From Chase Field in Phoenix, we have the Padres and Diamondbacks facing off in an NL West matchup. First pitch is set for 3:10 PM ET, and the Padres are the slight road underdog, with their money line odds sitting at +153 compared to the Diamondbacks at -182. The over/under line is at 9 runs.
Brandon Pfaadt is starting for the Diamondbacks, and he will be facing off against a Padres team that is 93-68. The Padres are 2nd in the NL West, and they have won two straight. Martín Pérez is slated to start for the Padres.
San Diego vs. Arizona Matchup At A Glance
- Teams: Padres at Diamondbacks
- Where: Chase Field Phoenix
- Date: Sunday, September 29th
- Betting Odds ARI -182 | SD +153 O/U 9
Padres vs Diamondbacks Last Game Recap
It was all San Diego in the last game of this series, as the Padres took down the Diamondbacks by a score of 5-0. The Padres offense only had three more hits than the Diamondbacks and struck out seven times, but still picked up a convincing win. Heading into the game, they were at +186 on the money line.
This game featured a starting pitching matchup between Randy Vásquez for the Padres and Eduardo Rodriguez for the Diamondbacks. Vásquez only went six innings but didn't give up a hit or a run and finished with four strikeouts. On the other side, Rodriguez was tagged for four hits and two earned runs in just 4 2/3 innings of work.
San Diego's two through four hitters, Donovan Solano, Kyle Higashioka, and Brandon Lockridge, did most of the damage. Solano went 4/5 with a home run, while Higashioka and Lockridge each had a hit and an RBI.
Padres Preview
San Diego has a 7-3 record in their last 10 games and they are currently on a two-game winning streak. They are 93-68 overall, sitting four games behind the Dodgers in the NL West. The Padres have a 27-24 division record.
On the run line, the Padres have a solid 84-77 record, including 51-29 on the road. Their O/U record this season is 81-76, with the average total runs per game being 8.8. The O/U line for today's game is set at 9 runs, and their O/U record in games with a total of 9 runs is 6-6.
Left-hander Martín Pérez is starting for the Padres today as he faces the Diamondbacks on the road. He has made 25 starts this year and has a record of 5-5 with an ERA of 4.25. Looking at his overall numbers, opponents are batting .272 this year. In his 25 starts, Pérez has turned in eight quality starts, and his ERA at home is 3.91 compared to 6.05 on the road. In his last outing, he picked up the win, going 5 1/3 innings and giving up just one earned run. Before that, he had given up at least one homer in three straight outings.
The Padres have the best team batting average in the league at .264 and are also the top-ranked team in terms of fewest strikeouts per game. San Diego is also near the top of the league in slugging percentage and OPS. Overall, they are averaging 4.7 runs per game, which is 8th in the league. At home, they are averaging 4.4 runs per game, compared to 5 runs per game on the road.
Manny Machado has been a big run producer for the Padres this season, as his 105 RBIs are 7th in the league. He also leads the team with 29 home runs. Jurickson Profar and Jackson Merrill are also near the top of the league in RBIs, as they have 85 and 90, respectively. Luis Arraez has been a good contact hitter for the Padres, batting .314 this season. Over his last seven games, Fernando Tatis Jr. has two homers but is batting just .241.
Diamondbacks Preview
Arizona is 88-73 overall and in 3rd place in the NL West, nine games behind the Dodgers. They have an over/under record of 19-13-4 when the total is set at 9 runs, and their games have averaged 10.3 runs per game this season. The under has hit in their last two games, and their overall series record is 27-19-4.
On the run line, the Diamondbacks are 83-78, including a 48-33 record on the road and 47-28 as underdogs. Straight up, they are 45-36 on the road and 43-37 at home. Arizona's overall record is 52-34 when favored, and they have lost two straight games as favorites.
Right-hander Brandon Pfaadt gets the start for the Diamondbacks today as he faces the Padres at home. Pfaadt has made 31 starts this season and has a record of 10-10 with a 4.80 ERA. Looking at his overall numbers, Pfaadt has a WHIP of 1.25 and has issued just 2.09 walks per nine innings compared to 8.98 strikeouts. He has turned in 13 quality starts this year and is coming off a rough outing vs. the Giants, where he gave up four earned runs in 2 2/3 innings of work. Before that, he had won two straight starts.
Arizona comes into the game as the league's top-scoring offense, averaging 5.4 runs per game. They have been even better at home, putting up 5.6 runs per contest. As a team, they are batting .262 (2nd) and have the league's best on-base percentage. The Diamondbacks have also been one of the league's best power-hitting teams, as they are 5th in home runs and have a collective slugging percentage of .438 (2nd).
Ketel Marte and Eugenio Suarez have been the team's top power threats this season, with Marte leading the team with 35 homers and Suarez right behind him at 29. Marte is also 2nd on the team in batting average (.291), while Suarez is hitting just .253. Over his last five games, Corbin Carroll is hitting .316 with one home run.
Padres vs. Diamondbacks Prediction: Over 9 Runs -103
Our prediction for today's Padres vs. Diamondbacks matchup is to take the Diamondbacks to win straight up. However, with the Diamondbacks being -182 on the money line, we actually prefer to take the over, with the line sitting at 9 runs.
If you're looking for a potential parlay, you could pair a Diamondbacks win with the over, as we have the final score at 6-5 in favor of the Diamondbacks.
