MLB Game Prediction

Atlanta Braves vs Pittsburgh Pirates Prediction & Betting Tips for 9/27/2025

Want our best Atlanta Braves vs Pittsburgh Pirates prediction for 9/27/25? Get our MLB betting tip as the Pirates travel to the Braves on 9/27/25 at Truist Park, in Atlanta. Knup Sports has your free pick!

The Pittsburgh Pirates, under the guidance of manager Don Kelly, are heading to Truist Park to play against the Atlanta Braves. With a season record of 70-90, the Pirates stand at the bottom of the NL Central division. Despite the challenges, they recently secured a victory over the Braves, 9-3, showing potential momentum.

On the other side, the Atlanta Braves, managed by Brian Snitker, are positioned fourth in the NL East with a record of 75-85. Despite a recent downturn with two consecutive losses, they have shown strength in their last 10 games, winning eight. The upcoming game at their home field could be pivotal for reclaiming their form.

The game is set to take place on Saturday, September 27, 2025, at 7:15 PM, in Atlanta. Broadcasted on FDSSO, this night game could be impacted by very hot weather and a forecast of light rain, adding an unpredictable element. The Braves are slight favorites according to the consensus odds, indicating a tightly contested matchup.

Braves vs Pirates At a Glance

  • Game Location: Truist Park in Atlanta, GA
  • Weather Conditions: Very hot with calm crosswinds and light rain expected
  • Game Odds: Braves are favored with a moneyline of -168, while the Pirates sit at +142
  • Team Records: Pirates are 70-90 (5th in NL Central) and Braves are 75-85 (4th in NL East)
  • Broadcast Information: The game will be televised on FDSSO
  • Recent Result: Pirates defeated Braves 9-3 on September 26th, 2025

The Braves Prepare for a Showdown Against the Pirates

Pittsburgh Pirates Hitting Overview

The Pittsburgh Pirates are entering this game with a batting average of .246, placing them 12th in the league. Their on-base percentage is slightly more impressive at .320, ranking them 8th overall. They have managed to hit 189 home runs this season, securing a 9th place ranking in this category.

Despite a solid home run tally, the Pirates have had challenges in hitting doubles, ranking only 19th with 240 doubles. Their ability to draw walks has been strong, with 571 walks placing them 3rd in the league. However, their stolen base total of 81 is less remarkable, placing them 20th.

Pittsburgh Pirates Pitching Performance

On the mound, the Pirates have a team ERA of 4.39, ranking 22nd in the league. They have given up a batting average against of .246, which ranks them 13th. The pitching staff has surrendered 196 home runs, putting them 17th in that category.

Their 68 quality starts place them 5th, showing some consistency among their starting pitchers. However, they have struggled with blown saves, ranking 3rd with 21. Their pitchers have been effective at striking batters out, with 1,398 strikeouts earning them a 7th place ranking.

Pittsburgh Pirates Key Players to Watch

Bubba Chandler will be taking the mound for the Pirates, sporting a 4.56 ERA and a WHIP of 0.97. Chandler has achieved a win-loss record of 3-1 this season. His performance will be crucial in countering the Braves’ offensive threats.

Offensively, the Pirates will rely on their balanced lineup that has shown the ability to hit the long ball and get on base. Their ranking in walks demonstrates a disciplined approach at the plate, which could challenge Braves’ starter Spencer Strider.

Team Betting Trends

  • SU Last 3 Games: 1-2 (33.3%)
  • SU Last 5 Games: 3-2 (60.0%)
  • Runline Last 3: 0-3 (0.0%)
  • Runline Last 5: 2-3 (40.0%)
  • O/U Last 3: 1-2 (33.3%)
  • O/U Last 5: 2-3 (40.0%)

Pirates Set Sail Against Braves in Crucial Away Game

Team Overview

The Pittsburgh Pirates head into their upcoming game with the Atlanta Braves riding a wave of recent success. With five wins in their last six games, the Pirates have shown resilience after a challenging stretch where they struggled to find consistency.

Despite a 70-90 record, the Pirates have made strides, especially in recent games, with improved performances from key players. Their offensive capabilities have been highlighted by standout performances, including a recent 9-3 victory over the Braves where they out-hit their opponents 14-8.

Key Players

Spencer Horwitz has been instrumental for the Pirates, boasting a .270 batting average with 11 home runs and 51 RBIs. His two-home-run performance against the Braves was pivotal in securing a recent victory.

Bryan Reynolds continues to be a consistent offensive force, with a .244 batting average and 16 home runs. His success at Truist Park is notable, where he has maintained a .446 average over his last 16 games.

Veteran Andrew McCutchen brings experience to the Pirates lineup, hitting .238 with 13 home runs and 57 RBIs. His leadership both on and off the field remains vital for the team.

Pitching Matchup

The Pirates will start Bubba Chandler on the mound, who holds a 3-1 record with a 4.56 ERA. Chandler will aim to build on the Pirates’ strong pitching performances in recent games.

Facing him will be Spencer Strider of the Braves, who has a 7-13 record with a 4.45 ERA. The matchup promises a contest of strategic pitching approaches.

Team Betting Trends

  • SU Last 3 Games: 2-1 (66.7%)
  • Runline Last 3: 3-0 (100.0%)
  • O/U Last 3: 1-2 (33.3%)
  • SU in Away Games: 26-53 (32.9%)
  • Runline in Away Games: 40-39 (50.6%)
  • O/U in Away Games: 28-51 (35.4%)

Braves vs Pirates Prediction: Braves -168

The Atlanta Braves are coming off a loss to the Pittsburgh Pirates, but their recent form suggests a strong potential for a bounce back. They have won 8 of their last 10 games, a testament to their improving end-of-season performance. Additionally, their home record slightly edges out the Pirates’ road struggles, with Pittsburgh sitting at 26-53 away from home.

Spencer Strider takes the mound for the Braves, and while his record is not impressive at 7-13, his 4.45 ERA is slightly better than his Pirates counterpart, Bubba Chandler, who has a 4.56 ERA. With the Braves showing a solid 8-2 run and Strider’s capability to deliver a quality start, they should have the edge in this pitching matchup.

Despite the Pirates’ recent success, including 5 wins in their last 6 games, their overall performance throughout the season has been inconsistent, especially on the road. The Braves have an opportunity to exploit this inconsistency at Truist Park, where they have been near .500.

Given the hot streak of the Braves and their home-field advantage, backing them at -168 seems a reasonable choice, as they look to close the season on a high note. The projected final score leans towards a Braves victory, Braves 5 – Pirates 3.

  • Braves vs Pirates Prediction: Braves -168
  • Braves vs Pirates Score: Braves 5 – Pirates 3
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