Boise State Broncos vs Utah State Aggies Matchup

Check out our free Utah State Aggies vs Boise State Broncos pick and preview for this CFB week 6 game in Boise. See who we like to win and cover the spread in this week 6 CFB matchup.

Boise State is the heavy favorite in this week six matchup against Utah State, with the point spread set at -26.5 in favor of the Broncos. The game is scheduled for 7:00 ET at Albertsons Stadium in Boise, and FS2 will handle the television broadcast. The over/under line is at 66.5 points. Boise State comes in with a 3-1 record, while Utah State is looking to improve on their 1-3 start to the season.

Aggies vs. Broncos Matchup At A Glance

Sport: CFB
Teams: Utah State Aggies at Boise State Broncos
Where: Boise at Albertsons Stadium
Date: Saturday, October 5th
Betting Odds BOISE -26.5, UTAHST +1368 | BOISE -4434 O/U 66.5

Aggies Preview:

Utah State enters Week 6 with a 1-3 record, facing Boise State. They rank 124th in our CFB power rankings and have just a 4.4% chance of becoming bowl-eligible this season.

The Aggies have been favored in only one game this season, and their average scoring margin is -14.8 points per game. Against the spread, they are 1-2, with a 1-0 record at home and 0-2 on the road.

This week’s over/under line is 66.5 points, higher than any of their previous games. Utah State’s over/under record is 2-1, with their games averaging 57.8 points compared to an average line of 53.8 points.

Aggies Offense Breakdown

Utah State’s offense has struggled heading into their week 6 matchup against Boise State, averaging just 21.5 points per game, which ranks 75th nationally. They are 101st in our offensive power rankings, and their third-down conversion rate is only 27.3%, placing them 108th in the country. Quarterback Bryson Barnes has thrown for 524 yards with a passer rating of 72, and he has four touchdowns and four interceptions this season.

Utah State ranks 42nd in passing attempts, averaging 35.5 per game, and they are also 42nd in completions. They are 67th in passing yards, with 246 per game, and their completion percentage is 58.5%. On the ground, they average 180.8 rushing yards per game. Rahsul Faison leads the team with 395 rushing yards, averaging 5 yards per carry, but he has only one rushing touchdown. Jalen Royals has 280 receiving yards and two touchdowns.

Aggies Team Defense

Utah State's defense has struggled this season, allowing an average of 36.2 points per game. In their recent game against Temple, they gave up 45 points despite allowing just 219 total yards, including -5 rushing yards. Temple threw for 224 yards and two touchdowns, but Utah State did manage to force an interception.

Opponents are averaging 257.5 passing yards per game against Utah State, completing 67.2% of their passes. The Aggies rank 141st nationally in rushing defense, giving up 199.2 yards per game on the ground.

Broncos Preview:

Utah State enters Week 6 with a 1-3 record, facing Boise State. They rank 124th in our CFB power rankings and have just a 4.4% chance of becoming bowl-eligible this season.

The Aggies have been favored in only one game this season, and their average scoring margin is -14.8 points per game. Against the spread, they are 1-2, with a 1-0 record at home and 0-2 on the road.

Broncos Offense Breakdown

Boise State’s offense has been dominant on the ground, averaging 304.5 rushing yards per game, ranking 5th nationally. Ashton Jeanty has been the standout, rushing for 845 yards and 13 touchdowns, averaging 10 yards per carry. Overall, the Broncos are scoring 47.8 points per game, placing them 5th in the country, and they are 7th in our offensive power rankings heading into week 6.

Quarterback Maddux Madsen has thrown for 800 yards with seven touchdowns and two interceptions. Boise State is 59th in passing attempts per game, and Madsen has a passer rating of 94. Cameron Camper leads the receivers with 271 yards and three touchdowns. The Broncos have been efficient on third downs, converting 56.9% of their attempts, ranking 4th nationally.

Broncos Team Defense

Boise State's defense has had its ups and downs this season, allowing an average of 30 points per game. In their latest matchup, they gave up 24 points but managed to hold Washington State to just 89 rushing yards on 39 attempts. However, they allowed 327 passing yards, though they did come away with one interception.

Opposing quarterbacks have completed 69.2% of their passes against Boise State, averaging a passer rating of 105.8. The Broncos rank 133rd in the nation, giving up 255.5 passing yards per game, but they’ve been more effective against the run, allowing just 121.2 rushing yards per game, which ranks 51st nationally.

Aggies vs Broncos Betting Odds, Trends & Analysis

In their last five games away from home, the Utah State Aggies have a straight up record of 2-3 while going 1-4 vs the spread. The team's offense averaged 25 points per game in these contests.
In their last ten games at home, the Boise State Broncos have a straight up record of 5-5 while going 3-6-1 vs. the spread. The team averaged 34 points per game in this stretch.
In their last five games as the betting underdog, the Utah State Aggies have a straight up record of 0-5 and an ATS mark of 2-3.
Boise State has done well both straight up and vs the spread when favored to win the game, going 5-0 SU and 5-0 ATS in their last five games.