CFB Game Prediction

Kennesaw State vs Arkansas State Prediction & Betting Tips for CFB Week 4 on 9/20/2025

Want our best Kennesaw State vs Arkansas State prediction for 9/20/25? Get our College Football betting tip as the Arkansas State travel to Kennesaw State in Week 4 on 9/20/25 at Fifth Third Stadium, in Kennesaw State. Knup Sports has your free CFB pick!

The Arkansas State Red Wolves will travel to Kennesaw, GA, to take on the Kennesaw State Owls in Week 4 of the 2025 regular season. Scheduled for a 6:00 PM kickoff on September 20, 2025, at Fifth Third Stadium, this game will be broadcast on ESPN+. Both teams enter this contest with identical 1-2 records, looking to gain momentum as the season progresses.

Arkansas State comes into this encounter with a road record of 0-1. Their most recent outing saw them fall 24-16 at home against the Iowa State Cyclones. Despite the loss, the Red Wolves showed balance on offense, matching the Cyclones with 20 first downs.

Kennesaw State, playing at home where they hold a 1-0 record, will aim to leverage this advantage. They secured a 27-13 victory over Merrimack College in their last home game, demonstrating a strong defensive effort by allowing only 16 first downs. As both teams are yet to play a conference game, this non-conference matchup offers an opportunity to fine-tune their strategies.

Kennesaw State vs Arkansas State At a Glance

  • Game Location: Fifth Third Stadium in Kennesaw, GA
  • Kickoff Time: Saturday, September 20, 2025 at 6:00 PM
  • TV Coverage: Available on ESPN+
  • Away Team Record: Arkansas State Red Wolves hold a 1-2 record
  • Home Team Record: Kennesaw State Owls have a 1-2 record
  • Betting Odds: Arkansas State is favored with a moneyline of -220

Kennesaw State Owls: Analyzing the Season’s Stats and Game Insights

Offensive Overview

The Kennesaw State Owls have started their 2025 season with a total of 45 points, ranking them 74th in the nation. Their passing game has managed to accumulate 527 yards, placing them 97th, while their rushing game stands at 420 yards, ranking 76th. Overall, the Owls have secured 49 first downs, which positions them 37th.

In contrast, the 2024 season saw them score 198 points, ranked 102nd, with 1,635 passing yards and 1,420 rushing yards, ranking 123rd and 113th respectively. The team’s ability to achieve first downs was 164, placing them 94th.

Defensive Insights

Defensively, the Owls have allowed 79 points against them this season, putting them in the 64th position nationally. They have shown strength in their sack game with 8 sacks, ranking 7th. The defense, however, is yet to record any interceptions or fumbles recovered in 2025, a notable point considering their 2024 season where they had 4 interceptions and 8 fumbles recovered.

Comparatively, in 2024, the Owls had a challenging season defensively, with 374 points against them, ranking 121st. Their sack count was higher at 22, but their ability to intercept and recover fumbles was stronger, with ranks of 5th and 8th respectively.

Recent Game Performances

The Owls recently secured a victory over Merrimack College Warriors with a 27-13 scoreline. In this game, the Owls managed 196 passing yards and 173 rushing yards, with 21 first downs. Their defensive efforts were evident with only 13 points allowed and 0 fumbles.

In their game against Indiana Hoosiers, the Owls faced a tough 56-9 defeat. They were outperformed in rushing yards with only 89 against Indiana’s 316 and managed just 10 first downs. This game highlighted areas for improvement in both offensive and defensive strategies.

Player Contributions

Quarterback Amari Odom has contributed 284 passing yards over two games, ranking 132nd nationally, with one touchdown and an interception. Dexter Williams II also played a vital role, contributing 236 passing yards and an interception over three games.

Running back Coleman Bennett has been effective on the ground, rushing for 139 yards and securing one touchdown in three games. Gabriel Benyard, a key wide receiver, has achieved 208 receiving yards and one touchdown, showcasing his importance to the team’s aerial attack.

Kennesaw State Owls Betting Trends

  • SU – Home Games: Last 3 Games (2024–2025) → 3-0 (100.0%)
  • O/U – Home Games: Last 4 Games (2024–2025) → 3-1 (75.0%)
  • O/U – Totals ≥ 50: Last 4 Games (2021–2025) → 3-1 (75.0%)
  • ATS – As Underdog: Last 6 Games (2024–2025) → 4-2 (66.7%)
  • ATS – Home Games: Last 3 Games (2024–2025) → 2-1 (66.7%)

Arkansas State Red Wolves Set to Take on Kennesaw State Owls

Quarterback Situation

The Arkansas State Red Wolves’ offense is led by Jaylen Raynor, who has showcased his ability to rack up significant passing yards with 692 in three games. While he ranks 46th in passing yards nationally, he is leading his team in this category. His four passing touchdowns place him 65th, indicating a solid but not explosive start to the season.

Backup QB Josh Flowers has seen limited action with only two games under his belt and a mere seven passing yards. His presence as a backup doesn’t provide much depth in passing options, making Raynor’s health and performance critical for the Red Wolves’ success.

Running Game

Kenyon Clay and Devin Spencer are the primary running backs, with Clay leading the team with 120 rushing yards across three games. Spencer follows closely with 104 yards, and both have found the end zone once. Their contributions have been steady, but not overwhelming, as the rushing attack ranks 64th nationally.

Ja’Quez Cross, who could have bolstered the rushing game, is out for the season with a torn ACL. This puts added pressure on Clay and Spencer to carry the load in the running game.

Receiving Corps

Chauncy Cobb stands out in the receiving corps, leading the team with 216 yards on 16 receptions. Although he hasn’t scored a touchdown yet, his yardage places him 60th nationally, showing his potential to impact games. Corey Rucker and Jaylen Bonelli have each contributed with a touchdown, providing Raynor with diverse options.

The tight end position is somewhat in flux with Tyler Little listed as questionable. Little has shown potential in his limited appearances, and his availability could add another dimension to the passing game.

Defensive Performance

Arkansas State’s defense has been a mixed bag, allowing 104 points, ranking 82nd nationally. However, they have excelled in creating turnovers with three interceptions and one fumble recovery, ranking in the top five for both. Their pass rush is effective as well, with five sacks putting them 10th in the nation.

Betting Trends

  • SU – As Favorite: Last 10 Games → 10-0 (100.0%)
  • ATS – After Loss: Last 5 Games → 5-0 (100.0%)
  • SU – Home Games: Last 13 Games → 10-3 (76.9%)
  • SU – After Loss: Last 9 Games → 7-2 (77.8%)
  • O/U – After Win: Last 5 Games → 4-1 (80.0%)
  • O/U – As Favorite: Last 10 Games → 7-3 (70.0%)
  • ATS – Away Games: Last 21 Games → 13-8 (61.9%)
  • O/U – After Loss: Last 22 Games → 13-9 (59.1%)

Kennesaw State vs Arkansas State Prediction: Over 56.5

As we look at the offensive and defensive stats of both teams, it’s notable that both Arkansas State and Kennesaw State have been putting up substantial yardage this season. Arkansas State has accumulated 699 passing yards and 470 rushing yards so far, while Kennesaw State has recorded 527 passing yards and 420 rushing yards. These figures suggest that both teams have the offensive capabilities to score frequently.

Defensively, both teams have allowed a fair amount of points against them, with Arkansas State conceding 104 points and Kennesaw State 79 points this season. The defensive vulnerabilities in both squads provide ample opportunities for the offenses to exploit and potentially turn this into a high-scoring game. This trend aligns well with the over/under pattern for Kennesaw State, where totals exceeding 50 have gone over in 75% of their last four games.

Additionally, the betting trends for Kennesaw State at home show a 75% rate of games going over in their last four home outings. With both teams showing the ability to score and concede points, the trend towards the over is supported by recent performances and betting patterns. This game has the makings of a high-scoring contest, particularly given the offensive strengths and defensive weaknesses displayed by both teams.

Therefore, the prediction is for the game to go over the 56.5 total. Expect both teams to contribute to a combined score that surpasses this number, with the potential for explosive plays from both sides adding to the tally.

  • Kennesaw State vs Arkansas State Prediction: Over 56.5
  • Kennesaw State vs Arkansas State Score: Arkansas State 38 – Kennesaw State 31
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