In Week 4 of the 2025 college football season, the Boise State Broncos are set to travel to Falcon Stadium for a night game against the Air Force Falcons. Both teams hold a 1-1 record this season, making this Mountain West Conference game pivotal for gaining momentum. The game is scheduled for Saturday, September 20, 2025, at 7:00 PM, and will be broadcast on CBSS.
Boise State enters the contest after a dominant 51-14 home victory over Eastern Washington, showcasing their strong offensive capabilities with 309 passing yards and 330 rushing yards. However, their road record stands at 0-1, following a tough 34-7 loss to South Florida in Week 1. Their performance away from Albertsons Stadium will be a critical factor to watch.
On the other hand, Air Force will look to leverage their perfect home record after a 49-13 win against Bucknell. They recently suffered a 49-30 road defeat against Utah State, where turnovers played a role in their struggles. As they return to Falcon Stadium, the Falcons aim to capitalize on their home field advantage in this conference showdown.
Air Force vs Boise State At a Glance
- Game Week: Week 4 of the 2025 Regular Season
- Venue: Falcon Stadium in USAF Academy, CO
- Game Time: Saturday, September 20, 2025 at 7:00 PM
- TV Broadcast: CBSS
- Boise State Record: 1-1 overall, 0-1 on the road
- Consensus Odds: Boise State -366, Air Force +287
The Air Force Falcons Prepare for a Showdown with Boise State Broncos
Air Force Falcons’ Offensive Overview
As the Air Force Falcons prepare to host the Boise State Broncos, their offensive dynamics will be crucial. In the 2025 season, they have accumulated 536 rushing yards, ranking 50th nationally. Their passing game, however, ranks 126th with only 338 yards, suggesting a ground-focused strategy.
The Falcons have managed to secure 46 first downs, positioning them at 40th nationwide. With 79 points scored this season, they stand at 51st in scoring, demonstrating moderate offensive productivity. Consistency in execution will be key against Boise State’s defense.
Defensive Strengths and Challenges
On the defensive front, Air Force’s performance has been mixed. They have allowed 62 points, ranking 47th, indicating room for improvement. However, their pass rush has excelled with 9 sacks, placing them 6th nationally.
Turnover creation has been a strong suit, with 1 interception and 1 fumble recovery, both ranking in the top 5. These defensive plays could be pivotal in stalling Boise State’s offensive drives.
Recent Game Performance
Air Force’s recent performance saw them suffer a 49-30 defeat against Utah State. Despite achieving 23 first downs, their 2 interceptions and 2 fumbles significantly hindered their efforts. Their rushing game was a bright spot, outpacing Utah State with 266 yards.
Earlier in the season, they secured a dominant 49-13 victory over Bucknell. This game showcased their ability to control the ground game with 270 rushing yards, which they’ll aim to replicate against Boise State.
Key Players to Watch
Josh Johnson has emerged as a crucial player for Air Force, leading with 224 passing yards and 2 touchdowns. His ability to manage the offense will be critical in the upcoming game. On the ground, Kade Frew has contributed significantly with 60 rushing yards.
Cade Harris leads the receiving corps with 146 yards and a touchdown. His ability to make big plays in the passing game could open up the field for Air Force’s rushing attack.
Injury Concerns
Air Force faces several injury concerns, with key players listed as questionable. Center Gabriel Averitt, linebacker Zach Juckel, and wide receiver Jonah Dawson are all uncertain to play due to undisclosed injuries. Their availability could impact both offensive and defensive schemes.
Team Betting Trends
- SU – After Win: 15-3 (83.3%) in the last 18 games
- O/U – As Favorite: 4-0 (100.0%) in the last 4 games
- ATS – As Underdog: 4-0 (100.0%) in the last 4 games
- SU – Home Games: 20-8 (71.4%) in the last 28 games
- O/U – All Games: 3-0 (100.0%) in the last 3 games
Boise State Broncos Prepare for a Battle on the Road
Offensive Performance
The Boise State Broncos have had a mixed start offensively in the 2025 season. With a total of 58 points scored, their ranking sits at 66th, showcasing a slight drop from their impressive 6th place finish in the 2024 season. Their passing yards stand at 565, putting them at 88th, a stark contrast to their 41st rank last year.
On the ground, the Broncos have accumulated 452 rushing yards, which ranks them 67th. This demonstrates a drop compared to their 4th-place finish with 3392 rushing yards last season. Boise State’s offense is searching for consistency to regain their previous form.
Defensive Standings
Defensively, Boise State has shown potential with 48 points against, ranking 33rd in the league. The team’s ability to sack opponents has been noteworthy, with 5 sacks placing them 10th overall. Their interceptions have been crucial, ranking 2nd with one interception, indicating a strong secondary presence.
The Broncos have also demonstrated an ability to force turnovers, ranking 5th in fumbles recovered. Their defense remains a key component for success as they aim to stifle opposing offenses. Maintaining their defensive prowess will be vital in upcoming games.
Quarterback Contributions
Maddux Madsen has been the standout quarterback for the Broncos, contributing 532 passing yards and 3 touchdowns over two games. Madsen’s performance ranks him 85th in the league, but he leads his team in passing metrics. With zero interceptions thrown, Madsen’s decision-making will be crucial moving forward.
Backup quarterback Max Cutforth has seen limited action with only 33 passing yards. While his impact has been minimal, Cutforth provides depth and options for Boise State should the need arise.
Running Back Dynamics
The Broncos’ rushing attack has been shared between Sire Gaines and Dylan Riley, with both players rushing for over 140 yards each. Gaines has also added a rushing touchdown to his tally, demonstrating his ability to find the end zone. Riley’s consistent ground gain has also been a valuable asset for Boise State’s offensive game plan.
Team Betting Trends
- SU – As Favorite: Last 19 Games → 18-1 (94.7%)
- SU – Home Games: Last 13 Games → 13-0 (100.0%)
- SU – All Games: Last 19 Games → 17-2 (89.5%)
- SU – Totals ≥ 50: Last 18 Games → 16-2 (88.9%)
- SU – After Win: Last 16 Games → 14-2 (87.5%)
- SU – After Loss: Last 6 Games → 6-0 (100.0%)
- O/U – As Underdog: Last 3 Games → 3-0 (100.0%)
Air Force vs Boise State Prediction: ‘Air Force +10.0’
In this Week 4 matchup, the Air Force Falcons have a chance to leverage their strong home performance against a Boise State team that has struggled on the road this season. The Falcons have an impressive track record as underdogs, going 4-0 against the spread (ATS) in their last four games in this role. Given their home-field advantage and recent performance trends, Air Force covering the +10.0 spread seems a wise choice.
Boise State comes into this game with a 1-1 record, showing inconsistencies, especially in their road performances. While Boise State has a formidable defense, Air Force’s offensive capabilities, particularly in rushing, could exploit any lapses. With Boise State’s previous head-to-head wins, a close contest is expected, but Air Force’s ability to keep games tight at home is noteworthy.
The Air Force Falcons’ ability to perform under pressure, especially at home, is backed by their 3-0 ATS record in recent home games. They also have a strong record in games where the total has been set at 50 or higher, making them a reliable pick to cover the spread. Despite Boise State’s strength, Air Force’s resilience should keep the game within a one-score margin.
Anticipate a competitive battle at Falcon Stadium, where the Broncos might secure the win but not by the ten-point margin needed to cover the spread. A final score projection leans towards a tighter game, favoring Air Force’s ability to stay within reach.
- Air Force vs Boise State Prediction: Air Force +10.0
- Air Force vs Boise State Score: Boise State 27 – Air Force 21
