MLB Game Prediction

Atlanta Braves vs Pittsburgh Pirates Prediction & Betting Tips for 9/26/2025

Want our best Atlanta Braves vs Pittsburgh Pirates prediction for 9/26/25? Get our MLB betting tip as the Pirates travel to the Braves on 9/26/25 at Truist Park, in Atlanta. Knup Sports has your free pick!

The Pittsburgh Pirates, holding a 69-90 record, travel to Atlanta to compete against the Braves at Truist Park. Coming off a narrow 2-1 defeat against the Cincinnati Reds, the Pirates are looking to improve upon their 4-6 performance in the last ten games. Under the guidance of manager Don Kelly, the team seeks to overcome their current losing streak.

The Atlanta Braves, with a 75-84 record, aim to continue their strong form from their recent 9-1 run in the last ten games. Despite losing 4-3 to the Washington Nationals, the Braves, managed by Brian Snitker, have been solid at home with a 38-40 record. Atlanta’s batting lineup, led by Ronald Acuña Jr. and Michael Harris II, looks to maintain its recent form.

This game takes place on September 26, 2025, at 7:15 PM, with broadcast coverage on FDSSO. The weather forecast predicts a warm evening with light rain, potentially affecting play conditions. Bookmakers favor the Braves with a moneyline of -159, while the Pirates stand at +134, hinting at an intriguing contest on the horizon.

Braves vs Pirates At a Glance

  • Game Location: Truist Park in Atlanta, GA
  • Game Time: Friday, September 26, 2025 at 7:15 PM
  • Weather: Light rain with a warm day and light breeze
  • Broadcast: TV Channel FDSSO
  • Team Standings: Pirates are 5th in NL Central; Braves are 4th in NL East
  • Game Odds: Braves are favored with a -159 moneyline

Braves Prepare for Final Showdown Against the Pirates

Pittsburgh Pirates: Team Overview

The Pittsburgh Pirates have had a challenging season, struggling with a record of 6-15 in games started by Mitch Keller. Despite their struggles, the Pirates are looking to finish the season strong and build momentum for the next year.

The Pirates’ lineup has shown glimpses of potential, but inconsistency has plagued their efforts. With a batting average of .246, ranked 10th in the league, they have room for improvement as they face the Braves.

Key Players to Watch

Mitch Keller will take the mound for the Pirates, bringing with him an ERA of 4.22 and a WHIP of 1.24. His performance could be pivotal in determining the Pirates’ chances against the Braves.

Offensively, the Pirates will rely on their power hitters to make an impact. Their lineup has hit 187 home runs this season, placing them 10th in the league, and they will need to capitalize on any opportunities against Braves pitching.

Season Performance Insights

Despite some bright spots, the Pirates’ pitching staff has struggled, with a team ERA of 4.36, ranking 22nd in the league. This highlights the challenges they have faced in containing opposing offenses throughout the season.

Defensively, the Pirates have had issues with giving up home runs, allowing 193, which ranks them 19th in the league. This will be a key area to watch as they go up against the Braves’ power hitters.

Pirates’ Recent Form

The Pirates have been attempting to find consistency as the season winds down, focusing on strong finishes in their recent games. Their ability to perform in high-pressure situations will be tested against the Braves.

With a mix of young talent and veteran presence, the Pirates are using these final games to evaluate their roster and plan for offseason improvements. The experience gained now could prove beneficial in the long run.

Pirates Betting Trends

  • SU All Games: 6-15
  • Runline as Underdog: 54.5%
  • O/U as Favorite: 45.2%
  • SU After a Loss: 49.4%

The Pirates Set Sail for Atlanta: What to Expect from the Braves

Braves’ Offensive Overview

The Atlanta Braves have been a competitive force this season, focusing on a well-balanced lineup that keeps pitchers on their toes. Their ability to drive in runs with consistency makes them a formidable opponent for the Pirates. Watch for their top hitters to make an impact early in the game.

With a solid mix of power and contact hitters, the Braves have excelled in getting runners on base and capitalizing on scoring opportunities. They will look to continue this trend against the Pirates’ pitching staff.

Key Players to Watch

One of the standout players for the Braves is their slugger who has consistently delivered home runs and RBIs throughout the season. His presence in the lineup always poses a threat to opposing pitchers. Another key player to watch is their leadoff hitter, known for his speed and ability to get on base.

The Braves’ pitching staff also includes a few rising stars who have shown resilience in high-pressure situations. Their performances will be crucial in containing the Pirates’ offense.

Braves’ Pitching Dynamics

Starting for the Braves is Joey Wentz, who has a record of 5-6 and an ERA of 5.46. While his ERA might not be eye-catching, Wentz has the potential to deliver solid innings when he finds his rhythm. His matchup against Mitch Keller will be a pivotal point in the game.

The Braves’ bullpen has been a reliable support system, frequently stepping up to close out tight games. Expect them to play a significant role in maintaining any lead the Braves establish early on.

Braves’ Recent Form and Strategy

Recently, the Braves have focused on improving their record in close games, aiming to sharpen their execution in late-inning scenarios. Their approach in these situations has evolved, reflecting a strategic shift towards more aggressive base running and situational hitting.

With the season drawing to a close, maintaining this form is essential for the Braves as they aim to secure a favorable position in the standings.

Atlanta Braves Betting Trends

  • SU Last 3 Games: Check specific sources for updated statistics.
  • SU as Favorite: Analyze their performance when favored to win.
  • Runline Last 3: A streak of covering the spread can be indicative of strong performance.
  • O/U Trends: Consider recent trends in Over/Under betting lines.

Braves vs Pirates Prediction: Braves -159

The Atlanta Braves have been on a hot streak lately, going 9-1 in their last 10 games, which offers a significant advantage heading into the game against the Pittsburgh Pirates. Playing at home, the Braves have managed a decent 38-40 record, which contrasts with the Pirates’ poor 25-53 road record. Considering the Braves’ recent form and home advantage, they are positioned well to win this game, and the moneyline odds of -159 reflect this edge.

Starting pitcher Joey Wentz, despite his 5-6 record and 5.46 ERA, can expect support from a Braves lineup ranking 10th in batting average and home runs. Meanwhile, the Pirates’ Mitch Keller, with a 6-15 record and a 4.22 ERA, faces the challenge of stopping Atlanta’s offense. The Pirates have struggled offensively, scoring the fewest runs in MLB this season, which diminishes their prospects against the Braves’ competitive lineup.

Despite a recent head-to-head advantage for the Pirates, the Braves have outperformed them in previous matchups, especially in non-divisional play. With the Pirates losing their last game and holding a 4-6 record in the last 10, Atlanta’s current momentum makes them the favorable pick. Given these factors, I project the Braves to win with a final score of 6-3.

Truist Park provides a home-field edge for Atlanta, and the Braves’ overall stronger hitting and pitching capabilities could prove too much for the Pirates. The Braves’ recent winning consistency and the Pirates’ road struggles contribute to selecting Atlanta at -159 on the moneyline.

  • Braves vs Pirates Prediction: Braves -159
  • Braves vs Pirates Score: Braves 6 – Pirates 3
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