At 4:10 PM ET, the Diamondbacks and Padres face off in an NL West matchup. This one is taking place at PETCO Park in San Diego, and the Padres are favored on the money line at -160. The money line odds for an Arizona win are sitting at +137, and the over/under line is at 8 runs.
Both teams have been playing solid baseball of late, as the Diamondbacks are 44-45, and the Padres are 49-44. Ryne Nelson is starting for the Diamondbacks, and he will face off against Dylan Cease for the Padres.
Arizona vs. San Diego Matchup At A Glance
- Teams: Diamondbacks at Padres
- Where: PETCO Park San Diego
- Date: Sunday, July 7th
- Betting Odds SD -160 | ARI +137 O/U 8
Diamondbacks vs Padres Last Game Recap
It was a low-scoring game in the most recent game of this Diamondbacks vs Padres series. Arizona went into the matchup as +111 underdogs and squeaked out a 7-5 win. The Diamondbacks had a huge 10th inning, scoring three runs to pick up the win.
San Diego wasted a good outing from Matt Waldron, as he gave up just three earned runs in six innings of work for the Padres. Wandy Peralta took the loss. Ryan Thompson got the win out of the bullpen for the Diamondbacks as Brandon Pfaadt went just 4 1/3 innings, giving up one earned run.
Offensively, the Diamondbacks were led by Lourdes Gurriel Jr., Christian Walker, and Kevin Newman, as they were the only three Arizona hitters to have more than one hit. Gurriel Jr. and Geraldo Perdomo each had two RBIs.
Diamondbacks Preview
Arizona is 44-45 this season and 10.5 games behind the Dodgers in the NL West. They have a 18-14 record in divisional matchups. The Diamondbacks have won two straight series, bringing their overall series record to 12-13-2. Against the run line, they are 44-45, with an average run margin of +4.3 in wins.
As underdogs, the Diamondbacks are 28-21 against the run line and have covered in four straight games. The over has hit in five straight games for Arizona, and their over/under record is 46-41. In games with an 8-run total, the over is 7-2 in Diamondbacks games this season.
Ryne Nelson has made 13 starts this season and comes into the game with a record of 5-6 and an ERA of 5.42. Looking at his overall numbers, Nelson has a WHIP of 1.56 and has allowed a batting average of .312. In his 13 starts, he has turned in four quality starts and is averaging 6.04 strikeouts per nine innings. Nelson most recently pitched on July 2nd out of the bullpen, where he went five innings and gave up one earned run. He finished with a no-decision in that outing. Before that, he had won two straight starts.
Arizona's offense has been one of the better units in the league this season, as they are 7th in runs per game (4.9), and are also near the top of the league in batting average, on-base percentage, and slugging. The Diamondbacks have been even better on the road this season, averaging 5 runs per contest. As a team, they are batting .254, which is 6th in the MLB.
Christian Walker has been on a tear of late, going 15/30 in his last seven games with five homers and 13 RBIs. For the season, he is hitting .268 with 22 homers and 64 RBIs. Walker's 64 RBIs are good for 6th in the league. Ketel Marte is also having a strong season, as he is batting .284 with 17 homers and 51 RBIs.
Padres Preview
San Diego is 49-44 overall and 7.5 games behind the Dodgers in the NL West. They have won four straight series and are 7-3 in their last ten games. The Padres have an over/under record of 50-42, with their games averaging 9.0 runs per game.
When favored, the Padres are 28-26 straight up and 21-33 against the run line. As underdogs, they are 21-18 straight up and 28-11 against the run line. The average run margin in their wins is 3.7, while it is -3.4 in their losses.
Right-hander Dylan Cease gets the start for the Padres today as he faces off against the Diamondbacks. Cease has made 18 starts this season and has a record of 7-7 with a 4.24 ERA. In his last outing, Cease took the loss, going 3 2/3 innings and giving up six earned runs on eight hits. Before that, he had pitched well, picking up the win and not giving up an earned run in seven innings of work. Cease's WHIP for the season is 1.12, and opponents are batting .215 off him this year. Cease has made nine quality starts and is averaging 11.47 strikeouts per nine innings.
Heading into today's game, the Padres are averaging 4.7 runs per game, which is 11th in the league. They have been one of the league's top home run hitting teams, and as a team, they are batting .264, which is the 2nd best mark in the league. San Diego has also been one of the league's best teams at avoiding strikeouts.
Jurickson Profar has been one of the league's top power hitters this season, as his 13 home runs are 2nd on the team and 14th in the MLB. He also comes into the game with a four-game hitting streak, during which he has gone 6/19 with two homers. Profar's 58 RBIs are the best mark on the team and 10th in the league. Fernando Tatis Jr. has also been a big power threat for the Padres, as his 14 homers are the best mark on the team and 13th in the league.
Diamondbacks vs. Padres Prediction: Padres ML -160
Our predicted final score for this Diamondbacks vs. Padres matchup is 6-5 in favor of the Padres. With the Padres being the predicted winner and a money line payout of -160, we recommend taking the Padres to win straight up.
Looking at the starting pitchers, our projections have Dylan Cease finishing with six strikeouts compared to Ryne Nelson with four. If you're looking at a player prop bet, Cease is a good option. As for Nelson, we have him finishing with the second-most earned runs allowed among starters today.
