The Chicago Bears, under the leadership of head coach Ben Johnson, travel to face the Washington Commanders in Week 6 of the 2025 NFL season. With a current record of 2-2, the Bears are looking to improve their road performance at Northwest Stadium in Landover, MD. Their recent narrow victory against the Las Vegas Raiders shows their potential to pull off close wins. Meanwhile, the Washington Commanders, coached by Dan Quinn, have secured a 3-2 start to their season and remain unbeaten at home. The Commanders recently dominated the Los Angeles Chargers with a 27-10 win, highlighting their strong home-field presence. As they host the Bears, they’ll aim to continue their winning streak at Northwest Stadium. The odds favor the Commanders with a moneyline of -223, indicating their home advantage. The Bears have a moneyline of +186, reflecting their underdog status. The spread is set at 4.5 points, with the total over/under at 50.5 points, suggesting expectations for a competitive game.
Commanders vs Bears At a Glance
- Game Location: Northwest Stadium in Landover, MD
- Game Time: Monday, October 13, 2025 at 8:15 PM
- Broadcast: Watch on ABC
- Weather: Forecast details unavailable
- Chicago Bears Record: 2-2-0 for the season
- Washington Commanders Record: 3-2-0 for the season
Washington Commanders Ready to Battle: A Preview of the Commanders’ Performance
Recent Performance
The Washington Commanders have had a mixed start to their 2025 season, holding a record of 3-2. In their most recent game, they convincingly defeated the Los Angeles Chargers 27-10, showcasing their offensive strength with 226 passing yards and 163 rushing yards.
However, the Commanders faced setbacks against the Atlanta Falcons and Green Bay Packers, with losses of 34-27 and 27-18, respectively. The team struggled defensively in these games, allowing over 300 passing yards against the Falcons.
Offensive Strengths
Washington’s offense has been a key factor in their success, ranking 5th in the league with a total score of 485 points last season. Their rushing game is particularly strong, boasting the 3rd highest rushing yards with 2619, and they have been effective in securing first downs, ranked 4th with 380.
Quarterback Jayden Daniels has been a standout performer, leading the league in passing yards and touchdowns for the Commanders. His connection with top receiver Deebo Samuel Sr., who ranks 1st in receptions and touchdowns, has been crucial for their offensive success.
Defensive Performance
The Commanders’ defense has shown resilience, with 43 sacks last season, placing them 7th in the league. Their ability to recover fumbles is also notable, with 10 recoveries ranking them 5th overall.
However, there are areas for improvement, particularly in pass defense, as they have allowed 5558 opponent offensive yards, placing them 13th in the league. Limiting big plays will be key to enhancing their defensive efforts moving forward.
Key Players and Injuries
Running back Jacory Croskey-Merritt has been a vital component of the Commanders’ rushing attack, ranking 1st in rushing yards and touchdowns for the team. The versatile Deebo Samuel Sr. also contributes significantly, leading the team in receptions and receiving yards.
Injuries have been a concern, with key players like Austin Ekeler and Terry McLaurin sidelined, impacting the team’s depth and performance. The Commanders will need to manage these injuries effectively to maintain their competitive edge.
Team Betting Trends
- ATS – As Favorite (REG): Last 10 REG Games → 10-0 (100.0%)
- SU – As Favorite (REG): Last 6 REG Games → 6-0 (100.0%)
- SU – Home Games (REG): Last 5 REG Games → 5-0 (100.0%)
- ATS – After Loss (REG): Last 4 REG Games → 4-0 (100.0%)
- ATS – Home Games (REG): Last 8 REG Games → 7-1 (87.5%)
- SU – After Loss (REG): Last 3 REG Games → 3-0 (100.0%)
- O/U – Home Games (REG): Last 7 REG Games → 6-1 (85.7%)
Chicago Bears: Navigating the 2025 Season
Offensive Challenges
The Chicago Bears have faced significant challenges on offense this season. Their total score of 310 ranks them 26th in the league, and with only 3086 passing yards, they sit at the 31st position. The rushing game isn’t much better, with 1734 yards placing them 24th overall.
First downs have been hard to come by, as the Bears rank 28th with 296. Their third down conversion rate of 32.9% is 27th in the league, indicating struggles in maintaining offensive drives.
Defensive Strengths
On the defensive side, the Bears have shown strength in certain areas. Their 40 sacks are the 9th best in the league, and they have also managed to record 11 interceptions, placing them 9th in this category as well.
The Bears have been adept at recovering fumbles, ranking 3rd with 13 recoveries. However, they have allowed a total of 6022 opponent offensive yards, which places them 27th in the league.
Recent Performance
In their recent games, the Bears secured a narrow victory against the Las Vegas Raiders with a 25-24 scoreline. Caleb Williams led the offense with 212 passing yards and one touchdown, while Kevin Byard III excelled defensively with two interceptions.
Against the Dallas Cowboys, the Bears delivered a strong performance, winning 31-14. Caleb Williams shone with 298 passing yards and four touchdowns, showcasing his potential as a key player for the team.
Injury Concerns
The Bears are dealing with several injuries that could impact their upcoming games. Key players like Grady Jarrett, T.J. Edwards, and Travis Homer are all listed as questionable for Week 6.
Additionally, the Bears have several players on the injured reserve list, including Jaylon Johnson and Amen Ogbongbemiga, who will miss significant time. These absences could affect the team’s performance in the coming weeks.
Team Betting Trends
- O/U – Away Games (REG): Last 3 REG Games (2024–2025) → 3-0 (100.0%)
- O/U – All Games (REG): Last 5 REG Games (2024–2025) → 4-1 (80.0%)
- O/U – As Underdog (REG): Last 5 REG Games (2024–2025) → 4-1 (80.0%)
- SU – All Games (REG): Last 3 REG Games (2025) → 2-1 (66.7%)
- ATS – All Games (REG): Last 3 REG Games (2025) → 2-1 (66.7%)
- SU – As Underdog (REG): Last 3 REG Games (2025) → 2-1 (66.7%)
- ATS – As Underdog (REG): Last 3 REG Games (2025) → 2-1 (66.7%)
- SU – Away Games (REG): Last 3 REG Games (2024–2025) → 2-1 (66.7%)
- SU – After Loss (REG): Last 3 REG Games (2024–2025) → 2-1 (66.7%)
- O/U – After Loss (REG): Last 3 REG Games (2024–2025) → 2-1 (66.7%)
- O/U – Totals ≤ 42 (REG): Last 3 REG Games (2024) → 2-1 (66.7%)
- O/U – Home Games (REG): Last 5 REG Games (2024–2025) → 3-2 (60.0%)
- SU – Home Games (REG): Last 3 REG Games (2024–2025) → 1-2 (33.3%)
- ATS – Home Games (REG): Last 3 REG Games (2024–2025) → 1-2 (33.3%)
- ATS – Away Games (REG): Last 3 REG Games (2024–2025) → 1-2 (33.3%)
- ATS – After Loss (REG): Last 3 REG Games (2024–2025) → 1-2 (33.3%)
- SU – Totals ≤ 42 (REG): Last 3 REG Games (2024) → 1-2 (33.3%)
- ATS – Totals ≤ 42 (REG): Last 3 REG Games (2024) → 0-3 (0.0%)
Commanders vs Bears Prediction: Over 50.5
The matchup between the Washington Commanders and the Chicago Bears presents an intriguing opportunity for an over bet, with the total set at 50.5 points. The Commanders’ offense has shown considerable firepower, ranking 5th in scoring last season with 485 points. Their ability to sustain drives is notable, with a 45.6% third-down conversion rate, which is 6th best in the league.
On the Bears side, while their offensive statistics from last season were less impressive, they have improved their record to 2-2 this season. The Bears have potential to capitalize on opportunities, especially with a new coaching staff that can better utilize their offensive assets. The presence of a night game atmosphere at the Commanders’ home stadium may also add an offensive spark.
Defensively, both teams have vulnerabilities that could lead to a high-scoring game. The Bears’ defense allowed 370 points last season, and the Commanders allowed 391. Given these figures, combined with the Commanders’ tendency to go over in recent home games (6-1 in the last 7), betting on the over seems justified.
Considering these factors, a projected score of Bears 35 – Commanders 28 supports the over 50.5 pick, as both teams exploit each other’s defensive weaknesses. This aligns with the historical trend of high-scoring games between these two teams, such as their 2023 game that ended with 40-20 in favor of the Bears.
- Commanders vs Bears Prediction: Over 50.5
- Commanders vs Bears Score: Bears 35 – Commanders 28
