Northern Colorado Bears vs St. Thomas (MN) Tommies Matchup

Read on to get betting odds and analysis in our St. Thomas (MN) vs Northern Colorado NCAA Basketball prediction and preview and see who we think will win and cover the spread in Greeley.

St. Thomas (MN) vs Northern Colorado Prediction

The Tommies and Bears are set to face off at 8:00 ET on ESPN+. The Bears will host the game at Bank of Colorado Arena in Greeley, CO. The over/under line for this matchup is currently at 154.5 points, and Northern Colorado is favored by -4.5 at home against St. Thomas (MN).

St. Thomas (MN) vs. Northern Colorado Matchup At A Glance

Sport: NCAAB
Teams: St. Thomas (MN) Tommies at Northern Colorado Bears
Where: Greeley at Bank of Colorado Arena
Date: Wednesday, December 4th
Betting Odds NCOL -4.5, STMN +163 | NCOL -220 O/U 154.5

Tommies Preview: Can St. Thomas (MN) Pull Out the Win as Road Underdogs?

St. Thomas (MN) Tommies Recent Game/Games

St. Thomas (MN) evened their season record at 3-3 with a 98-76 home win over Chicago State on Monday. The Tommies, who were -20 favorites, covered the spread, and the game’s total points of 174 exceeded the O/U line of 140.5.

After leading 47-25 at halftime, St. Thomas scored and allowed 51 points in the 2nd half.

Tommies Offense Breakdown

St. Thomas put up 98 points in their last game, shooting 51.8% from the field with an effective field goal percentage of 60.7%. They hit 41.7% from three-point range, going 10-for-24, and were 59.4% on two-point attempts. At the free-throw line, they connected on 30 of 35 attempts, good for 85.7%.

The Tommies dished out 22 assists, with 8 offensive rebounds. Troy McKoy Jr. led the team with 15 points, while Matthew Robinson Jr., Ben Nau, and Ben Oosterbaan each added 13. Oosterbaan shot 75% from the field, and Kendall Blue hit 80% of his shots, including 100% from three-point range.

Tommies Team Defense

St. Thomas (MN) struggled defensively, giving up 76 points on 51% shooting from the field. Their opponents shot 59% on two-point attempts, hitting 19 of 32 shots.

From beyond the arc, St. Thomas allowed 10 threes on 24 attempts, a 41% shooting rate. They also sent their opponents to the free-throw line 35 times, where they converted 30 free throws, an 85% success rate.

Bears Preview: Are Northern Colorado Ready for a Home Win?

The Bears dropped to 3-4 on the season after an 89-64 loss to Texas Tech on Friday. Northern Colorado entered the game as +22 point underdogs and failed to cover the spread. The total points for the game ended at 153, just over the 151.5 O/U line.

After trailing 50-29 at halftime, the Bears scored 35 points in the 2nd half while allowing 39. Though they showed some improvement after the break, they couldn’t close the gap enough to make things interesting.

Bears Offense Breakdown

Northern Colorado struggled offensively in their last game, shooting just 39.3% from the field and 26.1% from beyond the arc, finishing with 64 points. Their effective field goal percentage was 44.3%, and they hit 62.5% of their free throws, while recording 10 offensive rebounds and 9 assists.

Darrion Williams and Kevin Overton were bright spots, with Williams posting 21 points and 10 rebounds, shooting 66.7% overall and 60.0% from three. Overton added 20 points, hitting 4 of 6 from deep, while Christian Anderson also connected on 4 threes, shooting 66.7% overall.

Bears Team Defense

Northern Colorado's defense struggled in their last game, giving up 89 points while allowing the opposing team to shoot 46% from the field. They did manage to hold their opponent to 39% on two-point attempts, with 13 makes on 33 tries.

However, the Bears had a tough time defending the three-point line, where the other team hit 13 of 23 shots, good for 56%. Northern Colorado also sent their opponent to the free-throw line 26 times, where they converted 24 free throws at a 92% rate. The Bears gave up 13 offensive rebounds as well.

Tommies vs Bears Betting Odds, Trends & Analysis

Across their ten previous road games, St. Thomas (MN) has an ATS mark of 4-6. Their straight up record in these matchups was 3-7 while averaging 70 points per game.
In their last three games at home, the Bears have a straight up record of 1-2 while going 1-2 vs the spread. The team's offense averaged 70 points per game in these contests.
The last three games that St. Thomas (MN) was the underdog, they have an ATS mark of 0-3 while going 0-3 straight up.
The last ten games that Northern Colorado was favored, they have an ATS mark of 3-7 while going 6-4 straight up.