The Texas State Bobcats travel to Jonesboro, AR, to take on the Arkansas State Red Wolves in Week 6 of the 2025 Regular Season. This Sun Belt Conference matchup is set to kick off at 4:00 PM on October 4th at Centennial Bank Stadium. Fans can catch the game on ESNU as the Bobcats aim to improve their 3-1 record. Texas State comes into this game with a balanced performance, showing a 1-1 record on the road. Their recent outings highlight a strong offensive front, as seen in their 35-3 victory over Nicholls Colonels. The Bobcats will look to leverage their offensive prowess against a struggling Arkansas State team. Arkansas State holds a 1-4 record, with their lone win at home against Southeast Missouri State. Despite some tough losses, the Red Wolves will seek to capitalize on home-field advantage to turn their season around. With a challenging start, this game presents an opportunity for Arkansas State to gain momentum within their conference play.
Arkansas State vs Texas State At a Glance
- Game Location: Centennial Bank Stadium in Jonesboro, AR
- Game Date & Time: Saturday, October 4, 2025 at 4:00 PM
- Broadcast: Available on ESNU
- Texas State Record: 3-1 for the season
- Arkansas State Record: 1-4 for the season
- Betting Odds: Texas State favored with a -13.5 spread
Arkansas State Red Wolves Seek Redemption in Upcoming Game
Offensive Insights
The Arkansas State Red Wolves have struggled offensively this season, ranking 62nd in points scored with a total of 109. Despite these challenges, they have excelled in the passing game, securing the 35th spot with 1,213 passing yards. However, their ground game needs improvement as they rank 95th with just 579 rushing yards.
Their ability to earn first downs is impressive, ranking 22nd with 108 first downs so far this season. This indicates that while they can move the chains effectively through the air, they need to establish a more balanced attack to maintain possession and control the game flow.
Defensive Struggles
Defensively, the Red Wolves have had their challenges, allowing 160 points against, ranking them 109th. However, they are doing well in creating turnovers, ranking 5th in interceptions with 4 and 3rd in fumbles recovered with 4. These takeaways will be crucial in giving their offense more opportunities.
Their pass rush has been effective, securing 7 sacks and earning the 14th rank. Continued pressure on the opposing quarterback could be a key to their success in upcoming games, especially when they face strong offensive teams.
Key Players
Quarterback Jaylen Raynor has been a standout performer, passing for 1,206 yards and 6 touchdowns, leading the team’s offensive charge. His ability to connect with top receiver Chauncy Cobb, who has 367 receiving yards, has been instrumental in their passing success.
On the rushing front, Kenyon Clay and Devin Spencer lead the team, with 166 and 188 rushing yards respectively. Improving their run game efficiency will be critical in taking pressure off Raynor and opening up their offensive playbook.
Recent Game Performances
In recent games, Arkansas State faced tough losses against Louisiana-Monroe and Kennesaw State. In both contests, the Red Wolves displayed a strong passing game but struggled to establish the run, which contributed to their narrow defeats.
Their lone win this season came in a high-scoring affair against Southeast Missouri State, where they put up 42 points. This victory showcased their potential when both the passing and rushing units clicked together, a blueprint they’ll look to replicate.
Betting Trends
- SU – As Favorite: Last 11 Games (2022–2025) → 10-1 (90.9%)
- SU – Home Games: Last 13 Games (2023–2025) → 10-3 (76.9%)
- O/U – After Win: Last 5 Games (2024–2025) → 4-1 (80.0%)
- ATS – After Loss: Last 7 Games (2024–2025) → 5-2 (71.4%)
- O/U – As Favorite: Last 20 Games (2020–2025) → 12-8 (60.0%)
As the Arkansas State Red Wolves prepare for their upcoming games, they’ll aim to leverage their strengths while addressing their weaknesses. With improvements in the running game and continued defensive takeaways, they have the potential to turn their season around.
Texas State Bobcats: A Force on the Road Against Arkansas State
Offensive Performance
The Texas State Bobcats’ offense has shown a balanced attack this season, scoring 145 points, ranking them 39th nationally. Their rushing game stands out with 895 yards, positioning them 37th in the nation. The passing offense, however, ranks 87th with 878 yards, indicating room for improvement.
Defensive Strengths
Defensively, the Bobcats have limited opponents to 100 points, ranking them 67th nationally. Their pass rush has been effective, accumulating seven sacks, placing them 14th in the nation. The defense also excels in intercepting passes, ranking 2nd nationally with one interception.
Quarterback Performance
Brad Jackson leads the Bobcats as the starting quarterback, having played in all four games this season. With 864 passing yards and six touchdowns, Jackson ranks 79th and 64th nationally, respectively. His single interception highlights his efficiency and decision-making under pressure.
Rushing Attack
Lincoln Pare spearheads the Bobcats’ rushing attack, amassing 363 yards, which ranks him 37th nationally. Pare’s three rushing touchdowns have been crucial in their offensive game plan. Supporting Pare, Greg Burrell and Jaylen Jenkins have contributed significantly with their combined rushing yardage and touchdowns.
Receiving Corps
Beau Sparks stands out among the receivers with 370 yards and five touchdowns, ranking him 26th and 6th nationally, respectively. Sparks’ performance has been pivotal in providing scoring opportunities for the Bobcats. Meanwhile, Kylen Evans and Chris Dawn Jr. have added depth and versatility to the receiving unit.
Special Teams
Tyler Robles has been reliable in the kicking game, making four field goals and 17 extra points. His contributions rank him 79th in field goals made and 35th in extra points nationally. Robles’ consistency adds another dimension to the Bobcats’ scoring capability.
Recent Game Insights
In their recent 35-3 victory over Nicholls, the Bobcats demonstrated their offensive potential, outgaining Nicholls in both passing and rushing yards. Their defense was equally impressive, holding Nicholls to just three points. This performance boosts the Bobcats’ confidence as they prepare to take on Arkansas State.
Texas State Bobcats Betting Trends
- Last 3 Games as Favorite (2024–2025): 3-0 (100%)
- After a Loss: Last 3 Games (2024–2025): 3-0 (100%)
- Home Games: Last 21 Games (2022–2025): 15-6 (71.4%)
- As Favorite O/U: Last 6 Games (2024–2025): 5-1 (83.3%)
- After Loss ATS: Last 30 Games (2020–2025): 19-11 (63.3%)
- Totals ≥ 50 SU: Last 29 Games (2022–2025): 18-11 (62.1%)
Arkansas State vs Texas State Prediction: Arkansas State +13.5
With a spread of +13.5, Arkansas State looks appealing against Texas State. Despite their 1-4 record, Arkansas State has shown the ability to cover spreads, particularly after a loss, with a 5-2 record ATS in their last seven such instances. Playing at home should provide an added boost for Arkansas State to perform competitively.
Texas State’s offense has been productive, ranking 39th in points for with 145, but Arkansas State’s defense, while not outstanding, is capable of containing opponents when necessary. The Red Wolves have a commendable ATS record at home, going 3-1 in their last four home games. This trend suggests they can keep this game within the spread.
Arkansas State’s recent history against Texas State shows a mixed bag of results, but with the home field advantage and a large spread, the Red Wolves have the capacity to cover. The game against Louisiana-Monroe shows resilience, and they can leverage that experience to stay competitive in this matchup.
Based on these factors, Arkansas State is poised to cover the spread. A projected final score could be Texas State 31 – Arkansas State 21, keeping the game within the 13.5-point spread.
- Arkansas State vs Texas State Prediction: Arkansas State +13.5
- Arkansas State vs Texas State Score: Texas State 31 – Arkansas State 21
