MLB Game Prediction

Atlanta Braves vs Seattle Mariners Prediction & Betting Tips for 9/5/2025

Want our best Atlanta Braves vs Seattle Mariners prediction for 9/5/25? Get our MLB betting tip as the Mariners travel to the Braves on 9/5/25 at Truist Park, in Atlanta. Knup Sports has your free pick!

The Seattle Mariners, currently holding a 73-67 record and standing 2nd in the AL West, are set to play the Atlanta Braves at Truist Park. Coming off a three-game losing streak, the Mariners’ recent performance on the road has been challenging, as evidenced by their 32-40 road record. Under the guidance of manager Dan Wilson, the Mariners aim to turn their fortunes around against a Braves team that recently ended their own losing streak.

The Atlanta Braves, with a 63-77 record and 4th place in the NL East, are looking to build momentum after securing a victory against the Chicago Cubs. Manager Brian Snitker and his team have maintained a balanced home record of 33-33, which they hope to improve upon in their upcoming game. Playing under clear skies and a light breeze, the Braves will rely on their home-field advantage at Truist Park to challenge the Mariners.

The Mariners and Braves have both struggled to find consistency in their last 10 games, each posting a 4-6 record. The Mariners’ recent defeats against the Tampa Bay Rays highlight a need for improvement, particularly in their pitching and hitting departments. Meanwhile, the Braves’ recent win showcased solid pitching, as they limited the Cubs to just one run, offering some optimism for their upcoming game against Seattle.

Braves vs Mariners At a Glance

  • Game Location: Truist Park in Atlanta, GA
  • Weather: Clear sky with a very hot day and light breeze crosswind
  • Mariners Record: 73-67, ranked 2nd in AL West
  • Braves Record: 63-77, ranked 4th in NL East
  • Game Odds: Mariners +116, Braves -137 (Moneyline)
  • TV Channel: RSNW

Braves Prepare to Take on the Seattle Mariners

Seattle Mariners: Offensive Overview

The Seattle Mariners enter the game with a team batting average of .244, which ranks them 13th in the league. Their on-base percentage stands at .319, placing them in the top 10. Despite their middling slugging percentage of .394, the Mariners have hit 158 home runs this season, ranking 15th overall.

One area where the Mariners have excelled is in drawing walks, with 501 on the season, ranking them third in the league. However, they have shown some vulnerability on the base paths, stealing only 70 bases, placing them 24th. This indicates a more conservative approach to base running.

Key Mariners Players to Watch

Logan Gilbert will be starting on the mound for the Mariners, bringing a solid ERA of 3.73 and a WHIP of 1.02. With a 4-6 win-loss record, Gilbert has demonstrated the ability to keep runners off base effectively. His presence on the mound will be crucial for the Mariners’ chances in this game.

Offensively, the Mariners rely on a balanced lineup that has demonstrated the capability to hit for power. Their rank of 15th in home runs suggests they have several players capable of going deep, making them a threat throughout the batting order.

Seattle Mariners Pitching Overview

On the pitching side, the Mariners have an ERA of 4.36, which places them 22nd in the league. Opponents are hitting .244 against them, ranking them 13th in batting average against. This suggests that while they are allowing hits, they have been relatively effective in managing damage.

One of their strengths is the ability to produce quality starts, achieving 59 this season, which ranks them 5th. However, they have also given up 168 home runs, which highlights a vulnerability that the Braves might exploit.

Mariners’ Strategic Considerations

As the Mariners prepare to take on the Braves, they will need to leverage their strength in drawing walks to create scoring opportunities. The ability to capitalize on the Braves’ pitching vulnerabilities, particularly their home run allowance, could be key.

With Logan Gilbert on the mound, the Mariners will look to control the game early, minimizing the Braves’ offensive threats. His ability to maintain a low WHIP will be pivotal in keeping the Braves’ potent lineup in check.

Betting Trends for the Seattle Mariners

  • SU Last 3 Games: 1-2 (33.3%)
  • SU Last 5 Games: 2-3 (40.0%)
  • SU Last 10 Games: 4-6 (40.0%)
  • SU All Games: 63-77 (45.0%)
  • SU as Favorite: 48-45 (51.6%)
  • SU as Underdog: 15-32 (31.9%)
  • SU in Night Games: 46-53 (46.5%)
  • SU in Day Games: 17-24 (41.5%)
  • SU in Home Games: 33-33 (50.0%)
  • SU in Away Games: 30-44 (40.5%)
  • SU vs Division Opponents: 30-33 (47.6%)
  • SU vs League Opponents: 22-34 (39.3%)
  • SU in 1-Run Games: 19-33 (36.5%)
  • SU After a Win: 24-39 (38.1%)
  • SU After a Loss: 38-38 (50.0%)

Seattle Mariners Look to Rebound Against the Braves

Atlanta Braves Offensive Overview

The Atlanta Braves have displayed a potent offense throughout the season, ranking third in home runs with 200. This power at the plate has been a key component of their success, combined with an on-base percentage of .316, ranking 11th in the league.

While their batting average sits at .241, placing them 16th, they have managed to maximize run production through strategic hitting and power plays. Their aggressive base running is evident, with 136 stolen bases, ranking them fourth in the league.

Braves Key Players

Chris Sale will take the mound for the Braves, bringing an impressive 2.45 ERA and a WHIP of 1.13. His ability to control games has been instrumental in maintaining their strong position in the league.

At the plate, the Braves will rely on their heavy hitters to continue their power surge. The combination of speed on the bases and slugging potential keeps opponents on their toes.

Team Pitching Dynamics

Atlanta’s pitching staff holds an ERA of 4.04, positioning them at 17th in the league, with a solid number of quality starts at 57, ranking sixth. This depth in the rotation is a significant advantage.

The Braves’ bullpen has been relatively steady, with only 22 blown saves, ranking them eighth. Strikeouts have been a strength, with their pitchers accumulating 1,193, placing them 11th overall.

Betting Trends for the Braves

  • Braves are 5-2 in their last seven games against teams with a winning record.
  • Over has hit in 4 of the Braves’ last 5 road games.
  • Braves have a 6-1 record when Sale starts on a Friday.
  • Under is 3-1-1 in the Braves’ last 5 interleague games.

Braves vs Mariners Prediction: Under 7.5

The upcoming game between the Braves and Mariners features two strong pitchers on the mound: Logan Gilbert for the Mariners and Chris Sale for the Braves. Gilbert holds a respectable ERA of 3.73 and WHIP of 1.02, while Sale boasts an impressive ERA of 2.45, indicating a potential for a low-scoring game.

Both teams have struggled to consistently perform offensively, with the Mariners on a three-game losing streak and the Braves having a challenging season overall. The Mariners’ road record of 32-40 and the Braves’ home record of 33-33 also suggest a potential lack of explosive offense.

Historical data further supports a low-scoring outcome. In their last matchups, games went under the set total, with both teams showing tendencies for the under this season. With the current over/under set at 7.5, the combination of solid pitching and inconsistent offenses makes the under an appealing pick.

Considering these factors, the projected score for this game is Braves 3 – Mariners 2, which aligns with the under 7.5 total. This outcome seems probable given the current pitching matchups and recent team performances.

  • Braves vs Mariners Prediction: Under 7.5
  • Braves vs Mariners Score: Braves 3 – Mariners 2
To Top