The Tampa Bay Rays head to Baltimore with a record of 77-81, currently ranked 4th in the AL East. Under the management of Kevin Cash, the Rays have shown mixed form in their recent games, standing 4-6 in their last ten. The team recently secured a 6-2 win against the Orioles, adding a win to their current streak.
The Baltimore Orioles, hosting this game at Oriole Park at Camden Yards, come in with a 74-84 record, placing them 5th in the division. Interim manager Tony Mansolino leads the team, which has posted a 5-5 record over their last ten outings. Despite a recent loss to the Rays, the Orioles had a dominant 6-0 victory against them just a day prior.
Weather conditions at Camden Yards forecast a mild day with light rain, which could play a factor in this afternoon game. The sportsbook odds favor the Rays with a moneyline of -129, while the Orioles sit at +109. With both teams looking to finish the season strong, this matchup offers an intriguing battle between division rivals on FDSSU at 1:05 PM.
Orioles vs Rays At a Glance
- Game Location: Oriole Park at Camden Yards, Baltimore, MD
- Game Time: Thursday, September 25, 2025, at 1:05 PM
- Weather Conditions: Light rain with mild temperatures and a calm wind
- Broadcast Channel: FDSSU
- Team Records: Rays at 77-81 (4th in AL East) vs. Orioles at 74-84 (5th in AL East)
- Betting Odds: Rays moneyline at -129, Orioles moneyline at +109
Can the Orioles Find Their Rhythm Against the Rays?
Team Overview
The Tampa Bay Rays enter the game with a solid season record, highlighted by their starting pitcher, Drew Rasmussen. Rasmussen boasts an impressive ERA of 2.80, making him a key figure in the Rays’ rotation. His consistent performance could be a challenge for the Orioles’ lineup.
On the offensive side, the Rays have been effective, ranking 12th in the league for home runs with 183. This power can create scoring opportunities, especially against a Baltimore pitching staff that has struggled with a 4.58 ERA.
Key Players to Watch
Drew Rasmussen is the standout pitcher for the Rays, with a low WHIP of 1.01, indicating his ability to limit base runners. His 10-5 win-loss record reflects his effectiveness in securing victories for the team.
Offensively, the Rays rely on their power hitters to drive in runs. Their ability to hit the long ball has been a critical component of their game plan, ranking them in the top half of the league for home runs.
Pitching and Defense
Rasmussen’s control and command on the mound are crucial, as evidenced by his low WHIP and ERA. He will look to exploit Baltimore’s struggles at the plate, particularly with their batting average ranked 16th in the league.
The Rays’ defense complements their pitching well, often providing the necessary support to maintain leads. Their ability to prevent runs will be essential against an Orioles lineup that has shown flashes of power.
Team Betting Trends
- SU in Away Games: 46.2%
- Runline as Favorite: 38.8%
- O/U as Underdog: 33.0%
- Runline when Scoring 5+: 72.4%
- O/U in Away Games: 38.5%
These trends suggest the Rays have been consistent in certain situations, providing insights into their performance in away games and as favorites.
Game Outlook
As the Rays prepare to take on the Orioles, their strategy will likely focus on leveraging Rasmussen’s pitching strengths. Keeping Baltimore’s bats quiet will be a priority, especially given their recent inconsistency at the plate.
The Rays’ combination of pitching prowess and home run capability positions them well against Baltimore. However, they must remain vigilant against an Orioles team eager to capitalize on any defensive lapses.
Rays Aim to Extend Winning Form Against Orioles
Current Form and Batting Strength
The Tampa Bay Rays have shown a balanced hitting approach this season, holding a .251 batting average, which ranks them 6th in the league. Their on-base percentage stands at .312, placing them in the 13th position. Despite not leading in home runs, with 179 home runs ranking 13th, their ability to hit doubles with 239 is notable, though it ranks 17th.
Junior Caminero has been a standout player, leading the team with 44 home runs, a figure that ranks 6th in the league. His contribution extends beyond power-hitting, as evidenced by his 109 RBIs and 91 runs, making him a crucial part of the Rays’ offense. Yandy Díaz adds depth with a .301 batting average, showcasing his consistency at the plate across 147 games.
Pitching Performance and Key Players
On the pitching front, Drew Rasmussen is set to start for the Rays, bringing a solid record with a 2.80 ERA and a 10-5 win-loss record. His WHIP of 1.01 further highlights his effectiveness on the mound. The Rays’ overall pitching has maintained a respectable 3.85 ERA, placing them 10th in the league.
Rasmussen’s control and ability to limit hits have been crucial, as evidenced by the team’s 6th-ranked .235 batting average against. Their pitching staff has also delivered 61 quality starts, indicating their starters’ ability to keep the team competitive deep into games.
Injury Concerns
The Rays have faced some challenges with injuries, impacting key players like Wander Franco, who remains out indefinitely due to personal issues. Taylor Walls and Jonathan Aranda are also on the injured list, which affects the team’s depth. Despite these setbacks, the team continues to compete at a high level.
The injury to Shane McClanahan is particularly significant, as he was a crucial part of their rotation. His absence has required other pitchers like Rasmussen to step up, which they have done admirably.
Team Betting Trends
- SU Last 3 Games: 2-1 (66.7%)
- SU Last 5 Games: 2-3 (40.0%)
- SU Last 10 Games: 4-6 (40.0%)
- Runline Last 3: 2-1 (66.7%)
- Runline Last 10: 7-3 (70.0%)
- O/U Last 5: 3-2 (60.0%)
Looking Ahead
The Rays will continue their road trip with games against the Toronto Blue Jays after their series with the Orioles. Maintaining their offensive momentum and solid pitching will be key to their success in these matchups. With a current record of 77-81, the Rays are striving to finish the season on a positive note.
Upcoming games will test their resilience, especially in away settings where they currently hold a 36-41 record. Their ability to adapt and utilize their strengths in hitting and pitching will be critical in these final stretches of the season.
Orioles vs Rays Prediction: Rays -129
The Tampa Bay Rays are set to take on the Baltimore Orioles at Oriole Park at Camden Yards, and the Rays are slightly favored with a moneyline of -129. Tampa Bay’s recent form and overall record suggest they have the upper hand, especially considering their performance in the latest encounter where they defeated the Orioles 6-2.
One key reason to back the Rays is the pitching matchup. Drew Rasmussen takes the mound for Tampa Bay, boasting an impressive 2.80 ERA, while Baltimore’s Cade Povich has struggled this season with a 5.06 ERA. This disparity in starting pitching could play a significant role in determining the outcome of this game.
Although the Orioles have a balanced home record and have shown flashes of potential, their inconsistency has been evident, especially against division opponents. Given the pitching advantage and recent head-to-head performance, the Rays are positioned to continue their success.
Considering all factors, the Tampa Bay Rays are the smarter pick for this matchup. A projected final score of 5-3 in favor of the Rays aligns with the pitching edge and recent form they hold over the Orioles.
- Orioles vs Rays Prediction: Rays -129
- Orioles vs Rays Score: Rays 5 – Orioles 3
