MLB Game Prediction

Philadelphia Phillies vs Los Angeles Dodgers Prediction & Betting Tips for NLDS 1 on 10/4/2025

Want our best Philadelphia Phillies vs Los Angeles Dodgers prediction for NLDS 1 on 10/4/25? Get our MLB betting tip as the Dodgers travel to the Phillies on 10/4/25 at Citizens Bank Park, in Philadelphia. Knup Sports has your free pick!

The Los Angeles Dodgers and Philadelphia Phillies square off in Game 1 of the NLDS at Citizens Bank Park. The Dodgers enter this best-of-5 series with a regular season record of 93-69, while the Phillies hold a slightly better record at 96-66. Both teams are eager to get an early advantage in the series.

Under the management of Dave Roberts, the Dodgers have shown strength in their recent games, securing a five-game winning streak. Their recent victory against the Cincinnati Reds featured stellar performances, notably from Mookie Betts with three RBIs and Yoshinobu Yamamoto’s impressive pitching. As they travel to Philadelphia, the Dodgers hope to maintain their momentum.

The Phillies, managed by Rob Thomson, have also put on strong performances, winning four of their last five games. Their recent win against the Minnesota Twins was a tight battle, demonstrating their ability to thrive under pressure. With the game set under clear skies, the Phillies are ready to leverage their home-field advantage at Citizens Bank Park.

Phillies vs Dodgers NLDS 1 At a Glance

  • Game Location: Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, PA, is hosting Game 1 of the NLDS.
  • Dodgers Record: Los Angeles Dodgers enter with a regular season record of 93-69.
  • Phillies Record: Philadelphia Phillies boast a regular season record of 96-66.
  • Weather Conditions: The forecast predicts a warm day with clear skies and a calm crosswind.
  • Game Odds: Phillies are slight favorites with a moneyline of -122, while the Dodgers stand at +103.
  • Broadcast Information: The TV channel for this game is currently not available.

Phillies Prepare to Take on Dodgers in Crucial NLDS Opener

Dodgers’ Season Overview

The Los Angeles Dodgers have been a powerhouse in the National League, winning the NL West with 93 victories. Despite this success, their win total is the lowest since 2018, excluding the shortened 2020 season. This season, they hold the distinction of being the defending World Series champions.

During the regular season, the Dodgers displayed their offensive capabilities, outscoring the Phillies 28-27, even though they lost the season series 4-2 to Philadelphia. Their performance showcases the depth of their lineup and the challenges they present.

Key Players to Watch

Shohei Ohtani, a two-way player known for his prowess both on the mound and at the plate, is a focal point for the Dodgers. With a 2.87 ERA and 62 strikeouts in 14 starts, he has been a key contributor. However, Ohtani has not pitched more than 91 pitches in over a month, indicating potential bullpen exposure.

Freddie Freeman, a consistent performer, offers another significant threat with his exceptional ability to hit left-handed pitching. His wRC+ of 136 against lefties underscores his importance in the lineup.

Dodgers’ Pitching Staff and Bullpen

The Dodgers’ bullpen has been inconsistent, a notable concern as they enter the playoffs. Ranking 10th worst in MLB with a 4.19 ERA and leading the league with 27 blown saves, they present a potential vulnerability the Phillies can exploit.

Roki Sasaki has emerged as a promising high-velocity reliever, adding depth to the bullpen. However, the unit’s overall performance remains under scrutiny as they prepare to face a potent Phillies lineup.

Recent Trends

In their most recent series against the Phillies in mid-September, the Dodgers struggled, losing two out of three games. This series included a comeback by Philadelphia after Ohtani pitched five hitless innings, highlighting potential areas of concern.

The Dodgers have been effective against left-handed pitching, with a team batting average of .255 and a slugging percentage of .446, ranking second in the league. These stats underscore the importance of the Phillies’ pitching strategy.

Betting Trends

  • The Dodgers are the defending World Series champions, bringing experience to the postseason.
  • Los Angeles holds a 2-7 record at Citizens Bank Park over the last three seasons.
  • The Dodgers’ bullpen recorded the seventh-most blown saves in MLB this season.
  • Shohei Ohtani has not surpassed 91 pitches in a start in the last month.
  • In September, the Phillies scored 12 runs off Dodgers relievers in two wins in Los Angeles.

Dodgers Aim to Dominate in Crucial NLDS Game

Phillies’ Offensive Threat

The Philadelphia Phillies finished the regular season with a strong 96-66 record, which secured them the second-best in the National League. Their lineup is packed with power, making them a formidable opponent for the Dodgers.

Philadelphia’s offense is highlighted by key players like Bryce Harper and Kyle Schwarber, who can turn the tide of a game with a single swing. Their ability to manufacture runs and hit for power will be a significant challenge for the Dodgers’ pitching staff.

Key Players to Watch

One of the standout players in the Phillies’ roster is Trea Turner, who had an impactful season getting on base frequently and adding to the team’s run production. His performance will be crucial against the Dodgers’ pitchers.

J.T. Realmuto, the Phillies’ catcher, has praised the Dodgers as a model major league team, which shows the level of respect Philadelphia has for their rivals. Realmuto’s defensive and offensive capabilities will be pivotal in the series.

Phillies’ Starting Pitcher

Philadelphia will start Cristopher Sánchez in the opener against the Dodgers. Sánchez boasts an impressive 13-5 record with a 2.50 ERA and a WHIP of 1.06, indicating his efficiency and effectiveness on the mound.

Sánchez’s consistency has been a backbone for the Phillies throughout the season, making him a critical piece in their attempt to take an early lead in the series.

Betting Trends for the Philadelphia Phillies

  • Phillies are 4-2 against the Dodgers in regular season meetings.
  • Phillies have a strong home record, making Citizens Bank Park a challenging venue for opponents.
  • Philadelphia’s bullpen has been reliable in closing games, which could be a key factor in tight matchups.
  • Phillies’ offense has shown capability in both power hitting and manufacturing runs, adapting to different game situations.

Phillies vs Dodgers Prediction: Over 7.0

The Philadelphia Phillies and Los Angeles Dodgers are set to kick off their National League Division Series at Citizens Bank Park. Both teams feature potent lineups, with the Phillies boasting key hitters like Bryce Harper and Kyle Schwarber, while the Dodgers counter with Shohei Ohtani and Mookie Betts. Given the offensive depth and power on both sides, this game has the potential to surpass the total set at 7.0 runs.

Starting for the Dodgers, Shohei Ohtani brings a solid 2.87 ERA, yet the Phillies have managed to score against quality pitching throughout the regular season. Meanwhile, Cristopher Sánchez, with a 2.50 ERA, has shown consistency, but the Dodgers’ lineup is capable of creating scoring opportunities with their high-powered offense. Ohtani’s last outing against the Phillies resulted in five hitless innings, but their familiarity with him could lead to adjustments and scoring chances.

The recent head-to-head matchups have demonstrated the potential for runs, including games reaching double digits in scoring. In a high-stakes playoff atmosphere, both teams will likely aim to capitalize on every opportunity, potentially leading to a high-scoring affair. The Phillies’ home advantage could further fuel their offensive efforts, while the Dodgers will look to exploit any bullpen weaknesses.

With both lineups capable of putting runs on the board and the importance of a strong start in a short series, expect a competitive game that pushes the total over 7.0 runs. The projected score of Phillies 5 – Dodgers 4 reflects the potential for both teams to contribute offensively.

  • Phillies vs Dodgers Prediction: Over 7.0
  • Phillies vs Dodgers Score: Phillies 5 – Dodgers 4
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