MLB Game Prediction

Toronto Blue Jays vs Seattle Mariners Prediction & Betting Tips for ALCS 6 on 10/19/2025

Want our best Toronto Blue Jays vs Seattle Mariners prediction for ALCS 6 on 10/19/25? Get our MLB betting tip as the Mariners travel to the Blue Jays on 10/19/25 at Rogers Centre, in Toronto. Knup Sports has your free pick!

The Seattle Mariners and Toronto Blue Jays are set to play Game 6 of the ALCS at the Rogers Centre in Toronto. The Mariners hold a 3-2 series lead in this best-of-7 showdown. Game time is scheduled for Sunday, October 19, 2025, at 8:03 PM, with coverage on FS1.

With a season record of 90-72, the Mariners have proven themselves formidable, particularly under the leadership of manager Dan Wilson. They have displayed resilience away from home, with a 39-42 road record. Toronto, managed by John Schneider, boasts a stronger regular-season record of 94-68 and an impressive home record of 54-27.

The Mariners recently secured a 6-2 victory against the Blue Jays, demonstrating their offensive might with three home runs. Eugenio Suárez and Cal Raleigh were standout performers, contributing significantly to Seattle’s success. The Blue Jays, although with a powerful lineup, will look to capitalize on their home-field advantage to extend the series.

Blue Jays vs Mariners ALCS 6 At a Glance

  • Game Setup: This is Game 6 of the ALCS, with the Mariners leading the series 3–2.
  • Venue: The game will be held at Rogers Centre in Toronto, ON, featuring a retractable roof.
  • Weather Forecast: Conditions predict moderate rain and breezy winds, but the roof may negate the impact on play.
  • TV Broadcast: The game will be televised on FS1.
  • Betting Odds: Blue Jays are favored with a moneyline of -125, while Mariners are at +107.
  • Team Records: Mariners finished the regular season with a 90-72 record, compared to the Blue Jays’ 94-68.

Blue Jays Eyeing Redemption in Game 6 Showdown

Mariners Offensive Overview

The Seattle Mariners have demonstrated a potent offense this season, ranking first in batting average with a .265 mark. Their on-base percentage of .331 is also among the top in the league, coming in at second. These statistics highlight the Mariners’ ability to consistently reach base and create scoring opportunities.

The team has shown a balanced power approach, with 191 home runs placing them 11th in the league. Additionally, the Mariners’ 294 doubles rank third, indicating a strong penchant for extra-base hits. This combination of power and consistency makes them a formidable opponent at the plate.

Mariners Key Players to Watch

Logan Gilbert will take the mound for Seattle, coming into the game with an ERA of 3.44 and a WHIP of 1.03. Gilbert’s ability to limit baserunners will be crucial in managing the Blue Jays’ offensive threats. His season record stands at 6-6, highlighting his reliability in starting roles.

At the plate, Cal Raleigh remains a significant threat, having demonstrated clutch hitting in recent games. Raleigh’s impact on the Mariners’ offensive success cannot be overstated, as he continues to be a pivotal player in their lineup.

Seattle Mariners Pitching Performance

Seattle’s pitching staff has maintained a respectable ERA of 4.19, placing them 18th in the league. Their ability to suppress opposing hitters is evident in their .240 batting average against, ranking them 10th. The Mariners’ bullpen will be essential in securing a win, particularly in high-leverage situations.

However, they have shown vulnerability in giving up the long ball, allowing 209 home runs this season, which ranks 23rd. This could be an area the Blue Jays look to exploit, given their own power-hitting capabilities.

Betting Trends for the Mariners

  • Runline Last 3: 2-1 (66.7%)
  • Runline Last 5: 2-3 (40.0%)
  • Runline in Away Games: 3-2 (60.0%)
  • O/U Last 3: 3-0 (100.0%)
  • O/U in Away Games: 4-1 (80.0%)

Focus on Mariners’ Recent Strategies

Seattle’s approach in recent games has highlighted their reliance on timely hitting and strategic bullpen management. Their ability to adapt to game situations has been crucial in their playoff success. The Mariners have consistently demonstrated resilience, particularly in late-game scenarios where strategic decisions are most critical.

The Mariners’ coaching staff will likely emphasize the importance of maintaining their offensive pressure while carefully managing their bullpen to counter the Blue Jays’ offensive threats.

Seattle Mariners Ready to Make Waves Against Toronto Blue Jays

Seattle Mariners: Hitting Powerhouse

The Mariners enter this postseason game with a batting average of .244, ranking 11th in the league. Their on-base percentage stands impressively at .319, placing them 7th overall. They have been consistent in slugging, ranking 8th with a percentage of .420.

With 238 home runs this season, the Mariners hold the 3rd spot for most home runs, showcasing their ability to clear the fences. Despite ranking 26th in doubles, their power game remains strong with key contributors like Cal Raleigh and Eugenio Suárez leading the charge.

Key Players to Watch

Cal Raleigh stands out as a key player, leading the team with 60 home runs and a .247 batting average. His on-base percentage of .359 further highlights his importance in the lineup. Eugenio Suárez complements Raleigh well with 49 home runs and a .526 slugging percentage.

Josh Naylor provides a consistent presence at the plate with a .295 batting average, proving himself as a valuable asset. Jorge Polanco also adds depth to the lineup, contributing significantly with 26 home runs and a .495 slugging percentage.

Pitching Analysis

Logan Gilbert takes the mound for the Mariners, boasting a solid ERA of 3.44 and a WHIP of 1.03. His ability to keep opposing hitters at bay will be crucial in this postseason encounter. The Mariners’ pitching staff ranks 12th in ERA with a 3.87, underscoring their reliability on the mound.

With 67 quality starts, the Mariners’ pitching rotation has shown its ability to provide consistent performances. Their strikeout total of 1,426, ranked 7th, further emphasizes their pitching prowess.

Team Betting Trends

  • SU Last 3 Games: 1-2 (33.3%)
  • SU Last 5 Games: 3-2 (60.0%)
  • SU Last 10 Games: 6-4 (60.0%)
  • SU as Underdog: 5-0 (100.0%)
  • SU in Away Games: 3-1 (75.0%)
  • Runline as Underdog: 5-0 (100.0%)
  • O/U Last 3: 3-0 (100.0%)
  • O/U in Away Games: 3-1 (75.0%)

Recent Performance Against Blue Jays

In their recent game against the Blue Jays, the Mariners secured a decisive 6-2 victory. Eugenio Suárez played a pivotal role, hitting two home runs, including a grand slam. Bryce Miller also contributed with a solid performance on the mound.

The Mariners’ offense showed its capability with three home runs, despite only recording five hits in the game. This victory allows them to regain momentum in the postseason.

Blue Jays vs Mariners Prediction: Over 7.5

The Toronto Blue Jays and Seattle Mariners have frequently produced high-scoring games in their recent matchups, with the OVER hitting in all five of their last encounters. The Blue Jays have shown an impressive OVER trend in their postseason play, going 7-2 in their last 10 games, and 5-0 when the total is set at 7.5 or lower.

Despite facing a must-win game, the Blue Jays’ offense has been potent, ranking first in batting average and second in on-base percentage during the regular season. Meanwhile, the Mariners have displayed power with their bats, evident from Eugenio Suarez’s recent home run outburst, including a pivotal grand slam in Game 5.

Starting pitchers Logan Gilbert and Trey Yesavage have solid ERAs, but the pressure of an elimination game could lead to offensive opportunities on both sides. The Mariners’ bullpen has struggled at times, raising the likelihood of additional runs being scored late in the game.

Considering the offensive potential of both teams and the current betting trends, the OVER 7.5 offers value. A projected score of Blue Jays 6 – Mariners 4 aligns with this prediction.

  • Blue Jays vs Mariners Prediction: Over 7.5
  • Blue Jays vs Mariners Score: Blue Jays 6 – Mariners 4
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