Fresno State Bulldogs vs UCLA Bruins Matchup

Check out our free Fresno State Bulldogs vs UCLA Bruins pick and preview for this CFB week 14 game in Pasadena. See who we like to win and cover the spread in this week 14 CFB matchup.

The UCLA Bruins are the heavy favorite in this week 14 non-conference matchup against the Fresno State Bulldogs. The game is set for 3:30 ET at the Rose Bowl in Pasadena, and while the Bruins are just 4-7 on the season, the Bulldogs are 6-5. The over/under line is at 46.5 points at this time.

Bulldogs vs. Bruins Matchup At A Glance

Sport: CFB
Teams: Fresno State Bulldogs at UCLA Bruins
Where: Pasadena at Rose Bowl
Date: Saturday, November 30th
Betting Odds UCLA -9.5, FREST +279 | UCLA -353 O/U 46.5

Bulldogs Preview:

Fresno State enters Week 14 against UCLA with a 6-5 record, but they are already bowl-eligible. They have a 3-2 record at home and are 2-3 on the road. So far, they have been favored in seven of their 11 games and have a 5-2 record as the favorite. However, they are 0-3 as the underdog this season.

The Bulldogs have a +2.8 average scoring margin and are 5-4-1 against the spread. At home, they are 3-2 ATS, while their road record is 2-2-1. As the favorite, they are 4-2-1 against the spread this season.

Fresno State’s over/under record is 4-6, with their games averaging 52.8 points. The average over/under line this season has been 50 points, and this week’s line is set at 46.5 points.

Bulldogs Offense Breakdown

Fresno State’s offense ranks 97th in our power rankings heading into week 14, and they are 55th in points per game, averaging 27.8. Their rushing game has struggled, with just 101.5 yards per game, placing them 121st nationally.

Quarterback Mikey Keene has thrown for 2,668 yards, completing 70.5% of his passes. The Bulldogs are 24th in completions and 40th in passing yards. Keene has 17 touchdowns and 11 interceptions, with a passer rating of 95. Mac Dalena leads the receivers with 894 yards and eight touchdowns.

Bulldogs Team Defense

Fresno State's defense has allowed 25 points per game this season, ranking 53rd nationally. In their recent game against Colorado State, they gave up 22 points and 429 total yards, including 315 passing yards on 51 attempts, though they did manage to force an interception.

Opposing quarterbacks have completed just 53.6% of their passes against Fresno State, the 14th-lowest percentage in the country. On average, the defense has allowed 210.5 passing yards per game and 146.6 rushing yards per contest.

Bruins Preview:

Fresno State’s over/under record is 4-6, with their games averaging 52.8 points. The average over/under line this season has been 50 points, and this week’s line is set at 46.5 points.

Bruins Offense Breakdown

UCLA’s offense has struggled this season, averaging just 18.3 points per game, which ranks 95th nationally. They are 66th in our offensive power rankings heading into week 14. Their rushing attack has been particularly weak, averaging only 89.5 yards per game on the ground, placing them 128th in the nation.

Ethan Garbers leads the Bruins’ passing game with 2,439 yards, and the team ranks 31st in completions and 42nd in passing attempts. Garbers has 15 touchdowns but also 11 interceptions, and his passer rating is 88. UCLA ranks 24th in completion percentage, connecting on 65.1% of their throws.

Bruins Team Defense

UCLA's defense has been strong against the run this season, ranking 10th nationally by allowing just 100.4 rushing yards per game. In their recent game against USC, they gave up only 91 rushing yards on 26 attempts. However, their pass defense has struggled, ranking 134th in the country, allowing 247 passing yards per game and a 65% completion rate.

Against USC, UCLA’s defense allowed 260 passing yards and one passing touchdown. Overall, they gave up 19 points and 351 total yards in the 19-13 loss. This season, UCLA is ranked 61st in points allowed, giving up 26.4 points per game.

Bulldogs vs Bruins Betting Odds, Trends & Analysis

In their last ten games away from home, the Fresno State Bulldogs have a straight up record of 4-6 while going 3-6-1 vs. the spread. The team averaged 23 points per game in this stretch.
In their last ten games at home, the UCLA Bruins have a straight up record of 6-4 while going 7-3 vs. the spread. The team averaged 25 points per game in this stretch.
The last five games that Fresno State was the underdog, they have an ATS mark of 2-3 while going 1-4 straight up.
Against the spread, the UCLA Bruins have put together 1-2 in their last three games as the betting favorite. In these same games, they went 2-1 straight up.