In Week 6 of the 2025 regular season, the Air Force Falcons travel to Annapolis, MD, to play against the Navy Midshipmen at the Navy-Marine Corps Memorial Stadium. Air Force, with a 1-3 record, faces a daunting task as they search for their first road victory of the season. The game, set to begin at 12:00 PM, will be broadcast on CBS.
Air Force’s recent performances have been challenging, losing their last three games, with a tough 44-35 defeat at home against Hawaii. Their reliance on a strong rushing game was evident, as they amassed 216 rushing yards against Hawaii. However, defensive struggles have been apparent, as they allowed 457 passing yards to Hawaii.
The Navy Midshipmen, on the other hand, are undefeated with a 4-0 record. Their latest win was a 21-13 victory over Rice, highlighting their defensive strength. Playing at home, where they have not lost this season, Navy is favored in the matchup, reflected in the -422 moneyline odds.
Navy vs Air Force At a Glance
- Game Location: Navy-Marine Corps Memorial Stadium in Annapolis, MD
- TV Broadcast: The game will be aired on CBS
- Navy’s Record: Undefeated at 4-0 this season
- Air Force’s Season Struggles: They hold a 1-3 record
- Odds Insight: Navy is the favorite with a moneyline of -422
- Game Time: Scheduled for Saturday, October 4, 2025 at 12:00 PM
Navigating the Naval Waters: The Navy Midshipmen Prepare for the Upcoming Game
Offensive Strategy
The Navy Midshipmen have showcased a powerful rushing attack, ranking 2nd in the nation with 1,425 rushing yards this season. Their passing game, however, lags behind, ranking 127th with only 526 yards.
With an offensive focus on ground gain, the Midshipmen have accumulated 90 first downs, placing them 38th in the country. This ground-dominant strategy has been a cornerstone of their offensive playbook.
Defensive Standouts
Defensively, Navy has allowed 67 points against them, which ranks them 38th nationally. Their ability to put pressure on opposing quarterbacks is evident with 11 sacks, making them 10th in that category.
The Midshipmen also excel in forcing turnovers with 3 interceptions and 2 fumbles recovered, both of which rank within the top 5 nationally. This opportunistic defense is key to their success.
Recent Performance
Navy’s recent games reflect their strategic strengths, with a notable 52-7 victory over VMI Keydets demonstrating their offensive potential. The team also secured a convincing 42-23 win against Tulsa Golden Hurricane, further showcasing their rushing prowess.
Their recent 21-13 win over Rice highlights their defensive capabilities, limiting Rice to just 120 rushing yards. This balance between offense and defense has been pivotal to their winning streak.
Betting Trends
- SU – As Favorite: Last 12 Games (2023–2025) → 11-1 (91.7%)
- SU – All Games: Last 6 Games (2024–2025) → 6-0 (100.0%)
- SU – Totals ≥ 50: Last 10 Games (2023–2025) → 9-1 (90.0%)
- SU – After Win: Last 5 Games (2024–2025) → 5-0 (100.0%)
- O/U – After Win: Last 13 Games (2023–2025) → 11-2 (84.6%)
- SU – Away Games: Last 4 Games (2024–2025) → 4-0 (100.0%)
- ATS – Away Games: Last 4 Games (2024–2025) → 4-0 (100.0%)
Upcoming Challenges
Looking ahead, Navy will host the Air Force Falcons, aiming to extend their winning streak. This home game will test their defensive strengths against a competitive opponent.
Following that, an away game against the Temple Owls is on the horizon, providing a different set of challenges. Maintaining their strong away game performance will be crucial in continuing their successful season.
Air Force Falcons Set to Soar Against Navy Midshipmen
Offensive Overview
The Air Force Falcons have been showcasing a robust ground game this season, accumulating 1,022 rushing yards, placing them 25th in the national rankings. Despite their success on the ground, their passing game remains a work in progress with just 864 yards, which ranks them 90th. Their offensive efforts have resulted in 151 points, securing a 33rd place in scoring offense.
Quarterback Liam Szarka has been at the helm, contributing 640 passing yards and 5 touchdowns over four games. While not the most prolific passer, Szarka’s performance has been enough to keep the Falcons competitive. Cade Harris has emerged as a key target with 441 receiving yards, ranking 9th nationally, adding a potent weapon to the Falcons’ offensive arsenal.
Defensive Snapshot
On defense, the Falcons have struggled, allowing 155 points, placing them 106th in the rankings. Despite this, they have been effective at pressuring the quarterback, recording 9 sacks, which is the 12th best in the country. Their defense has also shown a knack for turnovers, with 2 interceptions ranking them 3rd nationally.
In recent games, the Falcons’ defensive efforts have been tested, as seen in their loss to Hawaii, where they allowed 44 points. The defense will need to tighten up to improve their standing and provide better support to their offensive unit.
Recent Game Performance
The Falcons’ recent performances have been mixed, with a significant win against Bucknell, but losses to Utah State, Boise State, and Hawaii. Their game against Boise State was particularly close, with the Falcons losing 49-37 despite an impressive rushing performance.
In their latest outing against Hawaii, the Falcons showed resilience with 278 passing yards and 216 rushing yards but ultimately fell short. The team needs to address their defensive lapses to convert close games into victories.
Upcoming Challenges
The Falcons will next take on the Navy Midshipmen, a game that could be pivotal for their season. Playing away at the Navy-Marine Corps Memorial Stadium, Air Force is currently considered an 11.5-point underdog. A strong defensive performance could be key to overturning this prediction.
Following the Navy game, the Falcons will face other challenging opponents like UNLV and Wyoming, testing their abilities both on the road and at home. These games will be crucial in determining the Falcons’ standing in the league as the season progresses.
Betting Trends
- SU – After Win: 15-3 in the last 18 games (83.3%)
- O/U – All Games: 5-0 in the last 5 games (100.0%)
- O/U – As Favorite: 5-0 in the last 5 games (100.0%)
- O/U – Totals ≥ 50: 5-0 in the last 5 games (100.0%)
- ATS – As Underdog: 4-1 in the last 5 games (80.0%)
Navy vs Air Force Prediction: Navy -11.5
The Navy Midshipmen enter this contest with an impressive 4-0 record, including a strong 3-0 performance at home. Their ability to consistently cover the spread in recent games as favorites is notable, with a 7-3 ATS record in their last ten games as favorites. With a potent rushing attack ranked 2nd in the nation, Navy’s ground game should prove overwhelming for Air Force’s defense, which ranks 106th in points allowed.
Air Force, on the other hand, has struggled this season, holding a 1-3 record and a 0-1 road record. Their defense has been porous, conceding 155 points through four games, which ranks them poorly among their peers. Considering Navy’s offensive prowess and home-field advantage, it’s challenging to see Air Force keeping this game within the 11.5-point spread.
Navy’s recent betting trends further support their case. As favorites, they have gone 11-1 straight up in their last 12 games, showcasing their dominance in this role. Additionally, their success at home is evident, winning nine of their last 11 games at Navy-Marine Corps Memorial Stadium.
Given Navy’s solid home performance, effective rushing attack, and Air Force’s defensive struggles, Navy covering the 11.5-point spread is a strong play. I project the final score to be Navy 35, Air Force 17, emphasizing Navy’s ability to control the game on both sides of the ball.
- Navy vs Air Force Prediction: Navy -11.5
- Navy vs Air Force Score: Navy 35 – Air Force 17
