In Week 3 of the 2025 regular season, the Air Force Falcons will travel to Logan, UT to take on the Utah State Aggies at Merlin Olsen Field At Maverik Stadium. Scheduled for a 9:45 PM kickoff, this night game will be broadcast on FS1. Both teams are part of the Mountain West Conference, adding an extra layer of intrigue to this matchup.
The Air Force Falcons come into this game with a 1-0 record, having convincingly defeated Bucknell Bison 49-13 in their season opener. Their powerful ground game was on full display, racking up 270 rushing yards without committing any turnovers. They will aim to carry this momentum into their first road game of the season.
The Utah State Aggies, on the other hand, hold a 1-1 record after splitting their first two games. They secured a home victory against UTEP Miners but fell short against Texas A&M Aggies on the road. The Aggies will look to leverage their home-field advantage, where they are currently undefeated this season.
Utah State vs Air Force At a Glance
- Game Date and Time: Saturday, September 13, 2025 at 9:45 PM
- Venue: Merlin Olsen Field At Maverik Stadium in Logan, UT
- TV Channel: FS1
- Air Force Falcons Record: 1-0 (This Season)
- Utah State Aggies Record: 1-1 (This Season)
- Game Odds: Air Force favored with a -4.0 spread
Utah State Aggies: A Closer Look at the Road Ahead
Offensive Performance
The Utah State Aggies have started their 2025 season with mixed results offensively. They’ve scored a total of 50 points, ranking them 43rd overall, and their passing game has accumulated 405 yards, placing them 73rd. Their rushing offense, with 207 yards, finds them ranked 97th, indicating room for improvement in the ground game.
In their recent game against Texas A&M, the Aggies managed 172 passing yards and 78 rushing yards. Despite generating 18 first downs, they fell short against a strong Texas A&M team, highlighting areas that need refinement to boost their offensive output.
Defensive Insights
Defensively, Utah State has struggled, allowing 60 points in their first two games, ranking 49th in the nation. Despite this, they have been effective in creating turnovers with 2 interceptions, placing them 3rd nationally. They have also recorded 4 sacks, ranking 7th, showcasing their ability to pressure opposing quarterbacks.
In their matchup against Texas A&M, the Aggies were outpaced defensively, allowing 319 passing yards and 240 rushing yards. Their defense will need to tighten up to better compete against stronger opponents moving forward.
Key Players
Quarterback Bryson Barnes has shown promise with 402 passing yards over two games, leading the team in this category. He has thrown 3 touchdowns without any interceptions, a solid start for the signal-caller. On the ground, Miles Davis has rushed for 138 yards, placing him at 87th in the nation, indicating potential for further contributions.
Wide receivers Braden Pegan and Brady Boyd have combined for 16 receptions, with Pegan finding the end zone once. Their ability to make plays downfield will be crucial in expanding the Aggies’ offensive arsenal as the season progresses.
Betting Trends
- SU All Games: 1-1 (50.0%)
- SU as Favorite: 1-0 (100.0%)
- SU as Underdog: 0-1 (0.0%)
- ATS All Games: 1-1 (50.0%)
- ATS as Favorite: 1-0 (100.0%)
- ATS as Underdog: 0-1 (0.0%)
- O/U All Games: 1-1 (50.0%)
- O/U as Favorite: 0-1 (0.0%)
- O/U as Underdog: 1-0 (100.0%)
The Utah State Aggies have shown resilience in their early games, posting a 1-1 record both straight up and against the spread. They have excelled as favorites, winning and covering in such situations, but have struggled as underdogs.
Air Force Falcons Set to Soar in Upcoming Game
Offensive Overview
The Air Force Falcons enter the 2025 season with a solid offensive performance, scoring 49 points in their opening game, ranking them 44th nationally. Their rushing attack, a cornerstone of their offense, amassed 270 yards, placing them 79th in the nation.
Despite their strong ground game, the Falcons’ aerial attack remains a work in progress with just 159 passing yards, ranking 144th. This balance between the run and pass will be crucial as they prepare for the Utah State Aggies.
Defensive Strength
Defensively, the Falcons have shown great promise, allowing only 13 points against Bucknell, ranking them 6th in the nation. Their ability to pressure the quarterback was evident with 6 sacks, placing them 5th overall.
Additionally, their secondary has been sharp, recording an interception, which ties them for 2nd in the nation. This defensive prowess will be vital in stifling the Aggies’ offensive threats.
Key Players to Watch
Quarterback Josh Johnson stands out as a key player, having thrown for 112 yards and 2 touchdowns in the season opener. His efficiency and decision-making will be essential in leading the Falcons’ offense.
On the ground, Kade Frew’s 52 rushing yards make him a player to watch, providing a reliable option in their run-heavy scheme. Wide receiver Cade Harris, with 83 receiving yards and a touchdown, offers a critical target in the passing game.
Injury Report
The Falcons will need to monitor the status of Kemper Hodges, who is questionable with an undisclosed injury. His potential absence could impact their offensive depth, particularly in the fullback position.
Betting Trends
- SU Last 3: 1-0 (100.0%)
- SU All Games: 1-0 (100.0%)
- SU as Favorite: 1-0 (100.0%)
- ATS All Games: 1-0 (100.0%)
- ATS as Favorite: 1-0 (100.0%)
- O/U All Games: 1-0 (100.0%)
- O/U Totals ≥ 50: 1-0 (100.0%)
Utah State vs Air Force Prediction: Over 50.5
Both Air Force and Utah State have shown strong offensive capabilities early in the season. Air Force put up 49 points in their opening game, while Utah State scored 50 points over their first two games. These offensive outputs suggest that both teams are capable of putting points on the board.
Defensively, Utah State has allowed 60 points in their first two games, indicating potential vulnerabilities that Air Force could exploit. While Air Force has demonstrated a solid defense, Utah State’s ability to score at home should present a challenge. This combination of offensive prowess and defensive vulnerabilities points toward a high-scoring game.
Historically, the games between these two teams have had high totals, often exceeding the set line. The last three head-to-head encounters have all gone over the total, reinforcing the potential for another high-scoring contest. Given these trends and current stats, the over 50.5 seems a favorable bet.
Projecting a final score of Air Force 34 – Utah State 24, the total would surpass the 50.5 line, aligning with the expectation of a high-scoring affair. The offensive capabilities of both teams support this prediction.
- Utah State vs Air Force Prediction: Over 50.5
- Utah State vs Air Force Score: Air Force 34 – Utah State 24
