In Week 4 of the 2025 regular season, the Troy Trojans will travel to UB Stadium in Buffalo, NY, to take on the Buffalo Bulls. Set to air on ESPN+, this afternoon game kicks off at 3:30 PM on September 20, 2025. With both teams having experienced mixed results early in the season, this matchup presents an opportunity for each to solidify their standings. The Troy Trojans enter the game with a 1-2 record, having struggled on the road thus far. Their recent 28-7 loss to Memphis highlights some challenges they need to address. Despite these setbacks, their victory over Nicholls in the season opener shows they can perform when conditions are favorable. Meanwhile, the Buffalo Bulls hold a 2-1 record, with a dominant home performance against St. Francis (PA) boosting their confidence. Coming off a narrow 31-28 victory at Kent State, the Bulls aim to continue their momentum in front of the home crowd. Their consistent play at UB Stadium could be a decisive factor in this matchup.
Buffalo vs Troy At a Glance
- Game Date and Time: Saturday, September 20, 2025, at 3:30 PM
- Venue: UB Stadium in Buffalo, NY
- Current Season Records: Troy Trojans at 1-2, Buffalo Bulls at 2-1
- TV Channel: ESPN+
- Buffalo Bulls Home Record: 1-0 this season
- Game Odds: Buffalo Moneyline -212, Troy Moneyline +175
Buffalo Bulls Charging Forward: A Closer Look at the Upcoming Game
Offensive Performance
The Buffalo Bulls have had a moderate start to the season, ranking 45th in points scored with 86 points. Their passing game stands at 558 yards, placing them at 91st in the nation. However, their rushing attack is more productive, with 563 yards, earning them a 41st place ranking.
First downs have been a strong suit for the Bulls, securing 63 so far, which ranks them 24th nationally. This indicates a strong ability to maintain possession and control the game’s pace. Such ball control will be crucial in their upcoming games.
Defensive Strengths
Defensively, the Bulls have conceded 57 points, positioning them 42nd in points against. Their ability to pressure quarterbacks is notable, as they have recorded eight sacks, which places them at 7th in the country. This defensive pressure has also resulted in three fumbles recovered, ranking them 3rd nationally.
The secondary has been impressive with one interception, placing them 2nd in the nation. The Bulls’ defense has consistently made impactful plays that could be decisive against high-powered offenses.
Key Players to Watch
Quarterback Ta’Quan Roberson has been pivotal, throwing for 558 yards with five touchdowns and two interceptions. His performance is essential for the Bulls’ offensive strategy. In the backfield, Al-Jay Henderson has rushed for 198 yards and scored three touchdowns.
Wide receiver Victor Snow leads the receiving corps with 168 yards and three touchdowns. His ability to create plays and stretch the field will be vital for the Bulls’ success in the air.
Recent Game Outcomes
The Bulls are coming off a narrow 31-28 victory against Kent State, showcasing their resilience in close games. Previously, they secured a dominant 45-6 win over St. Francis (PA), highlighting their capability to exploit weaker defenses.
Their season opener against Minnesota resulted in a 23-10 loss, which reflected some early season struggles. However, their subsequent performances indicate an upward trajectory.
Team Betting Trends
- SU – As Favorite: Last 6 Games (2024–2025) → 6-0 (100.0%)
- O/U – After Loss: Last 4 Games (2024–2025) → 4-0 (100.0%)
- O/U – All Games: Last 10 Games (2024–2025) → 8-2 (80.0%)
- SU – All Games: Last 6 Games (2024–2025) → 5-1 (83.3%)
- ATS – All Games: Last 6 Games (2024–2025) → 5-1 (83.3%)
The Bulls have been reliable when playing as favorites, maintaining a perfect 6-0 record in such situations. Their ability to cover spreads and hit the over after a loss is also noteworthy, reflecting their resilience and adaptability.
Troy Trojans Seek Redemption Against Buffalo Bulls
Offensive Performance
The Troy Trojans have struggled offensively this season, ranking 63rd in points scored with a total of 61. Their passing attack has been particularly weak, sitting at 111th with 439 passing yards, while their rushing game is slightly better at 87th with 391 rushing yards. Despite these struggles, they have managed to secure 51 first downs, ranking 35th overall.
Defensive Highlights
On the defensive side, Troy’s standout area has been their ability to pressure the quarterback, recording eight sacks which ranks them 7th in the nation. Additionally, they have excelled in turnovers, ranking 4th with three interceptions and two fumbles recovered. However, their defense has allowed 75 points, placing them 60th in points against.
Recent Game Performances
The Trojans began their season with a strong 38-20 win over Nicholls Colonels, showing an effective rushing game with 273 yards. However, they faced difficulties in subsequent games, losing to Clemson 27-16 and Memphis 28-7. Against Memphis, their offense was stifled, managing only 72 passing yards and 40 rushing yards.
Quarterback Goose Crowder has been a key figure, throwing for 374 yards and four touchdowns over three games. Yet, his three interceptions have been costly, particularly in their loss to Clemson. Running back Tae Meadows has been a bright spot, rushing for 269 yards, ranking 31st nationally.
Key Players to Watch
Tray Taylor has been a leading receiver with 97 yards and two touchdowns, while Ethan Conner has made an impact at tight end with seven receptions and one touchdown. In the kicking game, Scott Taylor Renfroe has contributed with two field goals and seven extra points.
With Goose Crowder listed as questionable for the upcoming game, the Trojans may need to rely more heavily on their rushing attack and defensive prowess. The team will need to address their passing inefficiencies to improve their offensive output.
Betting Trends
- SU – As Favorite: 24-3 (88.9%) over last 27 games.
- ATS – Away Games: 15-4 (78.9%) over last 19 games.
- O/U – As Favorite: 7-2 (77.8%) over last 9 games.
- ATS – All Games: 15-9 (62.5%) over last 24 games.
- SU – Away Games: 10-7 (58.8%) over last 17 games.
As they prepare to take on the Buffalo Bulls, the Trojans will look to capitalize on their strong betting trends in away games and as underdogs. Despite being 5.5-point underdogs, their recent defensive performances provide a foundation for potential success.
Buffalo vs Troy Prediction: Buffalo -5.5
Buffalo enters this game with a solid 2-1 record and an undefeated streak as a favorite in their last six outings. With a home advantage at UB Stadium, they are set to defend their -5.5 point spread effectively. Buffalo’s recent form, including a narrow 31-28 victory over Kent State, showcases their ability to secure wins in competitive situations.
Conversely, Troy’s season has started on a rocky note with a 1-2 record and no wins on the road. They have struggled both offensively and defensively, ranking lower in points for and against compared to Buffalo. Troy’s inability to perform on the road suggests that they may find it challenging to cover the spread against a well-rounded Buffalo team.
Buffalo’s offensive prowess, with 86 points scored this season, outmatches Troy’s 61 points. Defensively, Buffalo has also been superior, allowing only 57 points compared to Troy’s 75. This disparity in both offense and defense reinforces the potential for Buffalo to cover the spread.
Given Buffalo’s solid record as favorites and Troy’s road struggles, betting on Buffalo to cover the -5.5 spread seems prudent. Expect Buffalo to leverage their home advantage and offensive capabilities to secure a win over Troy.
- Buffalo vs Troy Prediction: Buffalo -5.5
- Buffalo vs Troy Score: Buffalo 28 – Troy 20
