CFB Game Prediction

Arkansas vs Notre Dame Prediction & Betting Tips for CFB Week 5 on 9/27/2025

Want our best Arkansas vs Notre Dame prediction for 9/27/25? Get our College Football betting tip as the Notre Dame travel to Arkansas in Week 5 on 9/27/25 at Donald W. Reynolds Razorback Stadium, in Arkansas. Knup Sports has your free CFB pick!

The Arkansas Razorbacks are set to host the Notre Dame Fighting Irish in Week 5 of the 2025 regular season. The game will take place at Donald W. Reynolds Razorback Stadium in Fayetteville, AR, with a scheduled kickoff at 12:00 PM and broadcasted on ABC. This game marks an intriguing matchup between two teams looking to improve their standing early in the season. Notre Dame enters the game ranked 22nd in the AP Poll and 21st in the Coaches Poll. They hold a 1-2 record, having recently secured a dominant 56-30 victory over Purdue. The Fighting Irish, as an independent team, aim to prove their strength on the road after their narrow losses to Miami and Texas A&M earlier this season. Arkansas, part of the Southeastern Conference, holds a balanced 2-2 record. They are undefeated at home this season, with commanding wins against Arkansas State and Alabama A&M. However, recent close losses to Memphis and Ole Miss highlight the challenges they face as they prepare for a strong opponent in Notre Dame.

Arkansas vs Notre Dame At a Glance

  • Game Date and Time: Saturday, September 27, 2025 at 12:00 PM
  • Venue: Donald W. Reynolds Razorback Stadium in Fayetteville, AR
  • Broadcast: ABC
  • Notre Dame Record: 1-2 this season
  • Arkansas Record: 2-2 this season
  • Game Odds: Notre Dame favored with a -5.5 spread

Arkansas Razorbacks Set to Challenge the Notre Dame Fighting Irish

Offensive Analysis

The Arkansas Razorbacks have shown remarkable improvement in their offensive game in the 2025 season. They currently rank 11th in points scored with 174, which is a significant jump from their 36th position in the previous season.

In terms of aerial attack, the Razorbacks hold the 10th position in passing yards with 1,297 yards. Their ground game is also strong, amassing 923 rushing yards, earning them the 14th spot in rushing yards.

Defensive Insights

Defensively, Arkansas has tightened up their play, allowing 94 points this season, placing them 64th in this category. Their pass rush is a notable strength, with 10 sacks that rank them 8th overall.

The defense is also proficient in creating turnovers, securing 4 interceptions and 2 fumble recoveries, ranking 5th and 4th respectively.

Quarterback Play

Taylen Green, Arkansas’ top quarterback, has been a standout performer this season. He has passed for 1,191 yards, ranking 8th in the league, and has thrown 12 touchdowns, which is 3rd best among quarterbacks.

Green’s ability to avoid turnovers is crucial, with only 4 interceptions, placing him 2nd in the team rankings in this category.

Recent Game Performances

Despite a strong offensive showing, the Razorbacks fell short in their last game against Memphis with a close 32-31 loss. In this game, they had 325 passing yards and 175 rushing yards but were unable to secure the win.

Previously, Arkansas lost to Ole Miss 41-35, despite recording 305 passing yards and 221 rushing yards, showcasing their offensive capabilities.

Top Offensive Contributors

Running back Mike Washington Jr. leads the rushing attack with 330 yards and 4 touchdowns, ranking 31st and 30th respectively in the league. His performance is crucial for the Razorbacks’ balanced offensive strategy.

Wide receiver O’Mega Blake is a key target, with 24 receptions for 326 yards and 3 touchdowns. His contributions have helped position Arkansas’ passing game among the top in the league.

Betting Trends

  • O/U – As Favorite: Last 9 Games (2023–2025) → 8-1 (88.9%)
  • SU – As Favorite: Last 8 Games (2023–2025) → 7-1 (87.5%)
  • O/U – All Games: Last 3 Games (2025) → 3-0 (100.0%)
  • SU – Home Games: Last 3 Games (2024–2025) → 3-0 (100.0%)
  • O/U – Totals ≥ 50: Last 3 Games (2025) → 3-0 (100.0%)

Injury Concerns

Arkansas is facing some injury concerns that could impact their performance. Key players like linebacker Mason Schueck and defensive lineman Kavion Henderson are questionable, which might affect the Razorbacks’ defensive depth.

Additionally, wide receiver Ismael Cisse is out for the season, and Monte Harrison is also questionable, potentially limiting their offensive options.

Notre Dame Fighting Irish Prepare for Arkansas Showdown

Team Overview

The Notre Dame Fighting Irish head into the upcoming game with a strong offensive showing this season. Ranking 39th in points for, they have managed to accumulate 120 points so far. Despite being 81st in passing yards with 795, they are a team to watch.

Their rushing game is currently ranked 90th with 499 yards. The Irish have managed to secure 67 first downs, placing them at the 40th rank, which shows a balance in their offensive capabilities.

Defensive Insights

On defense, Notre Dame has allowed 98 points, ranking them 68th. They have excelled in the interception department, ranking 4th with three interceptions. Their sack count stands at three, placing them 15th, which demonstrates a strong defensive front.

However, the team has yet to recover a fumble this season, which ranks them 6th in that category. The defense will need to tighten up as they prepare for their next challenge.

Recent Game Performance

In their most recent game, Notre Dame secured a 56-30 victory over Purdue. The offense showed its strength with 281 passing yards and 258 rushing yards. The defense was able to limit Purdue to just 76 rushing yards.

Despite the win, the team did not recover any fumbles and allowed Purdue to record two interceptions. Improving ball control and defensive turnovers will be crucial in the upcoming games.

Key Players

Quarterback CJ Carr has been a pivotal player, leading with 737 passing yards over three games. His performance places him 69th in the league, highlighting his importance to the Irish offense.

On the rushing front, Jeremiyah Love leads with 284 yards, ranking 51st. Wide receiver Jordan Faison has been a key target, with 155 receiving yards and two touchdowns.

Injury Report

Several players are currently dealing with injuries, which could impact their lineup. Key players like DeVonta Smith and Noah Burnette are questionable, while others like Kevin Bauman are out for the season.

These injuries could affect both offensive and defensive strategies, making it essential for backups to step up and fill the gaps left by injured players.

Team Betting Trends

  • As Favorite: 23-5 (82.1%) in last 28 games
  • Home Games: 21-5 (80.8%) in last 26 games
  • Away Games: 21-5 (80.8%) in last 26 games
  • All Games: 23-7 (76.7%) in last 30 games
  • After Win: 9-1 (90.0%) in last 10 games
  • O/U All Games: 5-0 (100.0%) in last 5 games
  • O/U As Favorite: 5-0 (100.0%) in last 5 games

Arkansas vs Notre Dame Prediction: Over 64.5

Both Arkansas and Notre Dame have demonstrated strong offensive capabilities this season. Arkansas ranks 11th in points scored, showing their offensive prowess, while Notre Dame is not far behind, ranking 39th. This offensive firepower from both teams suggests a high-scoring affair is likely.

Defensively, both teams have shown vulnerabilities that could be exploited by their opponents. Arkansas’s defense ranks 64th in points allowed, while Notre Dame’s defense ranks 68th. These rankings indicate a potential for both offenses to capitalize and put points on the board.

Adding to this, Arkansas has a notable trend of games going over the total points, especially when playing at home and in games with high set totals. In their last three games, the total has gone over, and with a total set at 64.5 for this game, the trend suggests this outcome could repeat.

Considering these factors, the prediction leans towards the over for the total points. The expected final score projection supports this pick with Arkansas narrowly defeating Notre Dame, with both teams contributing significantly to the total score.

  • Arkansas vs Notre Dame Prediction: Over 64.5
  • Arkansas vs Notre Dame Score: Arkansas 38 – Notre Dame 35
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