The New York Mets and Chicago Cubs are set to play at Wrigley Field in Chicago on the evening of Thursday, September 25, 2025. The Mets, managed by Carlos Mendoza, come into this game with a record of 81-77, ranking second in the NL East. On the other hand, the Cubs, led by Craig Counsell, have an 89-69 record and also rank second in their division, the NL Central.
In their recent game on September 24, the Cubs defeated the Mets 10-3 at home. The Mets struggled to find their rhythm, managing only 4 hits, while the Cubs racked up 11 hits to secure a convincing victory. Despite the loss, the Mets had some bright spots, with Francisco Alvarez and Juan Soto each hitting a home run.
The odds for this matchup slightly favor the Mets with a moneyline of -111 compared to the Cubs’ -107. Both teams have shown similar form in their last 10 games, with each posting a 5-5 record. With mild weather and clear skies expected, it should be a pleasant evening for baseball at the iconic Wrigley Field.
Cubs vs Mets At a Glance
- Game Time: September 25, 2025 at 7:40 PM
- Location: Wrigley Field in Chicago, IL
- Weather: Clear Sky with a mild day and light breeze
- Broadcast: TV Channel: SNY
- Records: Mets 81-77, Cubs 89-69
- Odds: Mets Moneyline -111, Cubs Moneyline -107
Cubs Set to Tackle Mets with Offensive Firepower on Display
New York Mets Offensive Overview
The New York Mets have shown a solid batting average of .249, placing them 8th in the league. Their on-base percentage mirrors their average, also ranked 8th, at .320. Slugging has been a strength, as they sit 7th with a .426 percentage.
Home runs have been a key component of the Mets’ offense, where they rank 6th with 211 homers. Their ability to hit doubles is also notable, ranking 8th with 262. The Mets’ lineup is known for drawing walks, with 544, placing them 6th.
Key Players to Watch
Nolan McLean is expected to start on the mound for the Mets, showcasing an impressive 1.27 ERA and a WHIP of 1.01. With a win-loss record of 4-1, McLean has been a reliable arm for the Mets. His control and ability to limit base runners have been crucial for New York.
The Mets’ lineup features several power threats, evidenced by their high home run totals. They will rely on their ability to get on base and slug their way through games. This offensive firepower will be essential against the Cubs’ pitching staff.
Mets’ Defensive and Pitching Insights
While the Mets’ offense has been potent, their pitching staff’s ERA stands at 3.83, ranking 8th. The team has given up a batting average of .238 to opposing hitters, ranking 7th. One area of concern has been the home runs allowed, where they rank 21st with 198 homers given up.
Quality starts have been a consistent factor, with 60, placing them 8th in the league. However, the Mets have struggled with blown saves, ranking 3rd with 20. The pitching staff’s strikeout ability needs improvement, ranking 26th with 1221 Ks.
Team Betting Trends
- SU Last 3 Games: 1-2 (33.3%)
- SU Last 5 Games: 1-4 (20.0%)
- SU Last 10 Games: 5-5 (50.0%)
- SU All Games: 89-69 (56.3%)
- SU in Away Games: 42-39 (51.9%)
- Runline Last 3: 1-2 (33.3%)
- Runline Last 10: 5-5 (50.0%)
- O/U Last 3: 2-1 (66.7%)
Mets Seek Redemption: Analyzing the Cubs’ Lineup
Chicago Cubs’ Offensive Overview
The Chicago Cubs have demonstrated strong offensive capabilities in the 2025 season, marked by a team batting average of .250, placing them 7th in the league. Their ability to get on base is evident with a .326 OBP, ranking 5th overall. Slugging at .429, they hold the 6th spot, showcasing a balanced offensive attack.
With 220 home runs this season, the Cubs are ranked 4th in this category, signaling their power-hitting potential. They also rank 11th in doubles with 256, indicating a mix of power and contact hitting. The Cubs have been selective at the plate, drawing 545 walks, which positions them 5th in the league.
Key Players to Watch
Leading the Cubs’ charge is Cody Bellinger, whose contributions have been vital in their power-hitting department. With the team ranking 4th in home runs, Bellinger has been a key figure in their lineup. Another player to watch is Nico Hoerner, whose on-base skills have significantly bolstered the Cubs’ OBP.
Seiya Suzuki has shown consistent performance, contributing to the Cubs’ overall offensive success. His ability to hit for both power and average makes him a dangerous opponent. The Cubs’ lineup also benefits from Patrick Wisdom’s power at the plate, adding depth to their offensive threats.
Chicago Cubs’ Pitching Insights
The Cubs’ pitching staff has maintained a 4.04 ERA, ranking them 17th, highlighting some inconsistencies on the mound. They have been effective in preventing home runs, with only 145 allowed, placing them 2nd best in this aspect. Opposing teams have batted .246 against them, ranking 11th.
Quality starts have been a challenge for the Cubs, with only 38 recorded, ranking them 21st. Despite this, their bullpen has managed to limit blown saves to 28, showcasing resilience in closing games. The Cubs’ pitching staff has also accumulated 1,356 strikeouts, holding the 11th position in the league.
Team Betting Trends
- Straight Up in Last 3 Games: 2-1 (66.7%)
- Runline in Last 3 Games: 2-1 (66.7%)
- Over/Under in Last 3 Games: 1-2 (33.3%)
- SU as Favorite: 8-2 (80.0%)
- SU as Underdog: 5-5 (50.0%)
- Runline as Favorite: 7-3 (70.0%)
- Runline as Underdog: 4-6 (40.0%)
- Over/Under in Home Games: 15-15 (50.0%)
- Over/Under in Away Games: 18-12 (60.0%)
The Cubs’ betting trends suggest they perform well as favorites, with a high success rate in covering the runline. Their games often hit the over when playing away, indicating a potent offense that thrives outside of Wrigley Field.
The Chicago Cubs, with a solid home record of 47-30 and coming off a win, host the New York Mets at Wrigley Field. The Cubs’ starting pitcher, Shota Imanaga, boasts a respectable 9-7 record and a 3.37 ERA. Despite the Mets’ promising rookie pitcher Nolan McLean, who holds an impressive 1.27 ERA, the Cubs’ home-field advantage could be decisive.
The Cubs have proven strong in night games with a 50-35 record, and they aim to maintain their momentum after securing a playoff spot. Meanwhile, the Mets are struggling with consistency, shown by their recent loss and pitching challenges. While the Mets remain competitive in the wild card race, Chicago’s stability at home gives them the edge.
Head-to-head, the Cubs have recently defeated the Mets, winning 10-3. This performance demonstrates their capability to exploit New York’s pitching weaknesses, which are highlighted by Jonah Tong’s struggles. Given these factors, backing the Cubs at -107 appears to be a sensible choice.
With the game’s total set at 7.5 runs, the expectation is for a tightly contested affair, given both teams’ pitching prowess. However, the Cubs’ offense, which recently exploded for ten runs against the Mets, should manage to edge out a victory with a projected score of Cubs 5 – Mets 3.
- Cubs vs Mets Prediction: Cubs -107
- Cubs vs Mets Score: Cubs 5 – Mets 3
