As we enter Week 4 of the 2025 college football season, the Nicholls Colonels are set to play against the Texas State Bobcats. The game will take place at UFCU Stadium in San Marcos, TX, and is scheduled for an 8:00 PM kickoff on Saturday, September 20. Fans can catch the action live on ESPN+. The Nicholls Colonels, an independent team, are looking to bounce back from a 38-20 defeat against Troy Trojans. This upcoming game marks their second road appearance of the season, following an initial 0-1 start. Their record reflects challenges, especially in the rushing department, where they previously struggled to contain their opponent. In contrast, the Texas State Bobcats have had a promising start to their season with a 2-1 record. They have demonstrated strong performances, particularly in their home opener against Eastern Michigan, which they won 52-27. The Bobcats are part of the Sun Belt Conference and will aim to leverage their home field advantage to secure another victory.
Texas State vs Nicholls At a Glance
- Game Location: UFCU Stadium in San Marcos, TX
- Game Time: Saturday, September 20, 2025 at 8:00 PM
- Broadcast: Available on ESPN+
- Texas State’s Season Record: 2-1 overall, 1-0 at home
- Nicholls Colonels’ Season Record: 0-1 overall, 0-1 on the road
- Game Odds: Nicholls at +2000, Texas State at -7000
Texas State Bobcats: Poised for a Pivotal Home Game
Offensive Performance
The Texas State Bobcats’ offense has accumulated 110 points this season, placing them 27th overall. Their passing game has generated 684 yards, ranking 62nd, while their rushing attack has been more effective with 687 yards, landing them in the 17th position.
First downs have been a strong point for Texas State, achieving 68 so far this season, placing them 20th in the nation. The offensive unit will look to continue their balanced attack as they prepare for their next home game.
Defensive Insights
Defensively, the Bobcats have allowed 97 points, ranking 79th in the nation. Their pass rush has been effective, securing 6 sacks, which ranks them 9th. However, they have yet to record any interceptions, a category where they are currently tied for 1st due to having zero turnovers in this regard.
In terms of fumble recoveries, Texas State also hasn’t capitalized yet this season, holding the 6th position with zero recoveries. The defense will need to focus on creating turnovers to strengthen their position moving forward.
Recent Game Performances
Texas State’s recent games have shown mixed results. They started the season strong with a 52-27 victory over Eastern Michigan but faced challenges in their last game against Arizona State, losing 34-15.
In their win against UTSA, the Bobcats showcased a potent offense with a 43-36 victory, despite being outgained in rushing yards. This resilience will be crucial as they gear up for their next set of opponents.
Key Players to Watch
Quarterback Brad Jackson has been pivotal, with 684 passing yards and 6 touchdowns. His performance will be critical in maintaining the offensive momentum. On the ground, Lincoln Pare leads with 299 rushing yards, ranking 14th nationally.
Beau Sparks, the leading wide receiver, has caught 22 passes for 307 yards and 5 touchdowns, demonstrating his ability to make significant plays. These key players will be essential for Texas State in their upcoming games.
Team Betting Trends
- O/U – As Favorite: Last 5 Games → 5-0 (100.0%)
- O/U – Home Games: Last 3 Games → 3-0 (100.0%)
- O/U – All Games: Last 7 Games → 6-1 (85.7%)
- SU – As Favorite: Last 23 Games → 16-7 (69.6%)
- SU – Home Games: Last 20 Games → 14-6 (70.0%)
- ATS – After Loss: Last 29 Games → 19-10 (65.5%)
Nicholls Colonels Set to Overcome Odds in Upcoming Game
Offensive Challenges
The Nicholls Colonels have shown a decrease in their offensive production from last season. With only 20 points per game, they rank 88th in scoring, indicating room for improvement. Their passing and rushing games are also underperforming, ranking 158th and 169th respectively, which suggests a need for strategic adjustments.
First downs have been a relative strength for the team, ranking 66th. This indicates that while they struggle to convert opportunities into points, they do have the ability to advance the ball downfield. Improving their red-zone efficiency could be key to enhancing their scoring output.
Defensive Concerns
The Colonels’ defense allowed 38 points in their recent outing, placing them 24th in points allowed. While they have been able to apply some pressure with a sack ranking of 14th, turnovers have been an issue. The team is currently without interceptions or fumble recoveries, highlighting a need for a more aggressive defensive approach.
Last season, they managed a few more takeaways, including three interceptions. Improving in this area could be crucial for flipping the field and providing more opportunities for their offense. This could be an area of focus as they prepare for their next game.
Key Players to Watch
Quarterback Deuce Hogan will be a focal point for Nicholls as he works to improve his passing game. Despite ranking 171st in passing yards, Hogan will look to build on his 184-yard performance from the previous game. Efficient quarterback play will be essential for Nicholls to enhance their offensive capabilities.
On the ground, running back Miequle Brock Jr. is expected to lead the charge. Brock Jr. amassed 34 rushing yards and a touchdown, showing potential to increase production. Establishing a consistent ground attack will be important for controlling the pace of the game.
Team Betting Trends
- ATS – All Games: 4-1 (80.0%)
- ATS – As Underdog: 4-1 (80.0%)
- ATS – Away Games: 4-1 (80.0%)
- ATS – After Loss: 4-1 (80.0%)
- ATS – Totals ≥ 50: 3-1 (75.0%)
- O/U – All Games: 2-1 (66.7%)
- O/U – As Underdog: 2-1 (66.7%)
- O/U – Away Games: 2-1 (66.7%)
- O/U – After Loss: 2-1 (66.7%)
- O/U – Totals ≥ 50: 2-4 (33.3%)
- SU – All Games: 0-3 (0.0%)
- SU – As Underdog: 0-3 (0.0%)
- SU – Away Games: 0-3 (0.0%)
- SU – After Loss: 0-3 (0.0%)
- SU – Totals ≥ 50: 0-3 (0.0%)
Texas State vs Nicholls Prediction: Texas State -28.5
Texas State enters this game with a 2-1 record, having shown a strong ability to score with 110 points in their first three games. Nicholls, on the other hand, has struggled offensively, ranked 88th in points scored with only 20 points in their sole game so far. The disparity in offensive production suggests Texas State’s ability to cover the large spread.
Defensively, Texas State has allowed 97 points over three games, but they have a solid track record at home, boasting a 14-6 straight-up record since 2022. Nicholls’ defense has allowed 38 points in their one game, indicating vulnerabilities that Texas State can exploit. This sets up a scenario where Texas State can cover the -28.5 spread.
Texas State’s performance after a loss is also noteworthy, with a 9-3 straight-up record in their last 12 games following a defeat. They also have a strong history against the spread as favorites, with a 4-1 record in their last five games in such situations. These trends favor Texas State to bounce back and deliver a decisive victory.
The Bobcats’ home advantage, combined with Nicholls’ lackluster start, paints a picture of a game that could end with Texas State winning by a significant margin. Expect a final score along the lines of Texas State 45 – Nicholls 10, comfortably covering the spread.
- Texas State vs Nicholls Prediction: Texas State -28.5
- Texas State vs Nicholls Score: Texas State 45 – Nicholls 10
