The Arkansas State Red Wolves, sitting at a 1-3 record for the season, head to Malone Stadium to challenge the Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks in Week 5 of the 2025 Regular Season. This game, scheduled for September 27, 2025, at 3:00 PM, marks the first conference game for both Sun Belt teams this year. The Red Wolves aim to rebound from their recent road loss to Kennesaw State. The Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks hold a 2-1 record and will look to maintain their momentum after a recent victory against UTEP. Playing at home, the Warhawks have shown strength, as evident in their shutout win over St. Francis (PA) earlier this season. This game offers them a chance to solidify their standing in the Sun Belt Conference. Arkansas State’s away form has been shaky, with a 0-2 road record, while Louisiana-Monroe remains unbeaten at home. The odds favor the Warhawks slightly, with a moneyline of -132 compared to the Red Wolves’ +111. The game will be broadcast on ESPN+, adding an extra layer of excitement for fans of both teams.
Louisiana-Monroe vs Arkansas State At a Glance
- Game Location: Malone Stadium in Monroe, LA
- Game Time: Saturday, September 27, 2025, at 3:00 PM
- TV Coverage: Available on ESPN+
- Arkansas State Record: 1-3 overall, 0-2 on the road
- Louisiana-Monroe Record: 2-1 overall, 1-0 at home
- Moneyline Odds: Arkansas State +111, Louisiana-Monroe -132
Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks Ready to Soar in Upcoming Game
Offensive Overview
The Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks have scored 60 points so far this season, placing them 78th in the nation. Their passing game has struggled, amassing only 327 yards, which ranks 140th. However, their rushing attack has been more effective, gaining 656 yards, good enough for 52nd place.
First downs have been a moderate strength for the Warhawks, with 51 gained, ranking them 53rd. The team will need to improve its passing efficiency to keep up with opponents. Their reliance on the ground game is evident and could be a key factor in their upcoming performance.
Defensive Dynamics
Defensively, Louisiana-Monroe has allowed 98 points this season, placing them at 68th nationally. Their ability to pressure opposing quarterbacks has been noteworthy, with 6 sacks ranking them 12th. Interceptions have also been a strong suit, with 3 so far, making them 4th best.
One area of concern is the lack of fumble recoveries, with the team yet to recover one this season. Despite this, their pass defense has been a bright spot, and they will look to continue this trend in their next game.
Quarterback Contributions
Aidan Armenta leads the Warhawks’ quarterback room, having thrown for 259 yards and 3 touchdowns across three games. He ranks 159th in passing yards but has shown promise by maintaining his position as the team’s top passer. Limiting interceptions has been a focus, with only 2 thrown so far.
Hunter Herring and Landon Graves provide depth, though their contributions have been limited. Herring has yet to throw a touchdown, while Graves has one to his name. Consistency from Armenta will be crucial as they face their next opponent.
Rushing and Receiving Impact
Braylon McReynolds has been a standout in the backfield with 244 rushing yards, making him 81st in the nation. His ability to find the end zone has been limited, with just one rushing touchdown. Dorian Lewis complements him with 131 yards on the ground.
In the receiving corps, Jake Godfrey and Tyler Griffin lead the team with 5 and 6 receptions, respectively. Each has one touchdown, and their ability to create big plays will be essential for the Warhawks’ success.
Team Betting Trends
- O/U – As Underdog: Last 8 Games → 7-1 (87.5%)
- SU – As Favorite: Last 3 Games → 3-0 (100.0%)
- O/U – After Win: Last 3 Games → 3-0 (100.0%)
- O/U – All Games: Last 10 Games → 8-2 (80.0%)
- O/U – Away Games: Last 6 Games → 5-1 (83.3%)
Arkansas State Red Wolves: A Road Test Awaits in Malone Stadium
Offensive Overview
The Arkansas State Red Wolves have put up 93 points this season, ranking them 57th in the nation. Their passing game has been a bright spot, amassing 925 yards and placing them 55th in the country. However, their rushing attack has been less effective, with 562 yards, ranking them 77th.
Defensive Challenges
Defensively, the Red Wolves have struggled, conceding 132 points, which ranks them 91st nationally. Despite this, their ability to force turnovers has been notable, with 3 interceptions and 4 fumble recoveries, both ranking them among the top in the nation. They have also been effective in pressuring the quarterback with 7 sacks, ranked 11th.
Quarterback Performance
Jaylen Raynor has been a key player for the Red Wolves, leading with 918 passing yards, placing him 41st nationally. He has thrown 6 touchdown passes and has managed to keep his interceptions to a minimum with just 3. His performance has also been reflected in his fantasy points, where he ranks 52nd.
Running Backs’ Contribution
The Red Wolves’ ground game features Kenyon Clay and Devin Spencer as their leading rushers. Clay has rushed for 146 yards, while Spencer has accumulated 165 yards. Both players have each scored a rushing touchdown this season.
Receiving Corps
Among the receivers, Chauncy Cobb has emerged as a top target with 19 receptions and 241 receiving yards. Hunter Summers follows with 14 receptions for 210 yards and 1 touchdown. The receiving unit will need to step up to provide Raynor with reliable options downfield.
Injury Report
Arkansas State will be without running back Ja’Quez Cross, who is out for the season with a knee injury. Tight end Tyler Little is also questionable due to an undisclosed injury, potentially impacting their offensive depth.
Recent Game Performances
The Red Wolves are coming off a narrow 28-21 loss to Kennesaw State. Previously, they faced a challenging stretch with losses against Iowa State and Arkansas. Their sole victory this season was a 42-24 win against Southeast Missouri State.
Betting Trends
- SU – As Favorite: Last 11 Games (2022–2025) → 10-1 (90.9%)
- SU – Home Games: Last 13 Games (2023–2025) → 10-3 (76.9%)
- ATS – After Loss: Last 6 Games (2024–2025) → 5-1 (83.3%)
- O/U – After Win: Last 5 Games (2024–2025) → 4-1 (80.0%)
- SU – After Loss: Last 10 Games (2023–2025) → 7-3 (70.0%)
- O/U – As Favorite: Last 20 Games (2020–2025) → 12-8 (60.0%)
- ATS – Away Games: Last 22 Games (2021–2025) → 13-9 (59.1%)
Louisiana-Monroe vs Arkansas State Prediction: Over 55.5
Arkansas State has had a tough start to the season with a 1-3 record, but they have shown the ability to score, as evidenced by their 38-31 victory in the last postseason game against Bowling Green. They have managed to score 93 points so far this season, placing them 57th in the nation in points scored. This offensive capability suggests they can contribute to a higher-scoring game.
Louisiana-Monroe has a 2-1 record and comes off a 31-25 win over UTEP. They have been part of high-scoring games frequently, with an 80% over rate in their last ten games. Their ability to score and the trends pointing towards high-scoring games make the over a solid option.
The head-to-head history between these teams supports an over play, as their last meeting in Monroe ended with a score of 34-24 in favor of Arkansas State. Considering both teams’ offensive capabilities and past performances, surpassing the 55.5 total seems achievable.
Given these factors, the projected final score for this game is Arkansas State 34 – Louisiana-Monroe 28, hitting the over comfortably.
- Louisiana-Monroe vs Arkansas State Prediction: Over 55.5
- Louisiana-Monroe vs Arkansas State Score: Arkansas State 34 – Louisiana-Monroe 28
