The Pittsburgh Pirates travel to Truist Park to take on the Atlanta Braves in an afternoon game on Sunday, September 28, 2025. With a record of 71-90, the Pirates currently sit fifth in the NL Central, riding a two-game win streak and going 6-4 in their last ten. Managed by Don Kelly, the Pirates aim to continue their recent success on the road despite a challenging 27-53 road record this season.
On the other side, the Atlanta Braves hold a 75-86 record and rank fourth in the NL East. Under the guidance of manager Brian Snitker, the Braves aim to snap their three-game losing streak and improve on their 38-42 home record. Despite recent struggles, the Braves have gone 7-3 in their last ten games, showcasing potential for a strong finish to the season.
The weather forecast predicts a warm day with clear skies and a light breeze, ideal conditions for a baseball game at Truist Park. Fans can catch the action on SN PT as these two teams meet again after the Pirates claimed victories in their previous two encounters. With the Braves favored at -214 on the moneyline, the Pirates will look to defy the odds and continue their winning momentum.
Braves vs Pirates At a Glance
- Game Date: Sunday, September 28, 2025, at 3:15 PM
- Location: Truist Park in Atlanta, GA
- TV Coverage: SN PT
- Weather Conditions: Clear sky with a light breeze
- Pirates Record: 71-90, 5th in NL Central
- Braves Record: 75-86, 4th in NL East
Braves Set to Tackle the Pirates with a Strong Lineup
Overview of the Pirates’ Hitting
The Pittsburgh Pirates have had a solid performance at the plate this season, with a batting average of .245, ranking 12th in the league. Their ability to get on base is commendable with an on-base percentage of .319, placing them in the 10th position. With 189 home runs, they are also ranked 12th, showcasing their power potential.
However, when it comes to doubles, the Pirates have been less effective, ranking 21st with 241. The team’s disciplined approach at the plate is evident, with 571 walks, securing the 3rd spot. Their strikeout rate stands at 1364, placing them 17th, indicating room for improvement in making contact.
Pitching Performance
On the mound, the Pirates have struggled, holding a 4.38 ERA, which ranks 22nd in the league. Their pitching staff has allowed a .246 batting average against, ranking them 12th. They have surrendered 197 home runs, placing them 17th in the league.
Despite these challenges, the Pirates have managed 69 quality starts, ranking 4th, showing some consistency from their starters. However, their bullpen has faced issues with 21 blown saves, also ranking 4th. They have managed to strike out 1405 batters, ranking 9th, indicating a strong ability to generate swings and misses.
Key Players to Watch
Johan Oviedo will be on the mound for the Pirates, boasting an ERA of 3.57 and a WHIP of 1.22. With a record of 2-0, he has been effective in limiting opponents and keeping his team in games. Oviedo’s performance will be crucial in neutralizing the Braves’ potent lineup.
On the offensive side, look out for Bryan Reynolds, a key contributor to the Pirates’ success. His ability to get on base and drive in runs will be instrumental for Pittsburgh’s chances. Another player to keep an eye on is Ke’Bryan Hayes, who brings speed and defense to the hot corner, providing a spark for the team.
Team Betting Trends
- SU Last 3 Games: 0-3 (0.0%)
- SU Last 5 Games: 2-3 (40.0%)
- SU Last 10 Games: 7-3 (70.0%)
- SU All Games: 75-86 (46.6%)
- SU as Favorite: 55-51 (51.9%)
- SU as Underdog: 20-35 (36.4%)
- SU in Night Games: 53-60 (46.9%)
- SU in Day Games: 22-26 (45.8%)
- SU in Home Games: 38-42 (47.5%)
- SU in Away Games: 37-44 (45.7%)
- SU vs Division Opponents: 36-34 (51.4%)
- SU vs League Opponents: 23-38 (37.7%)
- SU in 1-Run Games: 21-35 (37.5%)
- SU After a Win: 34-41 (45.3%)
- SU After a Loss: 41-44 (48.2%)
Unveiling the Pittsburgh Pirates: A Glimpse into Their Season Finale
Team Overview
The Pittsburgh Pirates enter the final game of the season with a record of 71-90. Despite the sub-.500 mark, they have shown competitive spirit in recent games.
With a batting average of .232, ranking 17th in the league, the Pirates have struggled to find consistent offensive production. They sit 18th in on-base percentage and 26th in slugging percentage, highlighting areas needing improvement.
Pitching Performance
On the mound, the Pirates’ pitching staff has held its own with a 3.76 ERA, ranking 7th in the league. Johan Oviedo, scheduled to start, has maintained a respectable 3.57 ERA with a 2-0 record.
The Pirates’ pitchers have limited opposing teams to a .235 batting average, placing them 6th in this category. However, they rank 3rd in home runs allowed, an area they will need to tighten up against the Braves.
Key Players to Watch
Andrew McCutchen remains a key figure for the Pirates, leading the team with 13 home runs and a .238 batting average. Meanwhile, Spencer Horwitz has been a consistent contributor, boasting a .273 average and 11 home runs.
Young catcher Henry Davis has shown potential despite a low batting average, adding 7 home runs to the Pirates’ tally. Nick Gonzales has also played a significant role, contributing 5 home runs and 30 RBIs.
Recent Game Insights
In their recent win against the Braves on September 27, 2025, the Pirates secured a 3-1 victory. Bubba Chandler’s strong performance on the mound was pivotal, allowing only one run in 5.2 innings.
Henry Davis contributed offensively with a 425-foot solo home run, marking his seventh of the season. Nick Gonzales also played a crucial part with an RBI double that sealed the Pirates’ lead.
Betting Trends
- SU Last 5 Games: 4-1 (80.0%)
- Runline Last 5: 5-0 (100.0%)
- O/U Last 5: 1-4 (20.0%)
- SU in Away Games: 27-53 (33.8%)
- Runline in Away Games: 41-39 (51.2%)
- O/U in Away Games: 28-52 (35.0%)
Season Finale Outlook
The Pirates will conclude their season against the Braves, aiming to capitalize on their recent success in Atlanta. Johan Oviedo, with a 3.57 ERA, will be pivotal in keeping the Braves’ offense in check.
Facing former Pirate Charlie Morton, who holds a 5.89 ERA, the Pirates’ hitters will look to end the season on a high note. With a favorable series record against the Braves, the Pirates have the opportunity to finish strong.
Braves vs Pirates Prediction: Pirates +176
The Pittsburgh Pirates enter this game with a recent streak of success against the Braves, having won the last three games in their season series. The Pirates have also outperformed expectations with Johan Oviedo on the mound, who holds a solid 3.57 ERA. In contrast, the Braves’ Charlie Morton has struggled throughout the season with a 5.89 ERA, which could pose challenges for Atlanta’s defense.
Despite playing away, Pittsburgh has shown resilience with a two-game winning streak and a 6-4 record in their last ten games. The Pirates’ recent form and superior head-to-head performance against the Braves this season provide a strong case for backing them as underdogs. Given these factors, the value lies in taking the Pirates at +176 moneyline odds.
The Braves have been inconsistent lately, highlighted by a three-game losing streak and shaky performances in recent outings. Morton’s difficulties on the mound and the Braves’ recent form make it difficult to justify backing them at steep odds. With the Pirates having outscored the Braves by 1.8 runs on average in their meetings this year, Pittsburgh looks poised to continue their success.
Considering the Pirates’ strong showings and the Braves’ recent downturn, the projection for this game leans toward Pittsburgh. A predicted final score of Pirates 4 – Braves 2 aligns with the Pirates’ current momentum and the Braves’ pitching struggles.
- Braves vs Pirates Prediction: Pirates +176
- Braves vs Pirates Score: Pirates 4 – Braves 2
