Check out our free UNLV Rebels vs Boise State Broncos pick and preview for this CFB week 15 game in Boise. See who we like to win and cover the spread in this week 15 CFB matchup.
Coming into this week 15 matchup, the Boise State Broncos are the -4 point favorites at home vs. the UNLV Rebels. Kick-off is set for 8:00 ET from Albertsons Stadium in Boise, and you can catch the game on FOX. The money line odds have the Broncos at -186 and the Rebels at +152. The over/under line is currently at 58.5 points. Both teams have had excellent seasons, with Boise State at 11-1 and UNLV at 10-2.
Rebels vs. Broncos Matchup At A Glance
- Sport: CFB
- Teams: UNLV Rebels at Boise State Broncos
- Where: Boise at Albertsons Stadium
- Date: Friday, December 6th
- Betting Odds BOISE -4, UNLV +152 | BOISE -186 O/U 58.5
Rebels Preview:
UNLV heads into Week 15 with a 10-2 record, and they are 6-0 on the road this season. They have a 100% chance of being bowl-eligible and a 31.5% chance of winning the Mountain West. The Rebels have been favored in seven games, going 7-0 as the favorite, and they are ranked 40th in our power rankings.
Their ATS record stands at 6-4, with a +16.7 average scoring margin. UNLV is 4-2 against the spread on the road and 2-2 at home. As the favorite, they are 4-3 ATS this season.
This week’s over/under line is 58.5 points. UNLV’s games have averaged 60.7 points, with their average over/under line at 57.3 points. They have gone over the total in four games and under in six.
Rebels Offense Breakdown
UNLV’s offense has been driven by their run game, ranking 3rd in the nation with 259.2 rushing yards per game. They are 5th in rushing attempts, averaging 44.3 per game, and are 7th in scoring, with 38.7 points per game. Jai'Den Thomas leads the team with 833 rushing yards, 7 touchdowns, and an average of 6 yards per carry. UNLV is ranked 46th in our offensive power rankings heading into week 15.
Quarterback Hajj-Malik Williams has thrown for 1,735 yards, with 17 touchdowns and 4 interceptions, giving him a passer rating of 109. UNLV ranks 13th nationally in passer rating. Ricky White III has 1,020 receiving yards and 11 touchdowns on 75 receptions.
Rebels Team Defense
UNLV's defense has been strong against the run this season, ranking 15th nationally by allowing just 101.7 rushing yards per game. In their recent game against Nevada, they gave up only 67 rushing yards on 28 attempts. Through the air, opposing quarterbacks have completed 54.8% of their passes, the 16th-lowest percentage in the country, but UNLV has allowed 248.2 passing yards per game, ranking 135th.
In the game against Nevada, UNLV’s defense allowed 14 points and forced one interception. They gave up 292 passing yards but held Nevada to 67 rushing yards. Overall, UNLV’s defense is ranked 31st in the nation, giving up 22 points per game.
Broncos Preview:
UNLV heads into Week 15 with a 10-2 record, and they are 6-0 on the road this season. They have a 100% chance of being bowl-eligible and a 31.5% chance of winning the Mountain West. The Rebels have been favored in seven games, going 7-0 as the favorite, and they are ranked 40th in our power rankings.
Their ATS record stands at 6-4, with a +16.7 average scoring margin. UNLV is 4-2 against the spread on the road and 2-2 at home. As the favorite, they are 4-3 ATS this season.
This week’s over/under line is 58.5 points. UNLV’s games have averaged 60.7 points, with their average over/under line at 57.3 points. They have gone over the total in four games and under in six.
Broncos Offense Breakdown
Boise State’s offense has been dominant on the ground, averaging 255.5 rushing yards per game, ranking 4th nationally. Ashton Jeanty has been the standout performer, rushing for 2,288 yards and scoring 28 touchdowns, with an impressive 7 yards per carry. Overall, the Broncos are 3rd in scoring, putting up 40.6 points per game, and they are 6th in our offensive power rankings heading into week 15.
Quarterback Maddux Madsen has thrown for 2,556 yards, with 21 touchdowns and just three interceptions, giving him a passer rating of 102. Boise State ranks 61st in passing attempts per game, and they are 69th in passing yards. They are converting 49.4% of their third-down opportunities, which ranks 7th nationally.
Broncos Team Defense
Boise State's defense heads into their matchup against UNLV ranked 38th nationally, allowing 23.2 points per game. They’ve been strong against the run, giving up just 107.1 rushing yards per game, which ranks 21st in the country. Opponents have averaged 31.1 rushing attempts per game against Boise State, the 26th fewest in the nation.
In their recent game against Oregon State, Boise State allowed 18 points and 13 first downs. Oregon State ran the ball 19 times for 119 yards and completed 21 of 37 passes for 226 yards. Boise State’s secondary has allowed an average of 258.2 passing yards per game this season, ranking 146th nationally, with quarterbacks completing 62.5% of their passes and posting a passer rating of 98.
Rebels vs Broncos Betting Odds, Trends & Analysis
- When looking at their past ten road matchups, UNLV has an ATS record of 8-2 while averaging 34 per game. The team went 9-1 overall in these games.
- Across their last three home contests, Boise State has been good against the spread posting a mark of 2-1. Their overall mark in these games was 3-0, while averaging 29 points per game.
- The last ten games that UNLV was the underdog, they have an ATS mark of 7-3 while going 5-5 straight up.
- Although the Boise State Broncos have a strong straight up record in their last three games as the betting favorite, they have not done as well vs the spread going 1-2.
UNLV Rebels vs Boise State Broncos Free Pick
- KnupSports.com Free Betting Pick: UNLV Rebels +4 Be sure to check out our other CFB Football betting previews for this week. KnupSports.com also updates their sports betting picks page daily with plays across all sports.
