Thursday's matchup between the Orioles and Yankees is set to get started at 4:05 PM ET from Yankee Stadium in New York, NY. The Yankees are currently 1st in the AL East with a record of 51-25, while the Orioles are 2nd in the division at 48-25.
New York is favored on the money line, with their odds sitting at -150, while the Orioles have a money line payout of +126. The over/under line is currently 8.5 runs, and the game can be seen on MLBN. Cole Irvin is starting for the Orioles, and he is facing off against Luis Gil for the Yankees.
Baltimore vs. New York Matchup At A Glance
- Teams: Orioles at Yankees
- Where: Yankee Stadium New York
- Date: Thursday, June 20th
- Betting Odds NYY -150 | BAL +126 O/U 8.5
Orioles vs Yankees Last Game Recap
Baltimore rallied for two runs in the 9th inning in the most recent game of this Orioles vs Yankees series. The Orioles scored one run in the 1st inning but didn't score another run until putting up three in the top of the 9th, picking up a 7-6 win. Heading into the game, the Orioles were at +124 on the money line.
New York wasted a good outing from Gerrit Cole, as he gave up just two earned runs in four innings of work for the Yankees. Clay Holmes took the loss.
Cade Povich only went 4 2/3 innings for the Orioles but gave up just one hit and one earned run. He finished the game with five strikeouts but didn't factor into the decision. Craig Kimbrel got the win out of the bullpen, and Dillon Tate got the save.
Orioles Preview
Currently, the Orioles are 48-25 overall and trail the Yankees by 1.5 games in the AL East. They have won three straight series and are 7-3 in their last 10 games. Baltimore's run line record is 45-28, with an average run margin of 1.5 runs per game.
When the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, the Orioles have a 12-8 O/U record. Their season O/U record is 36-27, with a combined run average of 8.7 runs per game. Straight up, the Orioles are 39-20 as favorites and 23-11 on the road.
Cole Irvin gets the start for the Orioles today as he faces the Yankees on the road. He has made 11 starts this season and has a record of 6-3 with an ERA of 3.03. Looking at his overall numbers, Irvin has a WHIP of 1.23 and opponents are batting .264 this season. In his 11 starts, Irvin has turned in four quality starts and is coming off a rough outing where he took the loss. Against the Braves, he went 5 2/3 innings, giving up three earned runs, and one homer. Before that outing, he had gone three straight starts without giving up a homer.
As a team, the Orioles are the top-scoring offense in the league, averaging 5.1 runs per game. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5.2 runs per contest. Not only do the Orioles lead the league in home runs, but they also have the best team ISO in the league. As a team, they are batting .249, which is 8th in the league.
Adley Rutschman and Gunnar Henderson have been the Orioles' top power threats this season, with Rutschman's 14 homers ranking 3rd on the team and Henderson's 22 homers being the best mark in the league. Rutschman is also the team's top hitter, batting .288, and has driven in 53 runs, which is 6th best in the league. Henderson is 8th in the league in RBIs and has a batting average of .273.
Yankees Preview
As the favorite, the Yankees have a 39-20 record this season, but as the underdog, they are 12-5. Their overall run line record is 45-31, and they have a 26-16 run line record on the road. The Yankees are 6-4 in their last ten games and have a 51-25 record, leading the AL East by 1.5 games over the Orioles.
For the season, Yankees games have averaged 8.5 runs, and their over/under record for games with an 8.5 total is 17-13. Today's O/U line is set at 8.5 runs, which is lower than their average line of 8 runs per game. So far, 23.7% of their games have had an O/U line of 8.5 runs, while 36.8% have had lower totals.
New York is sending Luis Gil to the mound today vs. the Orioles, and he has been fantastic this season. Gil's record is 9-1, and he has an ERA of 2.02. So far, he has made 14 starts, seven of which were quality starts. Per nine innings, Gil is averaging 10.8 strikeouts. In his last outing, he gave up just one earned run in five innings of work vs. the Red Sox. Gil has won each of his last three starts. The right-hander has been especially tough at home, coming in with a record of 5-0 and an ERA of 1.70.
So far this season, the Yankees have been one of the league's most potent offenses, averaging 5.1 runs per game, which is the 2nd best mark in the league. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5.3 runs per contest. Overall, they are the league's 2nd best home run hitting team and have the 6th best team batting average in the league. New York's offense is also near the top of the league in on-base percentage, slugging, and OPS.
Aaron Judge comes into the game as the league's top home run hitter, with 26 long balls, and he is also 1st in the league with 64 RBIs. Judge is hitting .302 this season. The Yankees also have Juan Soto and Giancarlo Stanton, who are 2nd and 5th in the league in home runs, respectively. Stanton has been hot of late, hitting .375 over his last six games.
Orioles vs. Yankees Prediction: Yankees ML -150
Our prediction for this Yankees vs. Orioles matchup is that the Yankees will pick up a 6-5 win. With the money line sitting at -150, we see this as a good payout and a better option than taking the over or under, as we have this one finishing with 11 runs.
Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Luis Gil finishing with five strikeouts and Cole Irvin with four. Luis Gil is also projected to go longer into the game than Irvin, and he has the lowest hits allowed projections among all starters today.
