CFB Game Prediction

Arizona State vs Texas State Prediction & Betting Tips for CFB Week 3 on 9/13/2025

Want our best Arizona State vs Texas State prediction for 9/13/25? Get our College Football betting tip as the Texas State travel to Arizona State in Week 3 on 9/13/25 at Mountain America Stadium, in Arizona State. Knup Sports has your free CFB pick!

In Week 3 of the 2025 regular season, the Texas State Bobcats head to Tempe, Arizona, to take on the Arizona State Sun Devils. The game kicks off at 10:30 PM on September 13, 2025, at Mountain America Stadium and will be broadcast on TNT. Both teams are looking to build momentum as the Bobcats come in undefeated, while the Sun Devils seek to rebound from an early-season loss. The Texas State Bobcats enter the game with a perfect 2-0 record. They have proven their offensive capability by putting up impressive scores in their first two games against UTSA Roadrunners and Eastern Michigan Eagles. The Bobcats are yet to play a conference game but have shown a balanced attack with both strong passing and rushing performances. Arizona State, ranked #24 in the Coaches Poll, holds a 1-1 record. After a home victory against Northern Arizona Lumberjacks, the Sun Devils faced a setback against Mississippi State Bulldogs on the road. With their home crowd behind them, Arizona State looks to leverage their strong rushing game to secure their second win of the season.

Arizona State vs Texas State At a Glance

  • Game Venue: Mountain America Stadium in Tempe, AZ
  • Game Date and Time: Saturday, September 13, 2025 at 10:30 PM (Night Game)
  • TV Channel: TNT
  • Texas State Record: 2-0
  • Arizona State Ranking: Coaches Poll Rank #24
  • Betting Odds: Arizona State favored by 14.5 points

Arizona State Sun Devils Set to Tackle Texas State Bobcats

Offensive Overview

In the current season, Arizona State has not been lighting up the scoreboard, ranking 36th in points for with 58. They have managed 339 passing yards, placing them 94th in the nation. However, their ground game has been more effective, rushing for 454 yards, which ranks them 28th.

Last season, the Sun Devils were more prolific offensively, ranking 19th in total points with 461. They excelled in rushing, ranking 12th with 2881 yards, and were also strong in passing with 3213 yards, ranking 36th. They are likely looking to regain this form against Texas State.

Defensive Insights

Defensively, Arizona State is ranked 33rd in points against, conceding 43 points so far this season. They have been particularly effective at pressuring quarterbacks, ranking 5th with six sacks. Their secondary has been opportunistic, ranking 2nd with one interception.

In 2024, the Sun Devils struggled more on defense, ranking 92nd in points against with 316. They did well in turnovers, collecting 16 interceptions and ranking 17th. The team is aiming to build on their improved defensive performances this season.

Recent Performances

Arizona State has had a mixed start to the season, with a win against Northern Arizona and a narrow loss to Mississippi State. In their victory over Northern Arizona, they put up 38 points while allowing 19. Against Mississippi State, they were edged out 24-20, despite outgaining them in first downs and rushing yards.

The game against Mississippi State highlighted their passing struggles, managing only 82 yards compared to Mississippi State’s 279. However, their rushing attack was dominant, amassing 251 yards. They will look to balance their offensive approach in the upcoming game.

Betting Trends

  • SU All Games: 1-1 (50.0%)
  • SU in Home Games: 1-0 (100.0%)
  • ATS All Games: 2-0 (100.0%)
  • ATS in Away Games: 1-0 (100.0%)
  • O/U All Games: 1-1 (50.0%)
  • O/U in Home Games: 1-0 (100.0%)

Texas State Bobcats Set to Roar on the Road Against Arizona State

Offensive Firepower

The Texas State Bobcats have been impressive on the offensive front this season, currently ranking 10th in points for with a total of 95 points. Their ground game has been particularly strong, amassing 567 rushing yards which ranks 8th. The Bobcats’ passing game, led by quarterback Brad Jackson, has also been effective, with 500 passing yards so far, placing them 50th in the rankings.

Jackson has shown proficiency in the passing game, with a total of 5 passing touchdowns, placing him 20th in the league. On the rushing end, Lincoln Pare has been a standout, rushing for 238 yards, positioning him 11th in the league. The combination of a balanced offensive attack makes the Bobcats a tough team to defend against.

Defensive Strength

Defensively, Texas State has demonstrated resilience, allowing 63 points which ranks them 52nd. Their ability to pressure the quarterback is evident with 3 sacks, placing them 8th in the league. Despite not securing any interceptions this season, the Bobcats’ defense remains stout.

The Bobcats have also been effective in recovering fumbles, ranking 6th in this category. Their defense will be crucial against a competitive Arizona State team, as they aim to continue their strong start to the season.

Key Players to Watch

Brad Jackson is a key player to watch, having thrown for 500 yards and 5 touchdowns in just two games. Beau Sparks has been Jackson’s primary target, with 237 receiving yards and 5 touchdowns, leading the team’s receiving corps.

On the defensive side, the performance of the Bobcats’ front line will be critical. Their ability to maintain pressure and create turnovers will be a key factor in their strategy against Arizona State.

Betting Trends

  • SU All Games: 2-0 (100.0%)
  • ATS All Games: 2-0 (100.0%)
  • O/U All Games: 2-0 (100.0%)
  • SU as Underdog: 1-0 (100.0%)
  • ATS as Underdog: 1-0 (100.0%)
  • O/U as Underdog: 1-0 (100.0%)
  • SU in Away Games: 1-0 (100.0%)
  • ATS in Away Games: 1-0 (100.0%)
  • O/U in Away Games: 1-0 (100.0%)

Arizona State vs Texas State Prediction: Arizona State -14.5

Arizona State, with a 1-1 record, is hosting Texas State at Mountain America Stadium. They have shown strong performance at home, maintaining a 1-0 record. Arizona State’s recent ATS trends have been favorable, having covered in all games this season.

Texas State comes in with a 2-0 record, showcasing a solid start. However, Arizona State’s home advantage and defensive strength, ranked 33rd in points against, could pose a challenge for Texas State. Despite Texas State’s high offensive output, Arizona State’s ability to contain opponents should allow them to cover the spread.

Arizona State’s recent history as a favorite further supports confidence in their ability to cover a 14.5-point spread. The Sun Devils’ offense, with notable ranks in rushing yards, is expected to capitalize on Texas State’s defensive vulnerabilities, ranked 52nd in points against. This offensive and defensive balance gives Arizona State an edge in covering the spread.

Given Arizona State’s strategic advantage at home and their impressive ATS record, backing them to cover -14.5 seems the optimal play. A projected score of Arizona State 35 – Texas State 20 supports this pick.

  • Arizona State vs Texas State Prediction: Arizona State -14.5
  • Arizona State vs Texas State Score: Arizona State 35 – Texas State 20
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