Miami (OH) RedHawks vs Toledo Rockets Matchup

Check out our free Miami (OH) RedHawks vs Toledo Rockets pick and preview for this CFB week 6 game in Toledo. See who we like to win and cover the spread in this week 6 CFB matchup.

ESPN+ will be covering this week six college football matchup between the Toledo Rockets and Miami (OH) RedHawks, set to kick off at 3:30 ET from the Glass Bowl in Toledo. The Rockets are 3-1 on the season, and the RedHawks come in with a 1-3 record. Toledo is favored by -6.5 points, with the over/under line currently at 44.5 points.

RedHawks vs. Rockets Matchup At A Glance

Sport: CFB
Teams: Miami (OH) RedHawks at Toledo Rockets
Where: Toledo at Glass Bowl
Date: Saturday, October 5th
Betting Odds TOLEDO -6.5, MIAOH +207 | TOLEDO -256 O/U 44.5

RedHawks Preview:

Miami (OH) enters Week 6 with a 1-3 record, facing Toledo on the road. They are ranked 97th in our power rankings, with a 53.4% chance of becoming bowl-eligible. So far, they are 0-2 on the road and 0-1 at home this season.

The RedHawks have a -10 average scoring margin and are 1-2 against the spread. They’ve been the underdog in all four games, with a 1-2 ATS record in those matchups.

Miami (OH)’s over/under record is 0-3, with their games averaging 34 points. This week’s line is 44.5 points, slightly above their average line of 43.9 points.

RedHawks Offense Breakdown

Miami (OH) has struggled offensively, averaging just 12 points per game, placing them 109th in our offensive power rankings heading into week 6. Their third-down conversion rate is low at 27.7%, and they are 121st in rushing, with 86.2 yards per game.

Quarterback Brett Gabbert has thrown for 866 yards but has six interceptions and just three touchdowns, resulting in a passer rating of 65. Miami (OH) ranks 124th nationally in passer rating. Leading receiver Cade McDonald has 328 yards and one touchdown, while Keyon Mozee leads the ground game with 174 rushing yards.

RedHawks Team Defense

Heading into their matchup with Toledo, Miami (OH)’s defense is ranked 30th nationally, allowing 22 points per game. They’ve given up an average of 173.8 passing yards per game, which ranks 36th, and 201.8 rushing yards per game.

In their recent game against UMass, Miami’s defense allowed 20 points and 344 total yards, including 171 rushing yards on 41 attempts and 173 passing yards.

Rockets Preview:

The RedHawks have a -10 average scoring margin and are 1-2 against the spread. They’ve been the underdog in all four games, with a 1-2 ATS record in those matchups.

Miami (OH)’s over/under record is 0-3, with their games averaging 34 points. This week’s line is 44.5 points, slightly above their average line of 43.9 points.

Rockets Offense Breakdown

Toledo’s offense is averaging 37.2 points per game, ranking 22nd nationally, and they are 23rd in third-down conversions, with a 48.1% success rate. Quarterback Tucker Gleason has thrown 11 touchdown passes, leading to a passer rating of 111. Overall, Toledo is ranked 61st in our offensive power rankings heading into week 6.

Gleason has thrown for 862 yards, completing 60.2% of his passes, and has been intercepted twice. Toledo ranks 64th in passing attempts per game and 100th in rushing yards, averaging 138.8 yards on the ground. Willie Shaw III leads the rushing attack with 148 yards and three touchdowns. Junior Vandeross III has 267 receiving yards and three touchdowns.

Rockets Team Defense

Toledo's defense has been strong against the run, ranking 26th nationally by allowing just 96.5 rushing yards per game. In their recent game against Western Kentucky, they gave up 123 rushing yards on 39 attempts. Through the air, Toledo allowed 232 passing yards and two touchdowns, but they also forced two interceptions.

Opposing quarterbacks have completed 65.5% of their passes against Toledo, averaging 245.2 passing yards per game, which ranks 121st nationally. Overall, Toledo’s defense is giving up 19 points per game, placing them 22nd in the country.

RedHawks vs Rockets Betting Odds, Trends & Analysis

Through their last ten road games, Miami (OH) has an ATS record of just 8-2. However, their overall record was 7-3 while averaging 21 points per game.
Through their last ten home games, Toledo has an ATS record of just 6-4. However, their overall record was 7-3 while averaging 26 points per game.
The last three games that Miami (OH) was the underdog, they have an ATS mark of 1-2 while going 0-3 straight up.
The last ten games that Toledo was favored, they have an ATS mark of 5-5 while going 8-2 straight up.