The Denver Nuggets and Oklahoma City Thunder will meet at the Paycom Center. This game is on Monday, May 05, 2025, at 9:30 PM. It will be broadcast on TNT.
The Denver Nuggets come into this game with a 4-3 record in the playoffs. They recently won against the Los Angeles Clippers by 19 points. Nikola Jokić and Russell Westbrook were key players in that game.
The Oklahoma City Thunder have a 4-0 record in the playoffs. They won their last game against the Memphis Grizzlies by 2 points. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander had a strong performance in that game.
Thunder Preview
The Oklahoma City Thunder are in the Western Conference Semifinals of the NBA Playoffs. They have a perfect postseason record of 4-0. Head Coach Mark Daigneault has led the team to success both at home and on the road. The Thunder have won their last four games, showing strong performance in the playoffs.
In the regular season, the Thunder had a record of 68-14. They ranked first in the Western Conference and the Northwest Division. The team excelled at home with a 36-6 record. Their last ten regular-season games ended with an 8-2 record, showing consistent performance.
Offensively, the Thunder scored 120 points per game, ranking second in the league. They led the league in possessions and field goal attempts per game. Their field goal percentage was 45.7, placing them ninth. On defense, they allowed 100.5 points per game, ranking third in the league.
Key players include Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, who averaged 32.7 points per game in the regular season. Jalen Williams contributed 21.6 points per game. Isaiah Hartenstein led the team in rebounds with 10.7 per game. These players have been vital to the Thunder’s success this season.
Nuggets Preview
The Denver Nuggets have had a strong postseason so far. They are currently in the Western Conference Semifinals. Their record in the playoffs is 4-3. At home, they have won three out of four games. Their away record stands at 1-2.
In the regular season, the Nuggets finished with a record of 50-32. They ranked fourth in the Western Conference. At home, they had 26 wins and 15 losses. On the road, they secured 24 wins and 17 losses.
Nikola Jokić has been a key player for the Nuggets. In the postseason, he averages 24 points, 11.6 rebounds, and 10.1 assists per game. Jamal Murray is also contributing with 22.9 points and 5.9 assists per game. Aaron Gordon adds 18.9 points and 5.7 rebounds per game.
Defensively, the Nuggets allow 108.3 points per game. They rank ninth in steals per game with 7.7. They also have 3.9 blocked shots per game, ranking fourth. Their opponents average 39.4 rebounds per game, which is the third-best in the league.
Statistical Breakdown for Thunder vs Nuggets
The game between the Oklahoma City Thunder and the Denver Nuggets will likely be influenced by key stats. The Thunder’s high-scoring offense, averaging 120 points per game, faces the Nuggets’ solid defense, which allows 108.3 points per game. The Thunder’s fast pace, with the most possessions per game, will test the Nuggets’ ability to control the tempo. Rebounding will also be crucial, as the Thunder rank second in rebounds per game, while the Nuggets allow the third-fewest rebounds. These factors could shape the outcome of the game.
- Thunder Points Per Game: 120.0 (2nd)
- Nuggets Points Per Game Allowed: 108.3 (12th)
- Thunder Possessions Per Game: 100.5 (1st)
- Nuggets Rebounds Per Game: 43.3 (8th)
- Thunder Rebounds Per Game: 46.2 (2nd)
- Nuggets Rebounds Per Game Allowed: 39.4 (3rd)
Betting Insights
As the Denver Nuggets take on the Oklahoma City Thunder, bettors have plenty to consider. The Nuggets have been strong as underdogs in the postseason, while the Thunder have excelled at home. Both teams have different trends in over/under outcomes. Here are the top five betting trends for this game:
- Denver Nuggets are 4-2 ATS as underdogs in the 2025 postseason.
- Oklahoma City Thunder have a 22-7-1 ATS record at home in the 2025 regular season.
- Denver Nuggets have hit the over in their last 3 postseason games.
- Oklahoma City Thunder have a 2-game losing streak ATS in the 2025 postseason.
- Denver Nuggets have a 4-game ATS winning streak in the 2025 postseason.
Free Betting Prediction for Thunder vs Nuggets
The Oklahoma City Thunder have been dominant in the postseason, maintaining a perfect record. Their high-scoring offense and strong defense make them tough to beat. Playing at home, they have an advantage, especially with their impressive home record in the regular season.
The Denver Nuggets have shown resilience in the playoffs, but their away record is less impressive. Nikola Jokić and Jamal Murray will need to perform at their best to challenge the Thunder. The Nuggets’ defense will be tested by the Thunder’s fast-paced play and scoring ability.
Considering the Thunder’s strong home performance and the Nuggets’ struggles on the road, the Thunder are likely to win. The Thunder’s ability to control the pace and score efficiently gives them the edge. The Nuggets may struggle to keep up with the Thunder’s offensive firepower.
- Our Free Prediction: Thunder -9.5
