Edward Cabrera is starting for the Marlins on Sunday, and he is facing off against Max Fried and the Braves. The over/under line is currently at 8.5 runs, and the Braves are the heavy favorite on the money line, with their odds sitting at -298. The Marlins are +242 underdogs.
First pitch from Truist Park is set for 1:35 PM ET, and BSSE will be televising this NL East matchup. The Braves are 2nd in the NL East, while the Marlins are 5th, with a record of 41-70.
Miami vs. Atlanta Matchup At A Glance
- Teams: Marlins at Braves
- Where: Truist Park Atlanta
- Date: Sunday, August 4th
- Betting Odds ATL -298 | MIA +242 O/U 8.5
Marlins vs Braves Last Game Recap
Miami rallied for two runs in the 9th inning in the most recent game of this Marlins vs. Braves series. The Marlins scored one run in the 1st inning but didn't score another run until putting up two in the top of the 9th, picking up a 4-3 win. Heading into the game, the Marlins were at +211 on the money line.
Kyle Tyler started for the Marlins, going just 2 2/3 innings while giving up three runs and striking out two. Declan Cronin got the win out of the bullpen, and Calvin Faucher got the save. Grant Holmes only went 4 2/3 innings for the Braves, giving up three runs on seven hits.
Jake Burger and Jesus Sanchez each homered for the Marlins, while Nick Fortes scored twice and drove in two runs while going 2/4. Marcell Ozuna hit a home run for the Braves, going 1/4.
Marlins Preview
Miami is 41-70 overall and 5th in the NL East, 24.5 games behind the Phillies. They are 10-23 against NL East teams this season. The Marlins are 19-36 on the road and have a 10-20-4 series record. Miami has a 52-59 run line record, covering in 52 of their 111 games.
The Marlins' games have gone under the 8.5 run total 17 times and over 18 times this season. The under is currently on a 3-game streak in Miami's games.
Miami is sending Edward Cabrera to the mound today vs. the Braves, and he comes in with a record of 1-3 and ERA of 6.65. So far, he has made 10 starts and one of them was a quality start. Per nine innings, Cabrera is averaging 11.63 strikeouts and 5.4 walks. Looking back at his last outing, Cabrera finished with a no-decision vs. the Rays, giving up two earned runs in five innings of work. He allowed one homer in that outing. Cabrera has finished with a no-decision in each of his last three outings.
Over the past eight games, Jake Burger has been on fire for the Marlins, going 12/32 (.375) with five homers and eight RBIs. Burger's 17 homers this season is the best mark on the team, and he is also 2nd on the team in RBIs. Jesús Sánchez is also a big power threat for the Marlins, as he has 12 homers this season, which is the 2nd best mark on the team.
As a team, the Marlins are 29th in the league in scoring at 3.6 runs per game, and they have been even worse on the road, averaging just 3.2 runs per game. Overall, they are batting .237, which is 16th in the league, and have the worst on-base percentage in the league. However, they do come into the game with a few players on some solid hitting streaks.
Braves Preview
Atlanta has been struggling against the run line this season, posting a 51-59 record overall. Their straight-up record is 60-50, which puts them five games behind the Phillies in the NL East. The Braves have a 32-22 home record and are 28-28 on the road. As favorites, they are 53-39 straight up but only 42-50 against the run line.
The over/under record for Braves games this season is 39-66, with the under hitting in their last three games. The average total runs in their games is 7.9, and the over/under line for their home games is typically set at 8.5 runs. So far, the over is 11-20 in those games.
Max Fried is looking to bounce back from a rough outing vs. the Diamondbacks, as he gave up one earned run in six innings of work. In that outing, he gave up a homer. Fried took the loss in that start. Before that outing, he had given up five earned runs in back-to-back starts. Fried has made 18 appearances this year and has a record of 7-5 with a 3.08 ERA. Opposing batters are hitting .223 off Fried this season. The left-hander has two complete games and one shutout this year.
Marcell Ozuna has been one of the league's top power hitters this season, as his 32 home runs are 3rd best in the league and leads the Braves. He also comes into the game with the team's best batting average (.300) and on-base percentage (.374). Matt Olson has also been a solid power threat for the Braves, as his 18 homers are 2nd on the team and 15th in the league. However, he is batting just .227 this season.
Over the past five games, Austin Riley has gone 7/21 for the Braves, including one home run and five RBIs. Matt Olson has also gone deep three times in this stretch, going 5/17 overall. As a team, the Braves are 6th in home runs and are averaging 4.2 runs per game, which is 17th in the league.
Marlins vs. Braves Prediction: Over 8.5 Runs -104
The best way to play this Marlins vs. Braves matchup is to take the over, with the line sitting at 8.5 runs. Our predicted final score is 6-4 in favor of the Braves, giving us plenty of cushion on the over/under line.
If you're looking for a money line pick, the payout for a Braves win is not great at -298. However, if you're looking for a parlay, you could pair a Braves win with a higher paying MLB pick to increase your payout.
