In Week 8 of the 2025 NFL season, the Miami Dolphins will travel to face the Atlanta Falcons at the Mercedes-Benz Stadium. This afternoon game is scheduled for Sunday, October 26, 2025, and will be broadcast on CBS. The Falcons, with a retractable roof stadium, won’t be affected by the mild weather and overcast clouds predicted for the day.
The Miami Dolphins come into this game struggling with a 1-6 record for the season. Under the guidance of Head Coach Mike McDaniel, they are yet to secure a win on the road, standing at 0-4. Their most recent outing saw them defeated by the Cleveland Browns, 31-6, highlighting a challenging season thus far.
On the other side, the Atlanta Falcons hold a more balanced 3-3 record, with Head Coach Raheem Morris at the helm. Their performance at home has been solid, boasting a 2-1 record at the Mercedes-Benz Stadium. They will look to bounce back from a loss against the San Francisco 49ers with a strong showing against the Dolphins.
Falcons vs Dolphins At a Glance
- Game Location: Mercedes-Benz Stadium in Atlanta, GA USA
- Game Weather: Mild day with a light breeze, overcast clouds expected
- Current Records: Miami Dolphins 1-6-0, Atlanta Falcons 3-3-0
- Broadcast Channel: CBS
- Game Odds: Miami Dolphins Moneyline +295, Atlanta Falcons Moneyline -370
- Game Date and Time: Sunday, October 26, 2025 at 1:00 PM
Atlanta Falcons Set to Test the Miami Dolphins’ Resolve
Offensive Performance
The Atlanta Falcons have had an impressive offensive showing so far in the 2024 season. Ranking 5th in passing yards with 4,068 yards and 10th in rushing yards with 2,219, their offensive versatility has been a key asset. Additionally, they have managed to secure 359 first downs, which ranks them 7th in the league.
Quarterback Michael Penix Jr. has been instrumental, racking up 1,409 passing yards, which places him 16th in the league. His ability to connect with his receivers consistently is reflected in the team’s 13th rank for total score, with 389 points.
Defensive Outlook
Defensively, the Falcons have faced challenges, allowing 423 points, ranking them 22nd in the league. Their defensive line has managed to secure 31 sacks, placing them 17th. However, their ability to recover fumbles is notable, with 6 recoveries ranking them 9th.
They’ve been effective at intercepting opponent passes, ranking 8th with 12 interceptions. Despite these strengths, the Falcons have allowed a total of 5,868 opponent offensive yards, a statistic they will look to improve upon.
Recent Game Insights
In their recent encounter against the San Francisco 49ers, the Falcons fell short with a 20-10 loss. Despite Michael Penix Jr.’s efforts, throwing for 230 passing yards, their ground game was limited to just 62 rushing yards.
Previously, they managed a 24-14 victory against the Buffalo Bills, where Bijan Robinson shone with 170 rushing yards and a touchdown. Their ability to bounce back after a loss is reflected in their 80% success rate in such scenarios.
Upcoming Challenges
The Falcons are set to face the Miami Dolphins at the Mercedes-Benz Stadium. This home game offers a chance for Atlanta to leverage their strong home game record, having won 4 out of their last 5 home games.
With several key players on the injury list, including Michael Penix Jr., their depth will be tested. The Falcons’ performance against the Dolphins will be pivotal in maintaining their positive home trend.
Atlanta Falcons Betting Trends
- ATS – As Favorite (REG): 6-2 (75.0%) in last 8 REG games (2024–2025)
- ATS – Home Games (REG): 4-1 (80.0%) in last 5 REG games (2024–2025)
- ATS – After Loss (REG): 4-1 (80.0%) in last 5 REG games (2024–2025)
- ATS – All Games (REG): 6-4 (60.0%) in last 10 REG games (2024–2025)
- SU – All Games (REG): 2-1 (66.7%) in last 3 REG games (2025)
- SU – As Underdog (REG): 2-1 (66.7%) in last 3 REG games (2025)
- ATS – As Underdog (REG): 2-1 (66.7%) in last 3 REG games (2025)
- SU – Home Games (REG): 2-1 (66.7%) in last 3 REG games (2025)
- SU – After Loss (REG): 2-1 (66.7%) in last 3 REG games (2025)
- SU – As Favorite (REG): 4-4 (50.0%) in last 8 REG games (2024–2025)
Miami Dolphins Look to Bounce Back Against the Atlanta Falcons
Team Overview
The Miami Dolphins head into Week 8 looking to recover from a tough 31-6 loss to the Cleveland Browns. They have a 2-5 record this season and are aiming to improve as they face the Atlanta Falcons. The Dolphins are currently ranked 21st in total offense, scoring 345 points this season.
Offensively, the Dolphins are 15th in passing yards with a total of 3,737 and 20th in rushing yards with 1,795. Despite these rankings, the team has struggled to convert on third downs with a 36.3% conversion rate, placing them 21st in the league.
Offensive Challenges
In the recent loss to the Browns, Miami’s offense struggled, managing only 120 passing yards and 99 rushing yards. Quarterback Quinn Ewers completed just 5 passes for 53 yards. The team committed three interceptions and six fumbles, highlighting ball security issues.
Their ground game was led by De’Von Achane, who rushed for 82 yards. However, the lack of touchdowns from key offensive players contributed to their scoring woes. The absence of key receiver Tyreek Hill due to injury continues to be a setback for Miami.
Defensive Stand
Defensively, the Dolphins have shown some promise, ranking 10th in opponent scoring, allowing 364 points. They have been effective in pressuring quarterbacks, ranking 14th in sacks with 35. However, they need to tighten up their pass defense, having recovered only six fumbles this season.
Linebackers Tyrel Dodson and Jordyn Brooks have been standouts, with Dodson recording a sack against the Browns. The defensive unit will need to limit big plays and maintain discipline to contain the Falcons’ offense effectively.
Betting Trends
- O/U – Home Games (REG): Last 7 REG Games (2024–2025) → 7-0 (100.0%)
- O/U – All Games (REG): Last 6 REG Games (2025) → 6-0 (100.0%)
- O/U – After Loss (REG): Last 5 REG Games (2025) → 5-0 (100.0%)
- O/U – As Underdog (REG): Last 3 REG Games (2025) → 3-0 (100.0%)
- ATS – Home Games (REG): Last 7 REG Games (2024–2025) → 6-1 (85.7%)
- SU – As Favorite (REG): Last 7 REG Games (2024–2025) → 5-2 (71.4%)
Facing the Falcons as 7-point underdogs, the Dolphins will need to address their offensive and defensive inconsistencies. With a focus on improving ball control and execution, they aim to challenge the Falcons and turn their season around.
Falcons vs Dolphins Prediction: Over 44.5
The Miami Dolphins have struggled this season, particularly on the road with an 0-4 record. Despite their issues, they have shown an ability to score, which could play a role in pushing the game total higher. Their defensive struggles, ranked 10th in opponent scores allowed last season, also suggest that points could be scored by the opposing team.
The Atlanta Falcons are coming off a balanced 3-3 season record. As a home team with a positive 2-1 record, they have proven to perform well at the Mercedes-Benz Stadium. With their offensive ranking of 13th in scoring last season, they have the capability to put up points against a weaker Dolphins defense.
The retractable roof at the Mercedes-Benz Stadium nullifies any potential weather impact, allowing both teams to play optimally. With both teams having the potential to score and a weak Dolphins defense, the over 44.5 seems achievable. Historical head-to-head games also show a tendency for higher scores, further supporting an over pick.
Considering these factors, the game is projected to be a high-scoring encounter. The Falcons’ ability to capitalize on their home advantage and the Dolphins’ offensive potential make over 44.5 a reasonable pick.
- Falcons vs Dolphins Prediction: Over 44.5
- Falcons vs Dolphins Score: Falcons 28 – Dolphins 20
