The Kansas State Wildcats will meet the Baylor Bears in Week 6 of the 2025 College Football Season. This game will be held at McLane Stadium in Waco, TX, on Saturday, October 4, with a kickoff set for 12:00 PM. Fans can catch the action on ESPN+ as these Big 12 rivals go head-to-head.
Kansas State enters the game with a 2-3 record, having found more success at home with a 2-1 record compared to their 0-2 performance on the road. The Wildcats showed promise in their last outing, defeating UCF 34-20 at home. However, they have struggled away from Bill Snyder Family Stadium, as seen in their loss to the Arizona Wildcats earlier in the season.
On the other side, the Baylor Bears hold a 3-2 record and have been strong on the road with a 2-0 record, but less consistent at home with a 1-2 mark. In their most recent game, they secured a 45-27 victory over Oklahoma State. With a conference record of 1-1, Baylor looks to improve their standing in the Big 12 with a win against Kansas State.
Baylor vs Kansas State At a Glance
- Game Location: McLane Stadium in Waco, TX
- Game Time: Saturday, October 4, 2025 at 12:00 PM
- Broadcast Channel: ESPN+
- Current Odds: Baylor -232, Kansas State +190
- Season Records: Baylor 3-2, Kansas State 2-3
- Weather Forecast: Outdoor game at McLane Stadium
Baylor Bears Ready to Roar Against Upcoming Opponent
Offensive Firepower
Baylor’s offense has been a highlight this season, particularly in the passing game. They lead the nation with 1,747 passing yards, a testament to their aerial strategy. This offensive strength is underscored by their 17th-ranked 183 points scored this season.
The rushing attack, while not as dominant, has provided balance with 774 yards, ranking 56th. This balanced offensive approach has helped Baylor accumulate a total of 131 first downs, placing them 6th in the nation. The offensive line has been crucial in maintaining this level of performance, allowing their quarterback ample time to make plays.
Defensive Overview
Defensively, Baylor has shown some vulnerabilities, allowing 144 points this season and ranking 99th in points against. However, their pass rush has been effective, recording 7 sacks and ranking 14th in this category. Additionally, their secondary has been opportunistic with 4 interceptions, earning them a 5th place rank.
The team has also been effective at creating turnovers, recovering 1 fumble and ranking 6th in this category. These defensive metrics indicate a unit capable of making impactful plays, despite allowing a higher point total. Their ability to generate turnovers will be key against their upcoming opponent.
Recent Performances
In their recent game against Oklahoma State, Baylor’s offense excelled, leading to a 45-27 victory. They accumulated 393 passing yards and 219 rushing yards, showcasing their balanced attack. Their defense also played a pivotal role, limiting Oklahoma State’s offensive output.
Earlier in the season, Baylor faced a tough 27-24 loss against Arizona State. Despite the setback, they bounced back with a dominant 42-7 win over Samford. These performances reflect a resilient team capable of adjusting and improving as the season progresses.
Betting Trends
- O/U – As Underdog: Last 6 Games (2024–2025) → 5-0-1 (83.3%)
- SU – Away Games: Last 5 Games (2024–2025) → 5-0 (100.0%)
- O/U – After Loss: Last 5 Games (2024–2025) → 5-0 (100.0%)
- O/U – Away Games: Last 17 Games (2022–2025) → 14-3 (82.4%)
- SU – As Favorite: Last 28 Games (2020–2025) → 20-8 (71.4%)
The Kansas State Wildcats’ Quest for Victory: A Statistical Preview
Offensive Insights
The Kansas State Wildcats’ offense currently ranks 49th in the nation with 131 points scored this season. Their passing game has accumulated 1,019 yards, placing them 69th. In terms of rushing, they have achieved 705 yards, ranking 74th overall.
Their offensive line has also contributed to 77 first downs, ranking them 49th in this category. The Wildcats will need to improve their offensive efficiency to capitalize on scoring opportunities against their upcoming opponent.
Defensive Overview
Defensively, the Wildcats have conceded 126 points, which places them 89th in the nation. Despite this, their defensive line has been a force, with 13 sacks, securing the 8th rank. Their ability to create turnovers is evident as they rank 4th with 3 interceptions and 2nd with 5 fumbles recovered.
This strong defensive showing will be crucial as they prepare to challenge their next opponent. Their ability to pressure the quarterback and force turnovers could tilt the game’s momentum in their favor.
Recent Performances
Kansas State has experienced a mix of results in their recent games. They secured a 34-20 victory against UCF, showcasing their ability to close out games effectively. However, they faced setbacks against teams like Arizona and Army, which resulted in close losses.
In their season opener, they edged out North Dakota with a high-scoring 38-35 victory, indicating their resilience in tight situations. The Wildcats will aim to replicate these winning performances as they take on their upcoming adversaries.
Key Players
Quarterback Avery Johnson has been pivotal, amassing 1,019 passing yards and 8 touchdowns this season. Wide receiver Jayce Brown has been a consistent target with 25 receptions and 284 receiving yards.
On the ground, running back Dylan Edwards leads with 179 rushing yards over three games. These key players will be essential for Kansas State as they aim to overcome their next challenge.
Betting Trends
- SU – Home Games: 14-3 (82.4%)
- SU – Totals ≥ 50: 19-6 (76.0%)
- SU – After Loss: 12-3 (80.0%)
- O/U – As Underdog: 11-3 (78.6%)
- SU – As Favorite: 21-9 (70.0%)
These betting trends highlight the Wildcats’ strong performance in specific situations, particularly when they play as underdogs or after a loss. This could provide valuable insights for bettors as they consider wagering on Kansas State’s upcoming games.
Baylor vs Kansas State Prediction: Baylor -6.5
Baylor comes into this game with a 3-2 record and a potent offense ranked 17th in points scored, highlighted by their top-ranked passing attack. They are also playing at home in McLane Stadium, where they have historically been strong performers. This offensive advantage and home-field edge make them a solid pick against the spread.
Kansas State, on the other hand, has struggled on the road with a 0-2 record away from home this season. Their defense ranks 89th in points allowed, which could spell trouble against Baylor’s high-octane offense. Given Baylor’s recent victory over Oklahoma State and Kansas State’s road struggles, Baylor covering the -6.5 spread seems likely.
With Kansas State’s defense allowing more points than they score, and Baylor’s strong performance at home, the odds favor Baylor to not only win but cover the spread. Given Baylor’s recent form and Kansas State’s weaknesses, it is reasonable to predict a decisive Baylor win.
A projected final score of Baylor 42 – Kansas State 31 supports the decision to pick Baylor to cover the spread. Baylor’s offensive strength should be able to exploit Kansas State’s defensive vulnerabilities.
- Baylor vs Kansas State Prediction: Baylor -6.5
- Baylor vs Kansas State Score: Baylor 42 – Kansas State 31
