The Baylor Bears, with a season record of 4-2, travel to Fort Worth, TX, for a Week 8 showdown against the TCU Horned Frogs. Baylor has demonstrated strength on the road, holding a 2-0 away record. This game will be held at Amon G. Carter Stadium and is set to air on ESPN2 at 12:00 PM on Saturday, October 18, 2025.
Meanwhile, TCU boasts an identical 4-2 record but has enjoyed success at home, winning all three of their games at Amon G. Carter Stadium this season. Recently, they secured a 35-21 home victory against Colorado in Week 6. However, their last outing saw them fall short against Kansas State, 41-28, on the road.
Baylor enters this game with recent momentum, having won their last two games, including a tight 35-34 victory over Kansas State. The sportsbooks have set the consensus odds with TCU as slight favorites at -147 on the moneyline, while Baylor is at +123. The total points line is currently set at 66.0.
TCU vs Baylor At a Glance
- Game Location: Amon G. Carter Stadium in Fort Worth, TX
- Game Time: Saturday, October 18, 2025, at 12:00 PM
- Television: ESPN2
- Baylor Bears Record: 4-2 overall, 2-0 on the road
- TCU Horned Frogs Record: 4-2 overall, 3-0 at home
- Game Odds: TCU favored by 3 points with a moneyline of -147
The TCU Horned Frogs: A Force to Reckon With
Season Overview
As the TCU Horned Frogs prepare to meet the Baylor Bears, their season statistics provide a glimpse into their performance. Currently, TCU ranks 30th in points scored with 212 points in the 2025 season. Their passing game stands out, ranking 6th with 1,934 yards, while rushing has been a challenge, placing them at 108th with 706 yards.
Defensively, the Horned Frogs have had mixed results, allowing 148 points and ranking 86th. However, their aggressive play is evident with 16 sacks, positioning them 10th, and they excel in turnovers with 6 interceptions, ranking 7th.
Key Players
Quarterback Josh Hoover is the driving force for TCU’s offense. With 1,893 passing yards, Hoover ranks second in the league and has been instrumental in securing 18 touchdowns.
Wide receiver Eric McAlister has proven to be a vital asset. His 541 receiving yards place him 10th in the league, and his seven touchdowns showcase his ability to make impactful plays.
Recent Games Analysis
In recent games, TCU has demonstrated resilience and capability, despite some losses. Their victory against Colorado Buffaloes, 35-21, highlighted their offensive prowess, particularly in the passing game with 275 yards.
However, their losses to Arizona State and Kansas State indicate areas for improvement, especially in defense and rushing, where they conceded significant yardage on the ground.
Upcoming Challenges
TCU will play Baylor at home, with their recent home game performances being a source of confidence. The Horned Frogs have a perfect 6-0 record at home across their last six games.
As they look to capitalize on their home advantage, TCU will aim to address their vulnerabilities, especially against a team with Baylor’s capabilities.
Injury Report
The Horned Frogs are dealing with several injuries that could affect their performance. Key players like Elijah Jackson and Avery Helm are questionable, potentially impacting the team’s defensive strength.
Furthermore, the absence of Keylan Abrams for the season due to a leg injury adds to the team’s defensive challenges.
TCU Betting Trends
- SU – Home Games: Last 6 Games (2024–2025) → 6-0 (100.0%)
- SU – As Favorite: Last 30 Games (2022–2025) → 23-7 (76.7%)
- SU – After Loss: Last 4 Games (2024–2025) → 4-0 (100.0%)
- ATS – After Loss: Last 4 Games (2024–2025) → 4-0 (100.0%)
- O/U – Away Games: Last 11 Games (2023–2025) → 8-3 (72.7%)
Baylor Bears Poised for a Battle Against TCU Horned Frogs
Team Overview
The Baylor Bears have displayed a strong offensive presence in the 2025 season, ranking 1st in passing yards with 2092 yards. Their ability to move the ball through the air has been instrumental in their offensive strategy, although their rushing game ranks 81st with 873 yards.
Defensively, Baylor has struggled with points against, ranking 106th with 178 points allowed. However, they have excelled in creating turnovers, ranking 6th in interceptions with 5 and 8th in fumbles recovered with 1.
Key Players to Watch
Quarterback Sawyer Robertson leads the offense with an impressive 2058 passing yards, ranking 1st in the league. His 19 passing touchdowns also top the league, making him a critical asset for the Bears.
On the ground, running back Bryson Washington has contributed significantly with 557 rushing yards, ranking 21st. His performance will be crucial in balancing Baylor’s offensive attack against TCU.
Recent Performance
Baylor’s recent victory over Kansas State with a 35-34 score showcased their resilience in close games. Their passing game was on full display with 345 passing yards, proving crucial in outpacing the Wildcats.
In their previous road game against Oklahoma State, Baylor secured a decisive 45-27 win. Their ability to generate 393 passing yards and 219 rushing yards demonstrates their offensive versatility and capability to dominate on the road.
Injury Impact
The Bears face some injury challenges with key players like Phoenix Jackson and Devin Turner ruled out for the season. The questionable status of players such as Michael Allen and Omar Aigbedion could affect their depth against TCU.
These injuries could test Baylor’s defensive strategies, especially against TCU’s offensive threats. The Bears will need to adjust their game plan accordingly to compensate for these absences.
Betting Trends
- O/U – As Underdog: Last 6 Games (2024–2025) → 5-0-1 (83.3%)
- SU – Away Games: Last 5 Games (2024–2025) → 5-0 (100.0%)
- O/U – After Loss: Last 5 Games (2024–2025) → 5-0 (100.0%)
- O/U – Away Games: Last 17 Games (2022–2025) → 14-3 (82.4%)
- SU – All Games: Last 12 Games (2024–2025) → 10-2 (83.3%)
TCU vs Baylor Prediction: TCU -3.0
TCU Horned Frogs are set to play at home against the Baylor Bears and are favored by 3 points. The Horned Frogs have been impressive at home this season with a perfect 3-0 record, demonstrating a solid performance in front of their home crowd. In addition, TCU has a strong track record after a loss, going 4-0 in their last four games, both straight up and against the spread (ATS).
On the other side, Baylor has been flawless on the road this season with a 2-0 record, but TCU’s defensive prowess and ability to rebound strongly after setbacks should give them the edge. TCU’s defense has allowed 148 points this season, ranking them 86th in points against, whereas Baylor has conceded more points with a rank of 106th. This defensive edge further supports the Horned Frogs’ ability to cover the spread.
While Baylor’s passing game has been prolific, ranking 1st with 2092 passing yards, TCU’s overall balanced play, especially at home, should be enough to suppress Baylor’s offensive threats. The Horned Frogs have shown resilience and the ability to perform under pressure, particularly when coming off a loss. With TCU’s strong defensive showing and home-field advantage, they are likely to cover the -3.0 spread.
Expect a competitive game but with TCU prevailing and covering the spread by a narrow margin. The projected final score in this matchup supports TCU’s ability to cover as they aim to maintain their perfect home record.
- TCU vs Baylor Prediction: TCU -3.0
- TCU vs Baylor Score: TCU 34 – Baylor 28
