At 1:40 PM ET, the Braves and Mets face off in an NL East matchup. This one is being played at Citi Field in New York, and the Mets are the slight favorite on the money line (-110). The money line odds for the Braves are currently at -108.
There doesn't appear to be much of a chance for rain in New York on Sunday, with the forecasted temperature being 84 degrees. Reynaldo Lopez is starting for the Braves, and he is facing off against David Peterson. Atlanta is 2nd in the NL East, while the Mets are 3rd with an overall record of 55-49.
Atlanta vs. New York Matchup At A Glance
- Teams: Braves at Mets
- Where: Citi Field New York
- Date: Sunday, July 28th
- Betting Odds NYM -110 | ATL -108 O/U 8
Braves vs Mets Last Game Recap
The most recent game o of this Mets and Braves series came right down to the end, as the Mets rallied late but still fell short with the Braves winning 4-3 on the road. Heading into the game, the Braves were at +102 on the money line.
Spencer Schwellenbach pitched well for the Braves in this one, going seven innings and striking out 11 without giving up a run. He picked up a win in the game, while Tylor Megill went six innings and took the loss for the Mets.
Marcell Ozuna and Eddie Rosario each homered for the Braves, while Adam Duvall went 2/4 with an RBI. Matt Olson also had a two-hit game and scored a run for Atlanta's offense.
Braves Preview
Atlanta has a 55-48 overall record and is 2nd in the NL East, 9.5 games behind the Phillies. The Braves have lost four straight games as favorites and are 50-38 in that role this season. Against the run line, they are 46-57, with an average run differential of +0.5 runs per game.
This season, Braves games have averaged 7.9 runs, and their over/under record is 36-62. When the total is set at 8 runs, their O/U record is 4-9-1. So far, 62.1% of their games have gone over today's total line of 8 runs.
Right-hander Reynaldo López gets the start for the Braves today as he faces the Mets on the road. This year, he has made 18 starts and has a record of 7-4 with an ERA of 2.12. So far, López has turned in 10 quality starts and is averaging 8.85 strikeouts per nine innings. In his last outing, he took the loss, giving up four earned runs in six innings of work. Before that, he had won two straight starts. One positive for López is that he has a better ERA on the road (2.73) compared to at home (1.75).
Marcell Ozuna has been a key run producer for the Braves this season, as his 82 RBIs are 2nd in the league and the top mark on the team. He is also 3rd in the league with 30 home runs while batting .307 overall. Ozuna has been even better of late, going 10/28 with four homers in his last eight games. Matt Olson is 2nd on the team with 14 homers but is batting just .227 for the season.
As a team, the Braves are averaging 4.2 runs per game, which is 20th in the league. They are also just 20th in strikeouts and are among the league's worst teams in terms of drawing walks. Overall, they are the 8th most powerful lineup in the league.
Mets Preview
As the underdog, the Mets have won three straight games and are 22-22 overall. They are 55-46 against the over/under this season, with their games averaging 9.5 runs per game. New York's run line record on the road is 27-22, and their overall run line record is 50-54.
Overall, the Mets are 55-49 and are 3rd in the NL East, 10 games behind the Phillies. In this series vs. the Braves, they have won two of three games and are the home team for today's matchup.
Left-hander David Peterson gets the start for the Mets today as he faces the Braves at home. He has made nine starts this season and has a record of 5-0 with a 3.14 ERA. Peterson's WHIP for the season is 1.48, and opponents are batting .254 off him this year. In his last outing, he gave up two earned runs in five innings of work, picking up the win against the Marlins. Peterson has not allowed more than two earned runs in any of his last four outings.
Francisco Lindor has been swinging a hot bat of late, going 5/8 with five homers and 10 RBIs over his last eight games. For the season, he is batting .254 with 22 homers and 62 RBIs. Brandon Nimmo has also been a good power threat for the Mets, as he is 12th in the league with 63 RBIs and has 16 homers. Pete Alonso is also a power threat in the lineup, as he is 12th in the league with 20 homers.
As a team, the Mets are 5th in home runs and are 7th in the league in scoring at 4.8 runs per game. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5.3 runs per contest. Overall, they are batting .248, which is 8th in the majors.
Braves vs. Mets Prediction: Mets ML -110
With the Mets at -110 to pick up the win, this is the way we recommend playing this one. Offensively, we do have the Mets picking up the win 6-5, and with the over/under sitting at 8 runs, you could look to take the over, but we see this one being decided by just one run.
Looking at the starting pitchers, David Peterson is projected to finish with six strikeouts, which has him ninth among starters. As for Reynaldo Lopez, he is projected to finish with five, which has him 13th. Offensively, we have the Mets finishing with eight hits, compared to the Braves, who are projected to finish with eight.
