In Week 6 of the 2025 regular season, the Nevada Wolf Pack are set to visit the Fresno State Bulldogs at Valley Children’s Stadium. The game is scheduled for Saturday, October 4, 2025, at 10:30 PM and will be broadcast on CBSS. Both teams are part of the Mountain West Conference, adding an extra layer of competition to this late-night encounter. The Nevada Wolf Pack come into this game with a record of 1-3, struggling particularly on the road with an 0-2 record. Their most recent outings saw them losing to Western Kentucky 31-16 and narrowly to Middle Tennessee 14-13. With no conference games played yet, Nevada will be eager to secure a much-needed win. Conversely, Fresno State boasts a 4-1 record, including a perfect 2-0 at home. The Bulldogs have momentum on their side, having won their last three games, including a tight 23-21 victory over Hawaii. As the home team, Fresno State is a significant favorite with odds placing them at -564 on the moneyline.
Fresno State vs Nevada At a Glance
- Game Location: Valley Children’s Stadium in Fresno, CA
- Game Time: Saturday, October 4, 2025 at 10:30 PM
- TV Channel: CBSS
- Fresno State Record: 4-1 this season
- Nevada Record: 1-3 this season
- Betting Odds: Fresno State -14.0 (-110) spread, Nevada +413 moneyline
Fresno State Bulldogs: A Force to Reckon With in the Upcoming Game
Team Overview
The Fresno State Bulldogs have been on a roll this season, holding a strong record of 4-1. Their offensive unit has scored 164 points, ranking them 25th overall in the nation. The team has shown a balanced approach with 988 passing yards and 880 rushing yards, ranking 75th and 40th, respectively.
Defensively, Fresno State has allowed 100 points, placing them at 67th in the rankings. Their defense has excelled in creating turnovers, with six interceptions and one fumble recovery, both ranking in the top 10 nationally. The Bulldogs’ aggressive defensive line has also been effective, recording 10 sacks, ranking 11th overall.
Recent Performance
Fresno State’s recent performances have been impressive, highlighted by their narrow 23-21 victory over Hawaii. In this game, the Bulldogs accumulated 230 passing yards, while their defense limited Hawaii to just 219 passing yards. Despite losing the first downs battle 16 to 19, they managed to secure the win through critical interceptions and timely plays.
In a dominating performance against the Southern Jaguars, Fresno State won 56-7, demonstrating their offensive firepower. They amassed 282 passing yards and 228 rushing yards, while their defense held Southern to just 12 rushing yards. The Bulldogs’ ability to control the game was evident as they recorded 31 first downs compared to Southern’s seven.
Key Players
Quarterback E.J. Warner has been a standout performer, throwing for 946 yards and five touchdowns in five games. He ranks first on the team in passing yards and touchdowns, showcasing his ability to lead the offense effectively. Running backs Rayshon Luke and Bryson Donelson have also been key contributors, with 258 and 326 rushing yards, respectively.
Wide receiver Ezekiel Avit leads the receiving corps with 18 receptions for 156 yards. Tight end Richie Anderson III has also been impactful, with eight receptions and two touchdowns. These players form the backbone of a potent Fresno State offense that continues to challenge defenses.
Injury Concerns
Fresno State has some injury concerns, including Gino Quinones and Jairus Satele, both listed as questionable. Wide receiver Josiah Freeman, also questionable, could impact the team’s passing game if unavailable. These uncertainties may pose challenges, but the Bulldogs have shown depth in their roster.
Upcoming Game and Betting Trends
Fresno State is set to play at home against the Nevada Wolf Pack, favored by 14 points. The total for the game is set at 44.5. The Bulldogs have been strong at home, holding a 22-5 record as favorites since 2022.
Fresno State Betting Trends
- SU – As Favorite: Last 27 Games (2022–2025) → 22-5 (81.5%)
- SU – Home Games: Last 27 Games (2020–2025) → 22-5 (81.5%)
- SU – After Win: Last 25 Games (2022–2025) → 20-5 (80.0%)
- SU – All Games: Last 4 Games (2025) → 4-0 (100.0%)
- ATS – Home Games: Last 3 Games (2024–2025) → 3-0 (100.0%)
- O/U – Home Games: Last 3 Games (2024–2025) → 3-0 (100.0%)
- SU – Totals ≥ 50: Last 19 Games (2022–2025) → 14-5 (73.7%)
Nevada Wolf Pack Gears Up for a Tough Battle Against Fresno State
Offensive Challenges
Nevada’s offense has faced difficulties in generating points this season, scoring just 60 points, placing them 90th in national rankings. Their passing game is particularly struggling, with a total of 624 passing yards, ranking them 122nd. While their rushing game shows more promise with 753 yards, their overall offensive consistency remains a concern.
Defensive Struggles
On the defensive side, Nevada has allowed 108 points, ranking them 74th in the country. Despite this, they have been impressive in forcing turnovers, with 3 interceptions placing them 4th nationally. Their ability to recover fumbles, with just 1 recovered, is an area needing improvement.
Key Players
Chubba Purdy has been a key figure at quarterback for Nevada, accumulating 518 passing yards across 4 games. He has thrown 1 touchdown but also has 6 interceptions, highlighting the need for better decision-making. On the ground, Herschel Turner leads the rushing efforts with 206 yards.
Recent Performances
In their recent games, Nevada faced a tough defeat against Western Kentucky, 31-16, despite matching them in first downs. A narrow loss to Middle Tennessee followed, 14-13, showcasing their ability to compete closely. Their sole win came against Sacramento State, 20-17, indicating their potential when all facets click.
Upcoming Challenge
The upcoming game against Fresno State at Valley Children’s Stadium will be a significant test for Nevada. As 14-point underdogs, the Wolf Pack will need to find answers on both sides of the ball to upset the odds. Improving their offensive efficiency will be critical against a strong opponent.
Betting Trends
- ATS – Away Games: 15-9 (62.5%) in the last 24 games.
- SU – As Favorite: 14-9 (60.9%) in the last 23 games.
- O/U – Totals ≥ 50: 16-14 (53.3%) in the last 30 games.
- O/U – Away Games: 13-11-1 (52.0%) in the last 25 games.
- O/U – As Underdog: 10-8 (55.6%) in the last 18 games.
Overall, Nevada’s performance has been mixed, and they face a challenging path ahead against Fresno State. The Wolf Pack will need to draw on their strengths and address weaknesses to achieve a positive outcome in this matchup.
Fresno State vs Nevada Prediction: Fresno State -14.0
Fresno State enters this game with an impressive 4-1 record and a perfect 2-0 at home, while Nevada struggles with a 1-3 record, including a winless record on the road. Fresno State’s offensive firepower, ranking 25th nationally in points for, should find success against Nevada’s defense, which ranks 74th in points against. Fresno State’s strength at home and strong performance as a favorite (22-5 over their last 27 games) further bolster confidence in their ability to cover the spread.
Nevada’s defense, despite ranking 11th in sacks and 4th in interceptions, may have a tough time containing a Fresno State offense that is both potent on the ground and through the air. Fresno State’s ability to generate first downs and maintain possession could wear down Nevada’s defensive unit over the course of the game. Nevada’s offensive struggles, particularly in passing (ranked 122nd), may limit their ability to keep up on the scoreboard.
Additionally, Fresno State has covered the spread in their last three home games, showcasing their ability to not only win but also to do so convincingly in front of their home crowd. Given these trends and the statistical mismatch, Fresno State looks positioned to not only win but to do so by a margin that covers the 14-point spread. The odds of -14.0 (-110) appear favorable for Fresno State backers.
Considering the offensive and defensive dynamics, along with Fresno State’s strong trends in similar situations, a projected final score of Fresno State 34, Nevada 13 seems reasonable. This scoreline supports a Fresno State cover, taking advantage of Nevada’s vulnerabilities on both sides of the ball.
- Fresno State vs Nevada Prediction: Fresno State -14.0
- Fresno State vs Nevada Score: Fresno State 34 – Nevada 13
