CFB Game Prediction

Notre Dame vs Boise State Prediction & Betting Tips for CFB Week 6 on 10/4/2025

Want our best Notre Dame vs Boise State prediction for 10/4/25? Get our College Football betting tip as the Boise State travel to Notre Dame in Week 6 on 10/4/25 at Notre Dame Stadium, in Notre Dame. Knup Sports has your free CFB pick!

In Week 6 of the 2025 College Football season, the Boise State Broncos travel to Notre Dame Stadium to take on the Notre Dame Fighting Irish. This game is scheduled for Saturday, October 4th, with a 3:30 PM kickoff. Fans can tune in to NBC to catch all the action live from Notre Dame, IN.

The Boise State Broncos enter this game with a solid 3-1 record, highlighted by a commanding victory over Appalachian State, 47-14, in their most recent game. Competing in the Mountain West Conference, the Broncos have shown strength on both sides of the ball, particularly in their passing game. Their only loss of the season came in Week 1 against South Florida.

On the other side, the Notre Dame Fighting Irish have faced a challenging start to their 2025 campaign with a 2-2 record. Ranked #21 in both the AP and Coaches Polls, the Irish are coming off an impressive 56-13 win against Arkansas. Playing as an FBS Independent, Notre Dame will look to leverage their home-field advantage at Notre Dame Stadium.

Notre Dame vs Boise State At a Glance

  • Game Time: Saturday, October 4, 2025 at 3:30 PM
  • Venue: Notre Dame Stadium in Notre Dame, IN
  • TV Broadcast: NBC
  • Notre Dame Record: 2-2 this season
  • Boise State Record: 3-1 this season
  • Odds: Notre Dame favored with a spread of -20.5

Notre Dame Fighting Irish Prepare for Boise State Broncos

Boise State Broncos Offensive Overview

The Boise State Broncos have shown some impressive statistics on the offensive side of the ball this season. They have been effective in both the passing and rushing games, demonstrating a balanced attack that can challenge defenses.

Their ability to consistently gain first downs keeps their drives alive and puts pressure on opposing defenses. The Broncos will look to leverage this balanced offensive strategy against Notre Dame.

Boise State Broncos Defensive Strategy

Defensively, Boise State has been known for its aggressive style of play. They often bring pressure to disrupt the opponent’s passing game and force turnovers.

This strategy will be key against Notre Dame’s high-powered offense. The Broncos need to maintain their defensive intensity to keep the Fighting Irish from gaining momentum.

Key Players to Watch

Boise State’s quarterback is a pivotal player in their offensive scheme, capable of making plays with both his arm and legs. His decision-making will be crucial in managing the game against Notre Dame’s defense.

On defense, a standout linebacker for the Broncos will be tasked with leading the charge in containing Notre Dame’s versatile offensive weapons. His ability to read plays and make timely tackles will be essential.

Boise State Broncos Recent Performance

In recent games, the Broncos have demonstrated resilience and adaptability, managing to secure some important wins. Their performance has built confidence and momentum as they approach this tough encounter with Notre Dame.

Despite facing challenges, Boise State’s recent form suggests they can be competitive against high-caliber opponents. The upcoming game against Notre Dame will be a test of their progress this season.

Boise State Broncos Betting Trends

  • SU – Recent Games: Last 10 Games → 7-3
  • ATS – As Underdog: Last 8 Games → 5-3
  • O/U – All Games: Last 5 Games → 3-2
  • SU – After Win: Last 5 Games → 4-1
  • ATS – Away Games: Last 6 Games → 4-2

Boise State Broncos: Analyzing the Road Ahead in 2025

Boise State’s Offensive Performance

The Boise State Broncos’ offense has shown solid performance this season, ranking 30th in points scored with a total of 154. Their passing game has contributed 1196 yards, ranking 38th, while the rushing game has amassed 890 yards, ranking 39th. The team has also managed to secure 95 first downs, which places them 33rd overall.

In comparison to their previous season, there is a noticeable dip in offensive production. Last season, the Broncos were ranked 6th in points scored with 522, indicating a high-scoring ability that they need to regain.

Defensive Strengths and Weaknesses

Defensively, Boise State has allowed 99 points against them, ranking 66th in that category. Their defense has been effective in pressuring the quarterback with 11 sacks, placing them 10th overall. Interceptions have been a strong suit, as the Broncos have picked off opposing quarterbacks five times, securing the 6th position in interceptions.

Despite these defensive strengths, the Broncos need to improve their ability to recover fumbles. With only two fumbles recovered, they are ranked 5th, indicating room for improvement in forcing and capitalizing on turnovers.

Quarterback and Key Players

Quarterback Maddux Madsen has been a pivotal player for the Broncos, throwing for 1129 yards and nine touchdowns over four games. This performance ranks him 39th in passing yards, showcasing his capability as a leader on the field. However, the Broncos need more contributions from their backup, Max Cutforth, who has only 67 passing yards to his name.

On the ground, Dylan Riley has been leading the rushing attack with 360 yards and five touchdowns, placing him 38th in rushing yards. His efforts have been complemented by Malik Sherrod and Sire Gaines, both adding depth to the Broncos’ running game.

Challenges and Opportunities

Boise State’s upcoming away game against Notre Dame presents a significant challenge, as they are considered 20.5-point underdogs. The Broncos’ previous victory over Appalachian State, where they won 47-14, should give them confidence heading into this matchup. Key injuries to players like Jambres Dubar and Bol Bol could affect the team’s depth, so their status will be crucial to monitor.

With a high total of 63.5 points for the game, the Broncos will need to leverage their offensive and defensive strengths to compete effectively against Notre Dame. The team must focus on minimizing turnovers and capitalizing on scoring opportunities to have a chance at upsetting the odds.

Boise State Top Betting Trends

  • As Favorite: Last 21 Games (2023–2025) → 20-1 (95.2%)
  • Home Games: Last 14 Games (2023–2025) → 14-0 (100.0%)
  • All Games: Last 21 Games (2023–2025) → 19-2 (90.5%)
  • Totals ≥ 50: Last 20 Games (2023–2025) → 18-2 (90.0%)
  • After Win: Last 18 Games (2023–2025) → 16-2 (88.9%)
  • After Loss: Last 6 Games (2023–2025) → 6-0 (100.0%)
  • All Games ATS: Last 3 Games (2025) → 3-0 (100.0%)
  • All Games O/U: Last 3 Games (2025) → 3-0 (100.0%)
  • As Favorite ATS: Last 3 Games (2025) → 3-0 (100.0%)
  • As Favorite O/U: Last 3 Games (2025) → 3-0 (100.0%)

Notre Dame vs Boise State Prediction: Notre Dame -20.5

Notre Dame is coming into this game with a strong track record as the home favorite, having won 21 out of their last 26 home games. They have also shown their capability to cover spreads as favorites, with a 20-7 ATS record over their last 27 games in this position. This bodes well for their ability to handle a Boise State team that is 1-1 on the road this season.

Boise State has performed admirably so far this season, holding a 3-1 record. However, their defensive ranking of 66th in points allowed could be a concern against Notre Dame’s high-powered offense, which is ranked 20th in points scored. The Fighting Irish are likely to exploit this mismatch, leading to a significant margin of victory.

Notre Dame’s recent performance, including a dominant 56-13 win over Arkansas, demonstrates their offensive prowess and ability to score at will. Given their consistent success after a win, this trend supports the expectation for another high-scoring game in favor of Notre Dame. With a total set at 63.5, the Irish’s offense looks set to perform well once again.

Considering these factors, Notre Dame -20.5 is the pick for this game. The team’s ability to cover spreads and dominate offensively at home supports this choice, with a projected final score reinforcing a comfortable victory for the Fighting Irish.

  • Notre Dame vs Boise State Prediction: Notre Dame -20.5
  • Notre Dame vs Boise State Score: Notre Dame 45 – Boise State 17
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