In Week 6 of the 2025 Regular Season, the Sam Houston Bearkats will travel to Aggie Memorial Stadium to play against the New Mexico State Aggies. This game, scheduled for Thursday, October 2, 2025, will be broadcast on CBSS at 9:00 PM. As both teams belong to Conference USA, this matchup will be a crucial conference game. The Sam Houston Bearkats have yet to win a game this season, holding a record of 0-4. Their struggles extend to their conference performance as well, currently standing at 0-1 in Conference USA play. Their last outing against Texas saw them fall 55-0, highlighting areas in need of improvement. On the other hand, the New Mexico State Aggies have had a mixed start with a 2-2 record. However, they have shown strength at home, boasting a 2-0 record at Aggie Memorial Stadium. Despite a recent loss to New Mexico, they will look to use their home advantage to secure another win.
New Mexico State vs Sam Houston At a Glance
- Game Week: Week 6 of the 2025 Regular Season
- Venue: Aggie Memorial Stadium in Las Cruces, NM
- Sam Houston Record: 0-4 overall, 0-3 on the road
- New Mexico State Record: 2-2 overall, 2-0 at home
- Game Odds: Sam Houston -131, New Mexico State +109
- Broadcast: CBSS at 9:00 PM
New Mexico State Aggies Gear Up for a Crucial Showdown
Offensive Analysis
The New Mexico State Aggies have accumulated a total of 74 points this season, ranking them 83rd nationally. They have shown a decent passing game with 1,049 passing yards, placing them at 65th in the rankings. However, their rushing attack has struggled significantly, managing only 163 rushing yards, which is 148th in the nation.
The Aggies’ ability to secure first downs has been respectable, with 66 achieved so far, ranking them 58th. Quarterback Logan Fife has been the offensive leader, having amassed 1,015 passing yards and five touchdowns over four games. His performance will be critical in improving their offensive output.
Defensive Insights
On the defensive side, New Mexico State has allowed 104 points, placing them 71st in the nation. Despite this, their defensive line has been effective at pressuring the quarterback, registering five sacks, which is 16th best nationally. The Aggies’ secondary has been a bright spot with four interceptions, ranking them fifth.
New Mexico State’s defense has also shown the ability to recover fumbles, with two recovered so far this season, tying them for fifth in the country. This ability to force turnovers will be crucial as they look to stifle opposing offenses.
Recent Game Performances
The Aggies have had a mixed start to the 2025 season with two wins and two losses. They started strong with victories over Bryant Bulldogs (19-3) and Tulsa Golden Hurricane (21-14). However, they stumbled in their last two games, falling to New Mexico Lobos (38-20) and Louisiana Tech Bulldogs (49-14).
Their performance against Tulsa was marked by strong defensive play, limiting the opponent to 14 points. The Aggies need to recapture that form in upcoming games to improve their standing.
Key Players to Watch
Kadarius Calloway has been a key player in the Aggies’ backfield, contributing 92 rushing yards and one touchdown over four games. On the receiving end, Donovan Faupel has been a standout, securing 19 receptions for 274 yards and a touchdown.
Defensively, players like Sone Aupiu and Tyler Martinez are vital, though their availability is in question due to injuries. The Aggies will hope for a strong defensive showing to offset any offensive struggles.
Team Betting Trends
- SU – As Favorite: 13-3 in the last 16 games (2021–2025)
- O/U – Away Games: 3-0 in the last 3 games (2024–2025)
- O/U – As Underdog: 10-3-1 in the last 14 games (2023–2025)
- O/U – All Games: 9-3 in the last 12 games (2024–2025)
- O/U – After Loss: 19-10 in the last 29 games (2021–2025)
Sam Houston Bearkats Gear Up for New Mexico State Challenge
Team Offense Overview
The Sam Houston Bearkats have struggled on the offensive side this season, ranking 120th in passing yards with just 641 yards. Their rushing attack hasn’t fared much better, coming in at 119th with 434 yards.
Despite these challenges, the team has managed to secure 60 first downs, placing them 61st in the nation. This indicates that while they struggle to accumulate yardage, they have moments of offensive consistency.
Defensive Performance
Defensively, Sam Houston has allowed 171 points, ranking them 112th in the nation. However, their defense shines in causing turnovers, ranking 3rd in interceptions with 2, and 4th in fumbles recovered with 3.
The team also excels in applying pressure, as evidenced by their 14th rank in sacks with 7 total. This suggests that their defensive line can disrupt opposing offenses, potentially changing game dynamics.
Recent Game Analysis
The Bearkats recently suffered a significant loss to Texas, with a final score of 55-0. They managed only 7 first downs and 86 passing yards, which highlights their offensive difficulties.
In their game against Hawaii, the Bearkats scored 20 points but allowed 37, indicating defensive vulnerabilities. They gained 159 passing yards and 89 rushing yards, showing a more balanced offensive approach compared to other games.
Quarterback Performance
Hunter Watson, leading the Bearkats’ quarterback roster, has accumulated 396 passing yards over four games. Despite the yardage, his contributions have not translated into touchdowns, with 0 passing touchdowns so far.
Backup quarterbacks Mabrey Mettauer and Landyn Locke have also seen some action, but their performances have yet to significantly impact the Bearkats’ season, with only one passing touchdown between them.
Injury Concerns
The Bearkats are dealing with several injury concerns, including key players like Alton McCaskill and Quan Williams being questionable. These injuries could impact their depth and performance in the upcoming games.
The uncertain status of Landyn Locke, one of their quarterbacks, could also affect their offensive strategy, forcing the team to adapt quickly.
Upcoming Game Details
Sam Houston is set to compete against the New Mexico State Aggies on October 2, 2025, at Aggie Memorial Stadium. They are currently favored by 2.5 points, suggesting expectations of a close contest.
With a total set at 53.5, bettors anticipate a moderate scoring game, reflecting the Bearkats’ recent offensive struggles and defensive capabilities.
Betting Trends
- O/U – Totals ≤ 42: Last 5 Games (2023) → 5-0 (100.0%)
- SU – As Favorite: Last 8 Games (2023–2024) → 7-1 (87.5%)
- O/U – Away Games: Last 3 Games (2025) → 3-0 (100.0%)
- SU – Home Games: Last 9 Games (2023–2025) → 7-2 (77.8%)
- SU – All Games: Last 20 Games (2023–2025) → 12-8 (60.0%)
New Mexico State vs Sam Houston Prediction: Over 53.5
New Mexico State has shown a tendency to play in high-scoring games, with a 75% hit rate on the over in their last 12 contests. Additionally, their offensive performance at home remains strong, having gone 2-0 this season, which suggests they could score effectively against Sam Houston’s defense.
Sam Houston’s defense has struggled this season, allowing 171 points in just four games, which ranks them 112th. Given their defensive vulnerabilities and New Mexico State’s ability to capitalize on home field advantages, this game could see more points than the set total of 53.5.
With the Aggies coming off a 20-38 loss to New Mexico, they will likely be motivated to rebound offensively, playing into the trend of hitting the over after a loss. Sam Houston’s offense, while not prolific, should still contribute enough to push the total over the threshold.
Considering these factors, the projection for this game leans toward the over, with a scoreline suggesting both teams will find the end zone multiple times. A projected final score of New Mexico State 34 – Sam Houston 27 reflects this expectation.
- New Mexico State vs Sam Houston Prediction: Over 53.5
- New Mexico State vs Sam Houston Score: New Mexico State 34 – Sam Houston 27
