CFB Game Prediction

Minnesota vs Purdue Prediction & Betting Tips for CFB Week 7 on 10/11/2025

Want our best Minnesota vs Purdue prediction for 10/11/25? Get our College Football betting tip as the Purdue travel to Minnesota in Week 7 on 10/11/25 at Huntington Bank Stadium, in Minnesota. Knup Sports has your free CFB pick!

As Week 7 of the 2025 college football season approaches, the Purdue Boilermakers will travel to Huntington Bank Stadium to take on the Minnesota Golden Gophers. The game is scheduled for Saturday, October 11, 2025, with a 7:30 PM kickoff under the lights in Minneapolis. Fans can catch the action on BTN. Purdue enters this matchup with a 2-3 record, struggling to find success on the road with a 0-1 away record. The Boilermakers’ recent performance has been marked by consecutive losses, including a 43-27 setback against Illinois at home. They will be looking to break their losing streak in conference play, where they currently stand at 0-2. Meanwhile, Minnesota has been solid at home, boasting a perfect 3-0 record at Huntington Bank Stadium. The Golden Gophers sit at 3-2 overall and hold a 1-1 record in Big Ten play, looking to recover from a tough 42-3 loss to Ohio State. Their previous home game saw them edge Rutgers in a close 31-28 contest, and they aim to maintain their home success against Purdue.

Minnesota vs Purdue At a Glance

  • Game Date: Saturday, October 11, 2025 at 7:30 PM
  • Venue: Huntington Bank Stadium in Minneapolis, MN
  • TV Channel: BTN
  • Weather: Outdoor field conditions in Minneapolis, MN
  • Minnesota Record: 3-2 overall, 3-0 at home
  • Game Odds: Minnesota favored with a spread of -9.5

Minnesota Golden Gophers Gear Up for Purdue Boilermakers Showdown

Offensive Overview

The Minnesota Golden Gophers’ offensive performance has been middling this season. They have scored 137 points, ranking 60th nationally, with passing and rushing yards at 77th and 98th, respectively.

Their ability to gain first downs has been more impressive, ranked 41st in the nation. This indicates a potential for sustaining drives, which can be crucial in controlling the game flow.

Defensive Dynamics

Minnesota’s defense has shown strength in certain areas, especially in applying pressure. They have accumulated 14 sacks, positioning them at 10th nationally, and have been effective at forcing turnovers with three interceptions and three fumble recoveries.

Despite these defensive efforts, they have allowed 107 points, placing them 58th in points against. The team will need to leverage their defensive capabilities to curb Purdue’s offensive threats.

Recent Game Performances

In their most recent outing, Minnesota struggled against Ohio State, suffering a heavy 42-3 defeat. The Golden Gophers managed only 94 passing yards and 68 rushing yards, highlighting an offensive shortfall in that game.

Conversely, their home game against Rutgers showcased a more balanced offensive approach, resulting in a 31-28 win. The team demonstrated their passing potential with 324 yards through the air.

Key Players to Watch

Quarterback Drake Lindsey has been a key contributor with 1,052 passing yards and seven touchdowns. His ability to lead the offense will be pivotal against Purdue.

On the ground, Fame Ijeboi has been the leading rusher with 225 yards. His performance will be critical in providing balance to the offensive attack.

Betting Trends

  • O/U – All Games: Last 4 Games (2025) → 4-0 (100.0%)
  • SU – As Favorite: Last 29 Games (2021–2025) → 21-8 (72.4%)
  • O/U – As Favorite: Last 3 Games (2025) → 3-0 (100.0%)
  • SU – Home Games: Last 3 Games (2025) → 3-0 (100.0%)
  • O/U – After Win: Last 3 Games (2025) → 3-0 (100.0%)
  • ATS – After Loss: Last 6 Games (2024–2025) → 5-1 (83.3%)

Purdue Boilermakers Seek Redemption on the Road

Offensive Overview

Purdue’s offensive unit has demonstrated a strong passing game this season, ranking 33rd nationally with 1,420 passing yards. Quarterback Ryan Browne is leading the charge with impressive numbers, boasting 1,338 passing yards, ranking 32nd in the league. However, the rushing attack has struggled, ranking 103rd with just 589 yards on the ground.

Despite their rushing woes, Purdue’s ability to move the chains has been commendable, ranking 23rd in first downs with 120. This balance in their passing game and ability to secure first downs will be crucial as they aim to improve their overall offensive performance.

Defensive Insights

Defensively, Purdue’s performance has been a mixed bag. The Boilermakers have allowed 149 points against them, placing them 92nd nationally. However, their defensive line has been a bright spot, accumulating 12 sacks, which ranks 12th in the nation.

Purdue’s secondary has been outstanding in terms of interceptions, with none thrown by opponents so far, ranking them 1st in the nation. The Boilermakers will need to leverage this defensive strength as they prepare for their upcoming games.

Recent Game Performances

Purdue is coming off a tough 43-27 loss against Illinois, where they struggled to contain their opponent’s passing game, allowing 390 yards. Despite their loss, Purdue showed some promise with 302 passing yards and 151 rushing yards in that game.

Earlier in the season, Purdue faced formidable opponents like Notre Dame and USC, resulting in losses with scores of 56-30 and 33-17, respectively. These games highlighted areas for improvement, particularly in their rushing defense, as both teams exploited this weakness.

Key Players to Watch

Quarterback Ryan Browne is a key player for Purdue, leading the offensive unit with his strong arm and ranking first on the team in passing yards and touchdowns. Wide receiver Michael Jackson III has also been a standout performer, with 32 receptions and 305 receiving yards.

On the defensive side, Purdue’s pass rush has been led by standout performances, contributing to their 12th-place national ranking in sacks. Their ability to pressure opposing quarterbacks will be crucial in their upcoming games.

Betting Trends

  • SU – As Favorite: 14-5 (73.7%) over the last 19 games.
  • O/U – After Loss: 16-7 (69.6%) over the last 23 games.
  • O/U – Totals ≥ 50: 18-10 (64.3%) over the last 28 games.
  • O/U – As Underdog: 19-11 (63.3%) over the last 30 games.
  • O/U – Away Games: 11-6 (64.7%) over the last 17 games.

Minnesota vs Purdue Prediction: Minnesota -9.5

Minnesota, playing at home, has shown strong performance with a 3-0 record on their turf this season. The Golden Gophers have a history of bouncing back after a loss, as indicated by their 5-1 ATS (Against the Spread) record after losses from 2024-2025. Their ability to cover the spread, especially at home, strengthens the case for taking them at -9.5 points.

Purdue, on the other hand, struggles on the road with a 0-1 record away from home this season. Additionally, their defense has allowed 149 points, ranking them 92nd nationally, which could be a significant disadvantage against a Minnesota team looking to recover from a recent defeat. This defensive vulnerability makes them less likely to cover the spread.

Minnesota’s offensive stats, though not overwhelming, show a well-balanced attack with 1139 passing yards and 647 rushing yards this season. Their home field advantage, combined with Purdue’s road struggles, suggests Minnesota has a favorable chance to win comfortably. Given these factors, Minnesota is positioned to cover the -9.5 spread.

For a projected final score, expect Minnesota’s defense, ranked 58th in points allowed, to hold Purdue’s offense in check, leading to a final scoreline of Minnesota 34 – Purdue 20. This score reflects Minnesota’s ability to both win and cover the spread.

  • Minnesota vs Purdue Prediction: Minnesota -9.5
  • Minnesota vs Purdue Score: Minnesota 34 – Purdue 20
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