O'Hearn hit the game's only home run while going 2/3 with three RBIs. Cal Raleigh had a two-hit game for the Mariners.
Orioles Preview
Currently, the Orioles are 55-31 overall and lead the AL East by two games over the Yankees. They have a series record of 18-6-3 and have won two straight games. Against the run line on the road, they are 26-14 and have an average run margin of 1.6 runs per game.
For the season, Orioles games have averaged 9.0 runs per game, with an over/under record of 43-33. Today's O/U line of 7 runs is lower than their average line of 8 runs. Heading into today's game, the Orioles have played two straight unders and are 4-4-4 in games with a total of 7 runs.
Corbin Burnes has been pitching well for the Orioles this season, coming into the game with a record of 9-3 and an ERA of 2.28. He has made 17 starts, and opponents are batting .201 off the right-hander this season. In his 17 appearances, Burnes has turned in 13 quality starts and is averaging 8.35 strikeouts per nine innings. Burnes most recently faced the Mariners on June 27th, where he picked up the win, going seven innings and giving up just one earned run. Before that, he had given up four earned runs in back-to-back starts.
As a team, the Orioles are the top-scoring team in the league, averaging 5.2 runs per game. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5.4 runs per contest. Not only do they lead the league in home runs, but they also have the top slugging percentage and OPS in the league. Baltimore also has the top isolated power (ISO) in the league.
Anthony Santander has been swinging a hot bat for the Orioles, going 6/19 in his last five games with a home run. For the season, he is 5th in the league with 22 home runs. Gunnar Henderson and Adley Rutschman are also among the league leaders in home runs, with 26 and 15, respectively. Henderson's 58 RBIs are 8th best in the league, while Rutschman is 10th with 55 RBIs.
Mariners Preview
Seattle is 3-7 in their last 10 games and have dropped four straight, but they still hold a 2-game lead over the Astros in the AL West with a 47-41 record. As underdogs, the Mariners are 17-19 straight up and 19-17 against the run line. Their over/under record is 35-48, with games averaging 7.6 runs per game.
On the run line, the Mariners are 21-23 at home and 19-17 as underdogs. Their overall run line record is 40-48, and as favorites, they are 21-31. Seattle's series record is 13-12-2, but they have lost their last four series. The O/U record for games with a total of 7 runs is 7-13-4.
Seattle is starting right-hander Bryce Miller vs. the Orioles today, and he comes into the game with a record of 6-7 and an ERA of 3.88. Looking at his overall numbers, Miller has made 17 starts, and opponents are batting .204 this season. Miller has made eight quality starts this year, and his ERA at home is 2.18 compared to 6.75 on the road. In his last outing, Miller took the loss, giving up two earned runs in five innings of work vs. the Twins. Before that, he had won two straight starts.
Cal Raleigh has been one of the league's top power hitters this season, as his 15 home runs are 1st on the team and 12th in the MLB. However, he is batting just .201 overall and is coming off a stretch in which he went 6/27 (.222) with three homers over his last eight games. Mitch Garver has also struggled with his batting average, as he is hitting just .176 for the season.
Overall, the Mariners are batting just .216 as a team, which is the worst mark in the MLB. They are also near the bottom of the league in runs per game, home runs, and on-base percentage. As a team, they are averaging 10 strikeouts per game.
Orioles vs. Mariners Prediction: Mariners ML +126
Our prediction for this Orioles vs. Mariners matchup is to take the Mariners on the money line at +126. We have the Mariners winning this one by a score of 6-5, and with the payout at +126, we see this as the best way to play this one.
Looking at the starting pitchers, Corbin Burnes does have a higher projected strikeout total (8) compared to Bryce Miller (5). However, we have Miller finishing with a better ERA, and with the Mariners' offense projected to finish with more runs, we would stick with Miller in the starting pitcher comparison.
