Florida Gators vs Florida State Seminoles Matchup

Check out our free Florida Gators vs Florida State Seminoles pick and preview for this CFB week 14 game in Tallahassee. See who we like to win and cover the spread in this week 14 CFB matchup.

ESPN2 will be covering the Florida Gators vs. Florida State Seminoles matchup, set to kick off at 7:00 ET from Doak Campbell Stadium in Tallahassee on Saturday, November 30th. The Gators are favored by -14.5 points, and the over/under line is currently at 45.5 points. The Gators are 6-5 on the season, while the Seminoles have just two wins against nine losses heading into this game.

Gators vs. Seminoles Matchup At A Glance

Sport: CFB
Teams: Florida Gators at Florida State Seminoles
Where: Tallahassee at Doak Campbell Stadium
Date: Saturday, November 30th
Betting Odds FL -14.5, FL -739 | FLST +502 O/U 45.5

Gators Preview:

With a 6-5 record, the Florida Gators are set to face Florida State in Week 14. They are ranked 25th in our power rankings and have a 100% chance of being bowl-eligible. However, they have no shot at winning the Southeastern title. Florida is 4-2 at home and 1-2 on the road this season.

The Gators have been favored in only one game this season, with an average scoring margin of +2.1 points per game. Their ATS record stands at 6-3, with a 4-2 mark at home and 2-1 on the road.

Florida’s over/under record is 6-3, with their games averaging 53.2 points. This week’s line is set at 45.5 points, compared to their average over/under line of 53.1 points.

Gators Offense Breakdown

Florida’s offense has been average this season, ranking 48th in our offensive power rankings and 56th in points scored, with 27.6 per game. They are 86th in third-down conversions, converting just 37.9% of their attempts. Their rushing game is averaging 153.2 yards per game.

DJ Lagway leads the team with 1,477 passing yards, nine touchdowns, and six interceptions. He has a passer rating of 100. Jadan Baugh has rushed for 522 yards and seven touchdowns. Elijhah Badger has 778 receiving yards and four touchdowns.

Gators Team Defense

Florida's defense has allowed 25.5 points per game this season, ranking 56th nationally. They’ve struggled against the pass, giving up 244.7 yards per game, which is 129th in the country, with opposing quarterbacks completing 60% of their passes and posting a passer rating of 86.4.

In their recent game against Ole Miss, Florida’s defense allowed 17 points and forced two interceptions. They gave up 464 total yards, including 323 passing yards, while holding Ole Miss to 141 rushing yards on 35 attempts.

Seminoles Preview:

The Gators have been favored in only one game this season, with an average scoring margin of +2.1 points per game. Their ATS record stands at 6-3, with a 4-2 mark at home and 2-1 on the road.

Florida’s over/under record is 6-3, with their games averaging 53.2 points. This week’s line is set at 45.5 points, compared to their average over/under line of 53.1 points.

Seminoles Offense Breakdown

Florida State's offense has struggled this season, averaging just 15.8 points per game, which ranks 101st nationally. They are also 118th in our offensive power rankings heading into week 14. Their third-down conversion rate is only 27.2%, and their rushing attack is producing just 93.8 yards per game.

DJ Uiagalelei leads the team with 1,065 passing yards, but he has only four touchdowns compared to six interceptions, giving him a passer rating of 67. Florida State ranks 110th in passing yards per game. Lawrance Toafili is the leading rusher with 413 yards, while Ja'Khi Douglas has 486 receiving yards and four touchdowns.

Seminoles Team Defense

Florida State's defense has struggled this season, allowing 27.7 points per game. They’ve given up 184.6 rushing yards per game and 207.5 passing yards, with opposing quarterbacks completing 63.6% of their passes.

In their recent game, Florida State’s defense allowed just 7 points, giving up 275 total yards, including 57 rushing yards. They also forced an interception in the win.

Gators vs Seminoles Betting Odds, Trends & Analysis

Florida has a 0-3 record in their last three road games. In this stretch, they averaged 18 points per game while allowing 35. The team also performed well vs the spread at 2-1.
When looking at their past five home matchups, Florida State has an ATS record of 1-4 while averaging 14 per game. The team went 0-5 overall in these games.
Looking back on the team's last five games as the underdog, the Florida State Seminoles have a straight up record of 0-5. Their record vs the spread in these games was 2-3.
In their last ten games as the betting favorite, the Florida Gators have a straight up record of 7-3 and an ATS mark of 3-7.