In Week 9 of the 2025 college football season, the Boise State Broncos travel to Mackay Stadium to take on the Nevada Wolf Pack. This Friday night game kicks off at 10:00 PM and will be televised on CBSS. With both teams part of the Mountain West Conference, this matchup brings added significance as Boise State looks to maintain their perfect conference record. Boise State enters the game with a 5-2 overall record, including a 3-0 mark in conference play. Despite their success at home, they have struggled on the road with a 1-2 record. Their recent victory over UNLV saw them rack up 56 points, showcasing their offensive capabilities. On the other side, Nevada has had a challenging season, currently standing at 1-6 overall and winless in conference play. Their most recent game was a narrow 24-22 loss to New Mexico. Playing at home, Nevada will be seeking their second win of the season and their first in conference play.
Nevada vs Boise State At a Glance
- Game Venue: Mackay Stadium in Reno, NV
- Game Date and Time: Friday, October 24, 2025 at 10:00 PM
- Broadcast: TV Channel – CBSS
- Boise State Record: 5-2 overall, 3-0 in Mountain West Conference
- Nevada Record: 1-6 overall, 0-3 in Mountain West Conference
- Game Odds: Boise State favored with a spread of -21.5
Nevada Wolf Pack: A Deep Dive into Their Performance
Offensive Struggles
The Nevada Wolf Pack’s offense has experienced challenges during the 2025 season, ranking 93rd in points for with a total of 109 points. Their passing game has struggled significantly, sitting at 116th with just 1,120 passing yards. Despite these struggles, their rushing attack has shown some promise, ranking 75th with 1,014 rushing yards.
First downs have been somewhat of a bright spot, where Nevada ranks 57th with 118 first downs. However, the team will need to improve its aerial attack to climb the rankings. The team’s offensive line will need to protect their quarterbacks and give them time to find their targets.
Defensive Overview
Nevada’s defense has had its ups and downs, allowing 196 points, which places them 107th in points against. The Wolf Pack’s pass rush has been effective, accumulating 16 sacks to rank 13th in the nation. Additionally, their secondary has been opportunistic, collecting four interceptions and ranking 5th overall.
Fumble recoveries have also been a strength for Nevada, as they rank 7th with three recoveries. The defense will need to maintain its aggressiveness and capitalize on turnovers to help the team secure more victories. Improving their run defense could also alleviate some pressure on the secondary.
Recent Performance
The Wolf Pack’s recent games have been a series of close calls, as seen in their recent 24-22 loss against New Mexico. In this game, Nevada managed 202 passing yards and only 55 rushing yards. The team’s inability to convert first downs, with only 16 achieved, also contributed to their narrow defeat.
Against San Diego State, Nevada suffered a 44-10 loss, highlighting their struggles against stronger opponents. While they managed 177 passing yards, their rushing game was limited to 77 yards, and turnovers were costly. The team must address these issues to improve their overall performance.
Key Players to Watch
Quarterback Chubba Purdy has been a central figure in Nevada’s offense, with 518 passing yards and one touchdown in seven games. Despite throwing eight interceptions, his play will be critical for Nevada’s success. Running back Caleb Ramseur has been a key contributor on the ground, rushing for 317 yards and two touchdowns.
Wide receiver Marcus Bellon has shown potential with 15 receptions for 193 yards and a touchdown. His contributions will be crucial as Nevada looks to improve its passing game. Tight end Jett Carpenter has been a reliable target, with 18 receptions for 198 yards, adding depth to the receiving corps.
Betting Trends
- ATS – Away Games: 17-9 (65.4%) over the last 26 games.
- SU – As Favorite: 14-9 (60.9%) over the last 23 games.
- O/U – Home Games: 16-14 (53.3%) over the last 30 games.
- O/U – Totals ≥ 50: 16-14 (53.3%) over the last 30 games.
- ATS – As Underdog: 13-11 (54.2%) over the last 24 games.
- ATS – After Loss: 13-11 (54.2%) over the last 24 games.
- ATS – All Games: 15-15 (50.0%) over the last 30 games.
As the Nevada Wolf Pack prepares to host the Boise State Broncos, they are 21.5-point underdogs with a total of 51.5. Their recent betting trends suggest resilience on the road and as underdogs, with a 65.4% cover rate in away games. This data indicates potential value for bettors considering Nevada in these situations.
Boise State Broncos Look to Continue Dominance Against the Nevada Wolf Pack
Team Overview
The Boise State Broncos have demonstrated a powerful offense this season, ranking 16th in points scored with 258. Their ability to move the ball both through the air and on the ground has been evident, ranking 27th in passing yards and 24th in rushing yards. The Broncos have consistently converted drives into first downs, ranking 16th in that category as well.
Defensively, the Broncos have shown strength in sacking the quarterback and forcing turnovers. With 16 sacks, they rank 13th, and they have been effective in intercepting the ball, ranking 9th with 8 interceptions. They also have a knack for recovering fumbles, ranking 7th in this area.
Offensive Leaders
Quarterback Maddux Madsen has been a standout performer, throwing for 1,823 yards and ranking 20th nationally. He has also thrown 15 touchdown passes, which places him 18th in the nation. Despite a few interceptions, Madsen’s leadership under center has been a key factor in the Broncos’ success.
On the ground, Dylan Riley has been the primary weapon, rushing for 695 yards and scoring 6 touchdowns. His efforts have earned him an 11th-place national ranking in rushing yards. Sire Gaines has also contributed significantly with 373 rushing yards and 4 touchdowns.
Receiving Threats
Wide receiver Ben Ford, despite being listed as questionable, has caught 21 passes for 325 yards and 5 touchdowns. Chris Marshall has been another important target, leading the team with 440 receiving yards on 22 receptions. Latrell Caples adds depth with his 22 receptions and 299 yards.
At tight end, Matt Lauter has contributed with 18 receptions for 185 yards and 1 touchdown. His presence provides a reliable option for Madsen in the short passing game. This diverse receiving corps allows the Broncos to effectively attack defenses in multiple ways.
Betting Trends
- SU – As Favorite: Last 23 Games (2023–2025) → 22-1 (95.7%)
- SU – Home Games: Last 16 Games (2023–2025) → 16-0 (100.0%)
- SU – All Games: Last 24 Games (2023–2025) → 21-3 (87.5%)
- SU – Totals ≥ 50: Last 23 Games (2023–2025) → 20-3 (87.0%)
- SU – After Loss: Last 7 Games (2023–2025) → 7-0 (100.0%)
- ATS – All Games: Last 6 Games (2025) → 6-0 (100.0%)
- O/U – As Favorite: Last 5 Games (2025) → 5-0 (100.0%)
Nevada vs Boise State Prediction: Nevada +21.5
The Boise State Broncos enter this game with a strong 5-2 record, including a perfect 3-0 in conference play. Despite their success, Boise State has struggled on the road, posting a 1-2 record this season. This could be a challenging game for them in Reno, where conditions and home crowd can affect visiting teams.
Nevada, although 1-6 this season, has shown a tendency to cover as underdogs, especially after a loss, with a 54.2% ATS success rate. This suggests they have potential to keep games closer than the spread indicates, even when not favored to win outright. Their recent performance against New Mexico, losing only by two points, demonstrates their ability to compete.
Another factor to consider is Boise State’s defensive ranking. They are ranked 99th in points against, which means they are allowing points that Nevada might capitalize on. With Boise State’s defensive vulnerabilities and Nevada’s knack for covering as underdogs, Nevada +21.5 looks like a solid pick.
Projected final score supports Nevada covering the spread, with Boise State winning but not by the margin expected by the sportsbooks. Boise State 34 – Nevada 17 seems a realistic outcome given the stats and trends.
- Nevada vs Boise State Prediction: Nevada +21.5
- Nevada vs Boise State Score: Boise State 34 – Nevada 17
