As the ALCS reaches its climax, the Seattle Mariners and Toronto Blue Jays prepare for Game 7 at the Rogers Centre. With the series tied at 3–3, both teams have everything on the line. The game is set for Monday, October 20, 2025, at 8:08 PM and will be broadcasted on FOX.
Managed by Dan Wilson, the Mariners finished the regular season with a 90-72 record, showing a bit of struggle on the road with a 39-42 record. They come into this decisive game following a recent loss to Toronto, but they have shown resilience throughout the playoffs. Their performance in Game 7 will be crucial in determining if they can secure a spot in the World Series.
The Blue Jays, managed by John Schneider, ended their regular season with a 94-68 record and a strong home record of 54-27. They recently secured a Game 6 victory against Seattle, giving them momentum heading into this winner-take-all matchup. Playing under the retractable roof at the Rogers Centre should favor Toronto’s familiar environment as they aim to capitalize on their home advantage.
Blue Jays vs Mariners ALCS 7 At a Glance
- Game Location: Rogers Centre in Toronto, ON, featuring a retractable roof.
- Series Standings: Tied 3–3 in a best-of-7 ALCS series.
- Game Odds: Blue Jays favored with a moneyline of -122; Mariners at +104.
- Weather Conditions: Mild with a light breeze and broken clouds, though wind impact may be minimal due to the retractable roof.
- Game Broadcast: Available on FOX at 8:08 PM on Monday, October 20, 2025.
- Mariners’ Season Record: Finished the regular season with a 90-72 record.
Blue Jays Ready for Showdown Against Mariners: A Deep Dive into the Matchup
Seattle Mariners Overview
The Seattle Mariners are set to compete against the Toronto Blue Jays in a decisive Game 7. The Mariners have had a challenging postseason run, but their resilience has kept them in the series. With a regular season batting average of .265, they lead the league, showcasing their offensive capabilities.
The Mariners’ on-base percentage is also impressive, ranked 2nd at .331. However, their power game could use some improvement as they rank 11th in home runs with 191. Their ability to hit doubles, ranked 3rd, adds depth to their batting lineup.
Key Players to Watch
Seattle will rely heavily on George Kirby, their starting pitcher, who has posted a solid 4.21 ERA and a WHIP of 1.19 this season. Kirby’s ability to keep the Blue Jays’ hitters at bay will be crucial for the Mariners.
In the batting lineup, players like Ty France, who boasts a .257 average, and Daulton Varsho, known for his 20 home runs, will be key contributors. Their performance can turn the tide in favor of the Mariners in this critical game.
Mariners Pitching Analysis
The Mariners’ pitching staff has been a mixed bag, with an ERA of 4.19, ranking 18th in the league. However, they have managed to limit opponents to a .240 batting average against, which is commendable.
Quality starts have been a strength for the Mariners, ranked 11th with 57. Their bullpen, however, has shown some vulnerability with 23 blown saves, ranked 6th worst in the league, which could be a concern in a tight game.
Mariners Offensive Trends
Despite their offensive prowess, the Mariners have struggled with strikeouts, ranking 2nd highest with 1099. This could be a point of exploitation for the Blue Jays’ pitching staff.
The Mariners’ ability to draw walks, ranked 13th, shows their patience at the plate, which can be a strategic advantage. They need to capitalize on every opportunity to get on base and pressure the Blue Jays’ defense.
Seattle Mariners Betting Trends
- Straight Up (SU) Last 3 Games: 1-2 (33.3%)
- Runline Last 5 Games: 2-3 (40.0%)
- Totals (Over/Under) Last 5 Games: 3-2 (60.0%)
- SU as Underdog: 3-2 (60.0%)
- O/U as Favorite: 2-1 (66.7%)
The Seattle Mariners face a challenging task against the Blue Jays, but their hitting and pitching depth can turn the series around. Kirby’s performance on the mound will be a focal point, as will the ability of their hitters to capitalize on scoring opportunities.
Mariners Set Sail for Victory Against Toronto Blue Jays
Seattle Mariners Offensive Overview
The Seattle Mariners hold a respectable batting average of .244, placing them 11th in the league. With an on-base percentage of .319, they rank 7th, showing a strong ability to get runners on base. Their slugging percentage of .420 puts them in 8th place, highlighting their capacity to hit for power.
The Mariners have launched 238 home runs this season, ranking 3rd overall. However, they are at the lower end in doubles with 234, coming in 26th. Their patient approach at the plate has earned them 544 walks, placing them 9th in this category.
Key Mariners Players
Cal Raleigh has been a standout performer for Seattle, leading the team with 60 home runs and 125 RBIs. His .247 batting average and .589 slugging percentage are a testament to his power-hitting capabilities. Eugenio Suárez also contributes significantly with 49 home runs and 118 RBIs, although his batting average sits at .228.
Josh Naylor is another key contributor, hitting .295 with 20 home runs and 92 RBIs. His consistent hitting makes him a crucial part of the Mariners’ lineup. J.P. Crawford and Jorge Polanco add depth, with each posting a .265 batting average.
Mariners’ Pitching Performance
The Mariners’ pitching staff has maintained a solid ERA of 3.87, placing them 12th in the league. Opponents have a batting average of .240 against them, ranking Seattle 10th in this category. The Mariners have given up 192 home runs, placing them in the middle of the pack at 16th.
With 67 quality starts, Seattle’s rotation is reliable, ranking 6th in the league. Their bullpen has recorded 26 blown saves, which is 9th overall, indicating some vulnerability in closing out games. Mariners pitchers have amassed 1426 strikeouts, ranking 7th, underscoring their ability to overpower hitters.
Team Betting Trends
- SU in Last 5 Games: 2-3 (40.0%)
- Runline as Underdog: 5-1 (83.3%)
- O/U in Away Games: 4-1 (80.0%)
- SU After a Loss: 3-1 (75.0%)
As they prepare to take on the Toronto Blue Jays, the Mariners aim to leverage their strengths and address their weaknesses. With George Kirby on the mound, they look to contain the Blue Jays’ offense and capitalize on their own power-hitting capabilities. A win would boost their position in the postseason standings and strengthen their confidence moving forward.
Blue Jays vs Mariners Prediction: Over 7.5
The Toronto Blue Jays and Seattle Mariners have consistently exceeded the projected run total in recent matchups. Their last three games have all gone over the total, illustrating both teams’ offensive capabilities.
The Blue Jays’ postseason form at the plate, led by standout performances from Vladimir Guerrero Jr. and Ernie Clement, suggests a continued offensive output. Meanwhile, the Mariners have shown they can keep pace, ensuring a high-scoring affair.
Starting pitchers George Kirby and Shane Bieber have respectable stats, but the offensive prowess of both lineups, particularly in the postseason, indicates an edge towards scoring. Additionally, the Mariners’ road struggles might contribute to more scoring opportunities for the Blue Jays.
With the over trend being dominant in their recent meetings and postseason performance, expecting a game total surpassing 7.5 runs is reasonable. The Blue Jays’ recent 6-2 win further supports an expectation for a higher scoring Game 7.
- Blue Jays vs Mariners Prediction: Over 7.5
- Blue Jays vs Mariners Score: Blue Jays 6 – Mariners 4
