CFB Game Prediction

Cincinnati vs UCF Prediction & Betting Tips for CFB Week 7 on 10/11/2025

Want our best Cincinnati vs UCF prediction for 10/11/25? Get our College Football betting tip as the UCF travel to Cincinnati in Week 7 on 10/11/25 at Nippert Stadium, in Cincinnati. Knup Sports has your free CFB pick!

As Week 7 of the 2025 college football season unfolds, the UCF Knights head to Nippert Stadium in Cincinnati to take on the Bearcats. The game kicks off at 12:00 PM and will be broadcast on FS1, setting the stage for an intriguing afternoon. UCF, currently with a 3-2 record, is seeking its first road win of the season after a challenging start in Big 12 conference play. The Knights have experienced mixed results this season, excelling at home but struggling on the road. After a recent 27-20 loss to the Kansas Jayhawks, UCF aims to bounce back and improve their 0-2 conference record. The Knights will need to address their road performance, having only managed a 0-1 record away from the Acrisure Bounce House. On the other side, Cincinnati is riding high with a 4-1 record, including an impressive 2-0 in conference games. The Bearcats have shown strength both at home and away, highlighted by a recent 38-30 victory over Iowa State. With a strong home record of 3-1, Cincinnati looks to continue its winning ways and maintain momentum in the Big 12 standings.

Cincinnati vs UCF At a Glance

  • Game Location: Nippert Stadium in Cincinnati, OH
  • Game Date & Time: Saturday, October 11, 2025, at 12:00 PM
  • TV Channel: FS1
  • UCF Season Record: 3-2 overall, 0-1 on the road
  • Cincinnati Season Record: 4-1 overall, 3-1 at home
  • Game Odds: Cincinnati is favored with a moneyline of -428, UCF at +330

Bearcats on the Prowl: Cincinnati’s Impact on the Upcoming Game

Team Overview

The Cincinnati Bearcats are entering the upcoming game with impressive season stats, ranking 21st in points for with 196 points. Their offense showcases a balanced approach with 1,366 passing yards, ranking 40th, and 1,032 rushing yards, ranking 34th. This offensive mix has earned them 110 first downs, placing them 33rd in that category.

Defensively, Cincinnati has been strong, ranking 10th in sacks with 14 and 7th in fumbles recovered with 2. They have allowed 104 points against, placing them 55th overall. Their ability to recover fumbles and apply pressure through sacks makes them a challenging opponent.

Recent Performances

Cincinnati’s recent performances have been noteworthy, with a 38-30 victory over Iowa State at home. They managed to secure 264 rushing yards and 214 passing yards in that game. The Bearcats also had a close 37-34 win against Kansas on the road, showcasing their capability in high-pressure situations.

In a dominant performance, Cincinnati crushed Northwestern State with a 70-0 victory, indicating their ability to capitalize on weaker opponents. They accumulated 362 passing yards and 243 rushing yards, demonstrating their offensive depth. These wins contribute to their current momentum.

Key Players

Quarterback Brendan Sorsby has been pivotal, ranking 41st in passing yards with 1,257 and throwing 12 touchdowns. His low interception rate, with only one interception, highlights his efficiency. On the ground, Tawee Walker leads the rushing attack with 313 yards and three touchdowns.

Wide receiver Cyrus Allen stands out with 26 receptions and 295 receiving yards, adding five touchdowns to his tally. His ability to find the end zone is critical for Cincinnati’s aerial attack. Kicker Stephen Rusnak contributes reliably with seven field goals and 23 extra points.

Upcoming Challenge

Cincinnati will play UCF Knights at Nippert Stadium, where they are 10.5-point favorites. Their recent home performances have been strong, as they aim to maintain their winning streak. With the total set at 55.5, Cincinnati’s balanced offense will look to capitalize on scoring opportunities.

The Bearcats have shown a consistent ability to perform at home, going 3-0 in their last three games at Nippert Stadium. Their home-field advantage could be a decisive factor in the upcoming contest. Cincinnati’s recent trend of exceeding point totals also plays into their favor.

Betting Trends

  • SU – As Favorite: Last 30 Games → 25-5 (83.3%)
  • SU – All Games: Last 4 Games → 4-0 (100.0%)
  • O/U – All Games: Last 4 Games → 4-0 (100.0%)
  • ATS – Totals ≥ 50: Last 4 Games → 4-0 (100.0%)
  • SU – Home Games: Last 3 Games → 3-0 (100.0%)
  • ATS – All Games: Last 3 Games → 3-0 (100.0%)

UCF Knights Ready for Showdown Against Cincinnati Bearcats

Team Overview

The Cincinnati Bearcats are gearing up to host the UCF Knights at Nippert Stadium. As of now, the Bearcats are favored by 10.5 points, indicating their strong position in this matchup. The total points line is set at 55.5, which suggests a potential high-scoring game.

UCF’s recent performances include a narrow loss against Kansas, finishing 27-20. Despite the loss, UCF’s offense showed its capability by securing more first downs than their opponent. This demonstrates their potential to challenge Cincinnati’s defense.

Offensive Strategy

UCF’s offensive lineup is anchored by quarterback Tayven Jackson, who has accumulated 906 passing yards this season. Jackson’s ability to lead the offense is crucial for UCF to disrupt Cincinnati’s defense. The team will also rely on their running backs, Myles Montgomery and Jaden Nixon, to establish a balanced attack.

Montgomery leads the team with 378 rushing yards, providing a reliable ground game option. Nixon complements him with 286 yards, making them a dual threat in the rushing department. Their combined efforts could be pivotal in opening up passing lanes for Jackson.

Defensive Stand

UCF’s defense ranks 43rd in points against, allowing 87 points this season. The Knights’ defense boasts a strong pass rush, with 9 sacks, ranking them 15th in the nation. Additionally, their secondary has proven effective, with 5 interceptions, placing them 6th overall.

To counter Cincinnati’s offense, UCF’s defense will need to maintain pressure and capitalize on turnover opportunities. Their ability to disrupt Cincinnati’s passing game could be a deciding factor in the outcome.

Injury Concerns

UCF’s injury report includes several key players listed as questionable, including quarterback Jacurri Brown with a shoulder issue. The team will need to rely on their depth to cover these gaps if these players are unable to take the field. The absence of players like Horace Lockett (DT) could impact their defensive line strength.

Despite these challenges, UCF has shown resilience in adapting their gameplay. Their ability to adjust to these setbacks will be critical in competing against Cincinnati.

Team Betting Trends

  • O/U – After Win: Last 8 Games (2024–2025) → 7-1 (87.5%)
  • SU – As Favorite: Last 3 Games (2025) → 3-0 (100.0%)
  • SU – Home Games: Last 30 Games (2021–2025) → 21-9 (70.0%)
  • O/U – Away Games: Last 28 Games (2020–2025) → 19-9 (67.9%)
  • O/U – As Underdog: Last 14 Games (2020–2025) → 10-4 (71.4%)

In conclusion, UCF faces a formidable challenge against Cincinnati. Their offensive and defensive strengths will need to align to overcome the odds and secure a victory on the road. With strategic adjustments and player performances, UCF could disrupt Cincinnati’s plans and make it a competitive game.

Cincinnati vs UCF Prediction: Over 54.5

The Cincinnati Bearcats come into this game with a 4-1 record, demonstrating a potent offense that scored 38 points against Iowa State in their most recent victory. They have consistently hit the over in their last four games, indicating a tendency for high-scoring affairs. Their offense, ranked 21st in points for, supports the likelihood of a high-scoring contest.

UCF, with a 3-2 record, has shown an ability to score as well, ranking 43rd in points for this season. Although their road performance has been less impressive, they still possess the offensive firepower to contribute significantly to the total score. Given Cincinnati’s recent trend of hitting the over, this matchup seems primed to exceed the 54.5 total.

Past head-to-head matchups have generally been low-scoring, but with both teams in the Big 12 and Cincinnati playing at home, the offensive dynamics could be different. Cincinnati’s home-field advantage and offensive depth suggest a game that will likely see both teams combining for more than the projected total.

Considering Cincinnati’s perfect record against the over in recent games and UCF’s offensive capabilities, betting on the over 54.5 points seems a prudent choice. Expect a competitive game with both teams finding the end zone frequently.

  • Cincinnati vs UCF Prediction: Over 54.5
  • Cincinnati vs UCF Score: Cincinnati 38 – UCF 24
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