The Arkansas State Red Wolves travel to Mobile, AL to take on the South Alabama Jaguars in Week 8 of the 2025 regular season. Scheduled for a Tuesday night kickoff, the game will take place at Hancock Whitney Stadium and will be broadcast on ESPN2. Both teams are part of the Sun Belt Conference and are looking to improve their standings.
Currently holding a 2-4 record, Arkansas State has struggled on the road, going 0-3 away from Centennial Bank Stadium. Their recent performance includes a narrow victory over Texas State with a score of 31-30, showcasing their ability to compete in tight games. The Red Wolves will aim to translate their home success to the road as they face another Sun Belt opponent.
South Alabama enters the matchup with a 1-5 record and a 1-2 mark at home this season. Despite their record, the Jaguars have demonstrated strong rushing capabilities, as seen in their recent game against Troy where they accumulated 265 rushing yards. With the home advantage, South Alabama hopes to turn their season around against a conference rival.
South Alabama vs Arkansas State At a Glance
- Game Date & Time: Tuesday, October 14, 2025, at 7:30 PM
- Location: Hancock Whitney Stadium in Mobile, AL
- TV Broadcast: ESPN2
- Arkansas State Record: 2-4 overall, 0-3 on the road
- South Alabama Record: 1-5 overall, 1-2 at home
- Betting Odds: South Alabama favored with a moneyline of -285 and a spread of -7.5
South Alabama Jaguars: A Road Test for the Jaguars
Offensive Challenges
The South Alabama Jaguars have faced hurdles on the offensive front this season, scoring 150 points and ranking 64th nationally. Their passing game has been a particular concern, with 1068 passing yards, placing them at 103rd. However, their rushing attack has been more effective, ranking 29th with 1215 rushing yards.
First downs have come relatively easier for the Jaguars, as they rank 39th nationally with 120 first downs this season. This indicates a balanced offensive strategy, although they need to improve their passing efficiency to support their rushing prowess.
Defensive Struggles
Defensively, the Jaguars have struggled, allowing 190 points against them, ranking 113th. Despite this, their ability to generate turnovers stands out, with 6 fumbles recovered, ranking 3rd in the nation. The Jaguars’ defense also boasts 7 sacks, which ranks them 19th.
Interceptions have been a strong point, with 2 picks ranking them 3rd, showing their secondary can create turnovers. However, improving overall defensive consistency will be key to turning their season around.
Recent Performance
In their recent games, the Jaguars have faced tough competition, resulting in five consecutive losses. Their most recent game against Troy ended in a narrow 31-24 defeat, where they struggled with passing but excelled in rushing with 265 yards.
In previous games, such as the 36-22 loss to North Texas, the Jaguars showed balanced yardage but couldn’t convert it into a victory. Their game against Tulane was a close 33-31 loss, highlighting their competitive spirit despite the results.
Key Players
Quarterback Bishop Davenport has been a pivotal figure, contributing 1063 passing yards and 9 touchdowns. Kentrel Bullock leads the rushing attack with 496 yards and 5 touchdowns, ranking 31st nationally.
On the receiving end, Devin Voisin has been a standout performer, catching 37 passes for 501 yards and 4 touchdowns. His contributions have been critical in keeping the Jaguars competitive.
Team Betting Trends
- Over/Under in Home Games: 6-0 in last 6 games (2024-2025)
- Over/Under as Favorite: 3-0 in last 3 games (2025)
- Straight Up as Favorite: 20-10 in last 30 games (2021-2025)
- Over/Under After Win: 16-9 in last 25 games (2021-2025)
- Straight Up in Home Games: 17-10 in last 27 games (2021-2025)
As the Jaguars continue their season, addressing their defensive issues and enhancing their passing game will be crucial. Their ability to recover from this challenging stretch will determine their trajectory moving forward.
Arkansas State Red Wolves: Analyzing Their Upcoming Game
Offensive Overview
The Arkansas State Red Wolves have scored 140 points in the current season, placing them 69th nationally. Their passing game has been relatively effective, accumulating 1461 yards which ranks them 56th. However, their rushing attack has struggled, ranking 103rd with 731 yards.
In their last outing against Texas State, Arkansas State managed to secure a close 31-30 victory. The Red Wolves showcased a balanced offense with 248 passing yards and 152 rushing yards.
Defensive Performance
On the defensive side, Arkansas State has allowed 190 points this season, ranking them 113th. They have been effective in creating turnovers with 4 interceptions and 5 fumbles recovered, both ranking within the top 5 nationally.
In their recent win over Texas State, the defense managed to hold the Bobcats to 230 passing yards. However, they allowed 289 rushing yards, indicating potential vulnerabilities in their run defense.
Key Players to Watch
Quarterback Jaylen Raynor has been a standout performer for Arkansas State, amassing 1454 passing yards and 8 touchdowns over six games. His ability to lead the offense will be crucial in their upcoming game.
On the ground, running backs Kenyon Clay and Devin Spencer have contributed with over 190 rushing yards each. Receiver Chauncy Cobb has also been a key target, with 406 receiving yards this season.
Injury Concerns
The Red Wolves have several players on the injury list, including RB Ja’Quez Cross who is out for the season with a torn ACL. Other players like Aleric Watson and Quincy Wright are listed as questionable with undisclosed injuries.
These injuries could impact Arkansas State’s depth, particularly on offense, and they will need other players to step up in their absence.
Recent Form
Arkansas State’s recent performances have been mixed, with a narrow victory over Texas State following three consecutive losses. Their offense has shown flashes of potential, but consistency remains a challenge.
Defensively, their ability to generate turnovers will be a key factor in their upcoming game, especially against strong offensive opponents.
Betting Trends
- ATS – Away Games: 13-10 (56.5%)
- ATS – As Underdog: 11-9 (55.0%)
- SU – All Games: 15-13 (53.6%)
- O/U – Away Games: 9-8 (52.9%)
- ATS – After Win: 12-10 (54.5%)
South Alabama vs Arkansas State Prediction: Over 58.5
The game between South Alabama and Arkansas State is likely to exceed the total of 58.5 points. South Alabama has shown a consistent trend towards high-scoring games, particularly in their recent performances. Over their last seven games, South Alabama has hit the over five times, indicating a strong pattern of games with higher point totals.
Arkansas State, despite their 2-4 record, has demonstrated an ability to score, as evidenced by their 38-point showing against Bowling Green in last year’s bowl game. Combined with South Alabama’s offensive capabilities, this could set the stage for a high-scoring contest. Given both teams’ defensive vulnerabilities, there is potential for a point-heavy game.
Further supporting this prediction is the trend of South Alabama hitting the over in all their home games over the past season. This pattern suggests that when playing at Hancock Whitney Stadium, the Jaguars are involved in games that see a lot of scoring. Additionally, South Alabama has hit the over in their last three games when favored, reinforcing the likelihood of a higher point total.
The anticipated outcome of the game aligns with the current trends, with South Alabama expected to leverage their offensive strengths to secure a win. Based on the data and trends, the predicted final score is South Alabama 38, Arkansas State 27, resulting in a combined score of 65, which is over the total set at 58.5.
- South Alabama vs Arkansas State Prediction: Over 58.5
- South Alabama vs Arkansas State Score: South Alabama 38 – Arkansas State 27
