The Los Angeles Chargers will take on the Miami Dolphins in a Week 6 NFL game at Hard Rock Stadium in Miami Gardens, FL. The game is scheduled for Sunday, October 12, 2025, at 1:00 PM and will be broadcast on CBS. Expect clear skies with a mild breeze, making for ideal football conditions in this outdoor venue.
The Chargers, under head coach Jim Harbaugh, enter the game with a 3-2 record this season. Although they have struggled in their last two games with losses to the Washington Commanders and New York Giants, they boast a strong divisional record of 3-0. Their road performance has been balanced, splitting their away games 1-1.
The Dolphins, coached by Mike McDaniel, have faced challenges this season with a 1-4 record. Their only victory came at home against the New York Jets, marking a 1-1 home record. Despite a narrow loss last week to the Carolina Panthers, the Dolphins will aim to leverage their home-field advantage in this upcoming contest.
Dolphins vs Chargers At a Glance
- Season Week: 2025 Week 6
- Game Location: Hard Rock Stadium in Miami Gardens, FL
- Weather: Mild day with a light breeze, clear sky
- TV Channel: CBS
- Chargers Record: 3-2-0
- Game Odds: Chargers -221, Dolphins +184
Miami Dolphins Gear Up for a Challenging Game
Offensive Overview
The Miami Dolphins enter this game with a solid offensive setup, ranking 15th in passing yards with 3,737 for the season. Their rushing game, however, is slightly less impressive, sitting at 20th with 1,795 yards. The Dolphins are 12th in first downs, highlighting their ability to sustain drives.
In their recent outings, Tua Tagovailoa has been instrumental in leading the offense. With 1,008 passing yards and 10 touchdowns this season, he is ranked first on the team in both categories. Despite his high performance, the Dolphins will miss the contribution of Tyreek Hill, who is out for the season due to injury.
Defensive Performance
Defensively, the Dolphins are ranked 10th in opponent score, allowing 364 points this season. Their ability to limit offensive yards is commendable, ranking 4th in opponent offensive yards with 5,344 yards allowed. The defense also ranks 14th in sacks and 10th in interceptions, showcasing their capability to disrupt opposing offenses.
Bradley Chubb has been a standout performer on defense, contributing significantly with sacks and tackles. The Dolphins’ defensive strategy will need to be sharp against a strong offensive opponent, especially with some key defensive players dealing with injuries.
Recent Game Insights
In their last game against the Carolina Panthers, the Dolphins fell short with a 27-24 loss. Despite a solid passing performance from Tua Tagovailoa, the rushing game struggled with only 19 yards. The defense faced challenges, allowing 239 rushing yards to the Panthers.
The previous win against the New York Jets showed the Dolphins’ potential, with a balanced performance both in the air and on the ground. De’Von Achane was a key player, contributing 99 rushing yards and a touchdown. This game will require the Dolphins to replicate such balanced play.
Injury Concerns
Injury woes have plagued the Dolphins, with several players on injured reserve, including Tyreek Hill and Alexander Mattison. The absence of these key players might impact the Dolphins’ offensive and defensive dynamics. The team will have to rely on their depth to manage these injuries effectively.
Players like Jaylen Waddle and Darren Waller will need to step up in Hill’s absence to maintain offensive productivity. The Dolphins’ coaching staff will have to make strategic adjustments to compensate for these missing players.
Betting Trends
- O/U – Home Games (REG): Last 6 REG Games (2024–2025) → 6-0 (100.0%)
- O/U – All Games (REG): Last 4 REG Games (2025) → 4-0 (100.0%)
- O/U – As Favorite (REG): Last 3 REG Games (2025) → 3-0 (100.0%)
- O/U – After Loss (REG): Last 3 REG Games (2025) → 3-0 (100.0%)
- SU – Home Games (REG): Last 6 REG Games (2024–2025) → 5-1 (83.3%)
The Dolphins are currently underdogs with a 4.5-point spread in their upcoming home game. With a total set at 43.5, the team’s betting trends show a strong tendency for overs in recent games. This trend could influence betting decisions for those looking at the total points for this game.
Chargers Gearing Up for Dolphins: A Deep Dive into Los Angeles Chargers’ Strategy
Offensive Analysis
The Los Angeles Chargers’ offense has been solid this season, scoring a total of 402 points, ranking them 11th overall. Their passing game has room for improvement, with 3629 passing yards that place them 19th. On the ground, they have gained 1882 rushing yards, ranking 17th, indicating a balanced but not standout rushing attack.
First downs have been crucial, with 316 achieved, ranking them 18th in the league. Their third-down conversion rate stands at 40.3%, which is 11th best, showcasing their ability to keep drives alive. This efficiency on third downs will be key against a Miami defense known for its aggressive play.
Defensive Strengths
The Chargers’ defense has been formidable, allowing only 301 points, which ranks them first in the league. Their pass rush has been effective with 46 sacks, placing them 5th. This pressure is complemented by a secondary that has snagged 15 interceptions, also ranked 5th.
The defense has been opportunistic, recovering six fumbles, which ranks them 9th. Despite these turnovers, they have allowed 5514 opponent offensive yards, ranking 11th. This indicates that while they bend, they often do not break, a trait they will need to maintain against Miami.
Recent Performance Overview
The Chargers have had a mixed bag of results in their recent games. They lost to the Washington Commanders 27-10, struggling offensively with only 181 passing yards. Against the New York Giants, they fell short 21-18, despite Omarion Hampton’s standout 128 rushing yards.
They managed to edge out the Denver Broncos 23-20, with a strong 270 passing yard performance. The season started strong with a 27-21 win over the Kansas City Chiefs, with Justin Herbert’s 318 passing yards leading the charge. Consistency will be key as they face the Dolphins.
Injury Impact
The Chargers’ injury list is notable, with key players like Khalil Mack and Omarion Hampton on the injured reserve. The offensive line is also impacted with Rashawn Slater out for the season. These absences could affect both their pass protection and rushing attack.
Defensively, Denzel Perryman’s absence with an ankle injury leaves a gap in their linebacker core. The Chargers will need to rely on their depth to fill these voids, especially against a dynamic Miami offense.
Team Betting Trends
- SU – Totals ≤ 42 (REG): Last 5 REG Games (2024) → 5-0 (100.0%)
- ATS – Totals ≤ 42 (REG): Last 5 REG Games (2024) → 5-0 (100.0%)
- O/U – Totals ≤ 42 (REG): Last 4 REG Games (2024) → 4-0 (100.0%)
- SU – As Favorite (REG): Last 12 REG Games (2024–2025) → 9-3 (75.0%)
- ATS – As Favorite (REG): Last 12 REG Games (2024–2025) → 9-3 (75.0%)
- SU – After Win (REG): Last 6 REG Games (2024–2025) → 5-1 (83.3%)
- ATS – After Win (REG): Last 6 REG Games (2024–2025) → 5-1 (83.3%)
- SU – All Games (REG): Last 8 REG Games (2024–2025) → 6-2 (75.0%)
- ATS – All Games (REG): Last 8 REG Games (2024–2025) → 6-2 (75.0%)
- O/U – Home Games (REG): Last 8 REG Games (2024–2025) → 6-2 (75.0%)
- SU – Away Games (REG): Last 7 REG Games (2024–2025) → 5-2 (71.4%)
- ATS – Away Games (REG): Last 7 REG Games (2024–2025) → 5-2 (71.4%)
- SU – Home Games (REG): Last 4 REG Games (2024–2025) → 3-1 (75.0%)
- ATS – Home Games (REG): Last 4 REG Games (2024–2025) → 3-1 (75.0%)
- O/U – All Games (REG): Last 14 REG Games (2024–2025) → 8-6 (57.1%)
- O/U – After Win (REG): Last 10 REG Games (2024–2025) → 6-4 (60.0%)
- O/U – As Favorite (REG): Last 11 REG Games (2024–2025) → 6-5 (54.5%)
- O/U – As Underdog (REG): Last 3 REG Games (2024–2025) → 2-1 (66.7%)
- O/U – After Loss (REG): Last 3 REG Games (2024–2025) → 2-1 (66.7%)
- O/U – Away Games (REG): Last 4 REG Games (2024–2025) → 2-2 (50.0%)
Dolphins vs Chargers Prediction: Chargers -4.5
The Chargers come into this game with a solid 3-2 record, showing strong performances in their division with a 3-0 record. Their defense has been exceptional, ranking 1st in opponent score and 5th in sacks from the previous season. This defensive strength could be a decisive factor against the Dolphins, who have struggled this season.
On the other hand, the Dolphins have a record of 1-4 and have had difficulty maintaining consistency at home. Despite a decent home record of 1-1, they have been unable to capitalize on their opportunities. The Dolphins’ offense ranks 21st in the league, which may not be enough to challenge the Chargers’ stout defense.
The spread has the Chargers as 4.5-point favorites, and given their defensive capabilities and the Dolphins’ current struggles, picking the Chargers to cover the spread seems a logical choice. The Chargers have shown they can compete well on the road, and with Jim Harbaugh as head coach, they should have the strategic edge needed to win by more than 4.5 points.
With these factors in mind, the Chargers are expected to secure a win with a projected score of Chargers 28 – Dolphins 17. The Dolphins’ recent trends in betting don’t provide enough confidence to counter the Chargers’ strong form this season.
- Dolphins vs Chargers Prediction: Chargers -4.5
- Dolphins vs Chargers Score: Chargers 28 – Dolphins 17
