The Brewers head into Sunday's matchup vs. the Diamondbacks looking to snap a three-game losing streak. They are 88-67 overall and they are 1st in the NL Central. On the money line, the Brewers are the slight favorite, with their odds sitting at -122.
Arizona, on the other hand, has won four straight and is 87-68 overall. They are +103 on the money line for Sunday's game. Today's over/under line is sitting at 8.5 runs, and first pitch from American Family Field is set for 2:10 PM ET.
Arizona vs. Milwaukee Matchup At A Glance
- Teams: Diamondbacks at Brewers
- Where: American Family Field Milwaukee
- Date: Sunday, September 22nd
- Betting Odds MIL -122 | ARI +103 O/U 8.5
Diamondbacks vs Brewers Last Game Recap
It was all Arizona in the last game of this series, as the Diamondbacks took down the Brewers by a score of 5-0. The D-backs offense only had two more hits than the Brewers and struck out seven times, but still picked up a convincing win. Heading into the game, they were at -107 on the money line.
Merrill Kelly started for the Diamondbacks and picked up the win, going five innings and not giving up a run. He finished the game with just two strikeouts and didn't issue a walk. Aaron Civale got the start for the Brewers and took the loss, giving up three earned runs in 4 1/3 innings of work.
Arizona's two homers came from Ketel Marte and Joc Pederson. Marte, Jose Herrera, and Josh Rojas each had two RBIs for the D-backs' offense.
Diamondbacks Preview
Arizona has a 26-19-4 series record this season but has lost two straight series. They are currently leading their series vs. the Brewers 3-0 and have won four straight games. The Diamondbacks are 87-68 overall and five games behind the Dodgers in the NL West.
On the road, Arizona has a 45-35 record and is 29-24 as underdogs. Their games have averaged 10.3 runs per game this season, resulting in an 88-60 over/under record. When the O/U line is set at 8.5 runs, their record is 34-19.
Jordan Montgomery gets the start for the Diamondbacks today as he faces the Brewers on the road. So far this season, he has made 20 starts and six of them have been quality starts. Montgomery's ERA for the season is 6.23, along with a record of 8-7. In his last outing, he took the loss, going 4 2/3 innings and giving up three earned runs on six hits. Before that, he had three straight appearances out of the bullpen and didn't factor into the decision in any of them. Montgomery's ERA at home is 8.71 compared to 6.1 on the road.
Arizona comes into the game as the league's top-scoring offense, averaging 5.5 runs per game. They have been even better at home, putting up an average of 5.8 runs per contest. Overall, they are the league's top team in terms of on-base percentage and OPS. The Diamondbacks also have the league's top team batting average and are 2nd in slugging percentage.
Ketel Marte and Eugenio Suarez have been the team's top power threats this season, with Marte leading the team with 34 homers and Suarez right behind him at 28. Marte has gone deep three times in his last nine games while batting .310 over that stretch. Suarez has also been swinging a hot bat of late, as he is on a five-game hitting streak.
Brewers Preview
Today, the Brewers are looking to avoid a sweep by the Diamondbacks, as they are down 0-3 in the series. Milwaukee's overall record is 88-67, giving them a nine-game lead in the NL Central over the Cubs. They have a 30-19 record against divisional opponents this season.
When the run line is involved, the Brewers have been profitable as underdogs with a 44-23 record, but have struggled as favorites with a 34-54 record. Their overall run line record is 78-77, with an average run differential of +0.8 runs per game. The O/U record for games with an 8.5 run line is 30-24, and the average run total for Brewers games this season is 8.8 runs.
Milwaukee is sending Frankie Montas to the mound today vs. the Diamondbacks, and he will be looking to bounce back from a rough outing vs. the Phillies. In that start, Montas took the loss, going 5 2/3 innings and giving up three earned runs. Looking back over his last four starts, Montas has allowed at least two homers in three of them. Montas' record for the season is 7-11, and his ERA is 4.50. Out of his 28 starts, Montas has turned in nine quality starts and is averaging 8.62 strikeouts per nine innings.
For the season, the Brewers are 7th in the MLB in runs scored, averaging 4.8 runs per game. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5.1 runs per game. Overall, they are batting .248, which is 9th in the league, and are 5th in on-base percentage. Milwaukee's offense is also near the top of the league in walks and has the 4th best BABIP in the league.
Willy Adames has been a big power threat for the Brewers this season, as his 32 home runs are 10th in the league and the top mark on the team. He is also 5th in the league with 109 RBIs. Rhys Hoskins has also been a solid power threat, but he is batting just .211 for the season. William Contreras has been swinging a hot bat of late, going 7/17 in his last five games.
Diamondbacks vs. Brewers Prediction: Diamondbacks ML +103
Our predicted score for this Diamondbacks vs. Brewers matchup is 6-5 in favor of the Diamondbacks. With the Diamondbacks being the underdog, you can get them at +103 on the money line, which is our recommended bet.
Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Frankie Montas finishing with six strikeouts compared to Jordan Montgomery with five. However, Montas is projected to finish with the better ERA, but we still have the Diamondbacks coming out on top.
